IsentropicLift Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Doesn't look like an E shift to me. quite a few members, and the 18z NAM as well have the cut off between heavy rain and excessive rain closer to I-95, I'm not suprised, as almost always seems to be the case, the JP zone tends to shift one way or another from 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 5, 2011 Author Share Posted September 5, 2011 Doesn't look like an E shift to me. in terms of heavy rain it did.. well it just increased the totals down by phl...so you can say its wetter or came east a little.. heres 9z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Doesn't look like an E shift to me. yeah, looks like it came back in line with the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 in terms of heavy rain it did.. well it just increased the totals down by phl...so you can say its wetter or came east a little.. heres 9z Actually Tom, when I toggle back and forth between the two, the new one is more west based than the 9z. I take that to mean that the back end of the event is much more heavily west based, and that the western part of the Mt Holly region is equally hit on the front end. Not really a shift at all. Agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 5, 2011 Author Share Posted September 5, 2011 Actually Tom, when I toggle back and forth between the two, the new one is more west based than the 9z. I take that to mean that the back end of the event is much more heavily west based, and that the western part of the Mt Holly region is equally hit on the front end. Not really a shift at all. Agree? im sayng for the phl and nj area. The heaviest slid west, but the overall rain shield expanded east. 9z had cape may county at a half inch or less, 15z has them .75-1. Most likely do to more variance in guidance. 9z 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 im sayng for the phl and nj area. The heaviest slid west, but the overall rain shield expanded east. 9z had cape may county at a half inch or less, 15z has them .75-1. Most likely do to more variance in guidance. 9z 15z Okay, I see what you were talking about. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Any updates on the heavy rain threats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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