ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 .87" of rain to go along with the .95" we got yesterday bringing the event total to - 1.82" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 definitely a good bit cooler out than yesterday....popped the windows open Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 I think you misunderstood me, I was implying that with a track of Katia further offshore, NJ and eastern PA would most likely cash in on more than what is forecasted. Probably did at that. I was tired and needed to get to bed. Again, nothing meant by my disagree (which may not have even been a correct analysis) newest pwats, greatest shifting east as cold front comes east with it I see that there's a SLP right at Del bay ATM. Cold front made it just a bit further than I expected, but not by alot. It's more on a positive axis nearer E VA and I'd thought more C VA. definitely a good bit cooler out than yesterday....popped the windows open Cooler yes - but with 93% humidity values, I like my sugar to stay granular and my papers (and other things) to be stiff and usable. Keeping the AC going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 I see that there's a SLP right at Del bay ATM. Cold front made it just a bit further than I expected, but not by alot. It's more on a positive axis nearer E VA and I'd thought more C VA. 12z models yesterday did very well with the placement on the front...they pretty much had this thing clear the NJ Coast and then go across the Delmarva into VA. Front is now pretty much where it was progged to be at this point...probably oozes a bit more south before stalling out. Canadian high has some oomph to it (30's in the UP of Michigan this morning, 40's into Indiana) Cooler yes - but with 93% humidity values, I like my sugar to stay granular and my papers (and other things) to be stiff and usable. Keeping the AC going. Figured for a day before the muggies completely return I'd open it. I don't mind 60 with dewpoints of 60 after it's 80 with dewpoints of 74 the day prior. I take the cool how I can get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 .87" of rain to go along with the .95" we got yesterday bringing the event total to - 1.82" of rain. .80" to go with the 1.40" Sunday night for a total of 2.20" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.44" from the start at 11pm Sunday night just west of Allentown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 1.70" break for now for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=ctp&gage=harp1&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1" Looks like minor - moderate expected on main stem Susq. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 58 / 57 this morning! 2.20" total through 630AM this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 3.08" total from the storm thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 3.08" total from the storm thus far. Solid start likely to lead to another above normal month rainfall wise. Depending on models and more importantly what actually happens between this afternoon and Thursday morning seems you and I should be in line for an additioal 1-3". Being a bit further west you may be able to up that a some. But again just have to wait and see exactly how this plays out. Further west 3-6"+ is looking very likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.26 since yesterday PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 1.47" total so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 .50 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.25" of rain so far for this entire event.. looks like heavy rains over night.. maybe the 5-8" of rainfall will occur here. Could lead to major flooding problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 0.37" here, one contest I'm not sorry about losing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.25" of rain so far for this entire event.. looks like heavy rains over night.. maybe the 5-8" of rainfall will occur here. Could lead to major flooding problems. you just can't make flippant and alarmist statements like that without anything to back it up. Here is the latest HPC map for the next 72 hours beginning at 8am this morning. As you can see, you are nowhere near 5-8". Closer to 3-4" max, and HPC has held steady for several cycles now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott W Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.06" in West Chester so far for this event. Kind of surprised to wake up to dry sidewalks this morning after going to sleep to decent rain around midnight. Looks like another slug taking aim on us from eastern VA. PHL AFD was still bullish on our chances, even through Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 you just can't make flippant and alarmist statements like that without anything to back it up. Here is the latest HPC map for the next 72 hours beginning at 8am this morning. As you can see, you are nowhere near 5-8". Closer to 3-4" max, and HPC has held steady for several cycles now. Man, cut the guy some slack, he said "Maybe". An alarmist point of view is when there is no flood watch issued. I have already had 3 inches of rain and I am east of his location. Not every model is that accurate for Qpf. That is why they call them "models" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 FWIW the NAM keeps alot of the very heavy stuff later on today just to the north of the area, the difference between the 6z GFS and the 6Z NAM are a couple of inches, regardless, many of the flashier small rivers in NE NJ are already getting close to minor flooding, and most of the rain has fallen to the NW of I-80/I-287 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Much cooler and refreshing air out there...nice to turn AC off! Rain since midnight 0.44" Rain yesterday 1.29" Total so far 1.73" Temp 58.6 Wind NNE 2-6mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Man, cut the guy some slack, he said "Maybe". An alarmist point of view is when there is no flood watch issued. I have already had 3 inches of rain and I am east of his location. Not every model is that accurate for Qpf. That is why they call them "models" I guess you and I differ with making comments without support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 2.51 here so far. DP 58 Could be interesting once front moves north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 latest 12z hrrr 12z rr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Total rain: 1.73" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 There is a flood watch out, plus read BGM disco which mentions "Major flooding"... not alarmist here lol. Besides there were more then a few models that had E PA covered in the 5"+.. I have already received today .52" of rain on top of the 2.25" so far bringing the total to 2.77". Guess what? It's going to keep raining until Thursday AM so chances of me going over the "3-4 max" level are pretty significant. Don't throw stones if you live in a glass house. you just can't make flippant and alarmist statements like that without anything to back it up. Here is the latest HPC map for the next 72 hours beginning at 8am this morning. As you can see, you are nowhere near 5-8". Closer to 3-4" max, and HPC has held steady for several cycles now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 I guess you and I differ with making comments without support. You live in SC anyway... go post in the Mid Atlantic or Southeast forum. Seriously. I have support, I just didn't copy and paste the links in the post. Sorry for not being perfect for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Just coming out 12z GFS has total precip over the next 18 hours for my area, at 1.50" that would bring the total amount to 4.25 (approx.) if verified. And it's still raining.. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=09%2F06%2F2011+12UTC&rname=PRECIP+PARMS&pname=precip_ptot&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=018&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 There is a flood watch out, plus read BGM disco which mentions "Major flooding"... not alarmist here lol. Besides there were more then a few models that had E PA covered in the 5"+.. I have already received today .52" of rain on top of the 2.25" so far bringing the total to 2.77". Guess what? It's going to keep raining until Thursday AM so chances of me going over the "3-4 max" level are pretty significant. Don't throw stones if you live in a glass house. I tried to tell him but you said it very concisely. Did you have support for that floodwatch statement? By the way, can I use some your stones since mine have washed away last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 1.85" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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