Billabong Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Anyone know the QPF output from the latest ECMWF runs for central Pennsylvania? Looks like 3"-5" for most of us. An inch higher to the SW and an inch lower in E PA. 12z run will be out in a few hours... will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Wow at the 6z GFS....others are pretty much all 3 or 4+" too...looks like a consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Wow at the 6z GFS....others are pretty much all 3 or 4+" too...looks like a consensus http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=PA&stn=KIPT&model=gfs&time=2011090512&field=prec http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=PA&stn=KIPT&model=nam&time=2011090512&field=prec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted September 5, 2011 Author Share Posted September 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 .41" last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted September 5, 2011 Author Share Posted September 5, 2011 .41" last night Officially 2.17" up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 We were at 1.15 here but that was before this current batch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Looks like 3"-5" for most of us. An inch higher to the SW and an inch lower in E PA. 12z run will be out in a few hours... will be interesting. Thanks! 2.12in of rain from last night in Linglestown which is just outside of Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Thanks! 2.12in of rain from last night in Linglestown which is just outside of Harrisburg. I buy that, that looked intense on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I buy that, that looked intense on radar. We had some pretty good street flooding around here last night from it. 2.59" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 We had some pretty good street flooding around here last night from it. 2.59" total. Decent rain here last hour or so, got .62 to bring us up to 1.77 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Here's the new HPC Day 1-3 total issued 1951z this afternoon. This is the first time i've ever seen such an excessive HPC rainfall forecast map bulls-eying Central PA, and thats the 3 day total that doesn't include the rainfall yesterday. Not gonna pull any punches, if this were to verify we'd likely be talking a major flooding event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Here's the new HPC Day 1-3 total issued 1951z this afternoon. This is the first time i've ever seen such an excessive HPC rainfall forecast map bulls-eying Central PA, and thats the 3 day total that doesn't include the rainfall yesterday. Not gonna pull any punches, if this were to verify we'd likely be talking a major flooding event. The Juniata and W Branch of the Susquehanna will take major hits. I hope Harrisburg has plenty of sandbags. Not good for folks up that way, as I was born and raised in Lock Haven and remember Agnes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 wow, CTP hasn't updated their discussion as yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Here's the new HPC Day 1-3 total issued 1951z this afternoon. This is the first time i've ever seen such an excessive HPC rainfall forecast map bulls-eying Central PA, and thats the 3 day total that doesn't include the rainfall yesterday. Not gonna pull any punches, if this were to verify we'd likely be talking a major flooding event. i wouldn't mind taking one for the team , shift the axis of hvy rainfall my way, 8"+ sounds exciting! As of right now, only have a measely .70" rain so far just with the FROPA. It has been so dry for so long up here, I don't think it would be enough to cause extreme flooding, this area missed Irene and really hasn't had much runoff from any major rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Dear god. Had 2.5" here last night and .3" so far today. Another 10" would be insane. Make for some good flooding pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 CTP updated but didn't seem to have anything new in the discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mahantango Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Dear god. Had 2.5" here last night and .3" so far today. Another 10" would be insane. Make for some good flooding pics. This would be a terrible flood with farmers crops still in the field! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 CTP updated but didn't seem to have anything new in the discussion. given the dangerous aspects to the future forecast, I thought the disco was charitably underwhelming. I expected better honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mahantango Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 given the dangerous aspects to the future forecast, I thought the disco was charitably underwhelming. I expected better honestly. Same here considering the possible heavy rain and flooding, they are always coservative. by the way I wish I was still down at HHi was down the first week of August, stayed at Beachwood on South Forrest Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 given the dangerous aspects to the future forecast, I thought the disco was charitably underwhelming. I expected better honestly. Yeah, that surprised me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I too was looking forward to a nice, meaty discussion. The long range section hasn't been updated since early this morning and still references last night's NAM/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Same here considering the possible heavy rain and flooding, they are always coservative. by the way I wish I was still down at HHi was down the first week of August, stayed at Beachwood on South Forrest Beach. I know Beachwood. We have a condo in Sea Pines (south beach area), but live in Moss Creek near the bridge. Heavy rain is no problem here. It can rain 3" in an hour, and five minutes later, no standing water. I hope everyone in that area up north stays safe and below flood stage. Watching water rise is THE most helpless feeling in the world. 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 It looks like thus far the only thing that was changed in the 6:34p update was the aviation section. I'm sure we will have some kind of a detailed discussion eventually this evening. At least i'd hope so.. I mean we are talking rainfall totals being printed out that would do a run of the mill nor'easter proud if we were talking snowfall inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 .51" today 57.2° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 CTP where are the watches? lol .7" so far today and 2.5" last night. 3.2" and a boatload to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted September 6, 2011 Author Share Posted September 6, 2011 HRRR doing a great job with the increasing winds forecast. Probably had a couple gusts well into the 20's the past couple mins. Hope the HRRR is also right with this wind not lasting long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Are they terminating the Flood Watch or going to renew it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Another update at 8:44 without an actual update at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted September 6, 2011 Author Share Posted September 6, 2011 Sweet moisture feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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