winterwarlock Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Im ready for a dry and toasty end to September through October. We dont need anymore rain that is for sure. Simply awful way to end the "summer season" with this crappy cloudy dreary weather. They owe us better weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Three day storm total so far from 9/6, 9/7, and 9/8, 3.68" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 Im ready for a dry and toasty end to September through October. We dont need anymore rain that is for sure. Simply awful way to end the "summer season" with this crappy cloudy dreary weather. They owe us better weather good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 4.84 in. here so far. 26.37 in. since Aug 1st! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 4.1" here. The Hudson river is a chocolate milk color from all the runoff....Ive never seen it that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 I am sick of my basement flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Another bad situation up here.... Roughly another 7" areawide in the county with school closings and mandatory evacuations.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 4.1" here. The Hudson river is a chocolate milk color from all the runoff....Ive never seen it that bad. I mentioned that a couple of days ago. Also spilling out into the East River and the entrance to NY harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Hoping the new NAM is correct. Shows virtually nothing the rest of today or tomorrow. I am sick of my basement flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 The NAM has been pathetic from start to finish with this event, you only need to look at the radar to see just how wrong it is look at its initialization It has the rain too far displaced to the SW, then it has the rain displaced too far north instead of over NE PA, and it shows nothing of the new rain and storms firing over central NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 4.68" here so far overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Really remarkable snow and rainfall amounts over relatively short periods of time since late December. Just using NYC.... 12/26/10-1/27/11...56 inches of snow 8/1/11-9/8/11........24.28 inches of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Sun is out.....hopefully we are past the heaviest rain. Katia's distant approach should allow some subsidence to work in as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Really amazing when you consider the average return period of these types of events. For example, the 45-day average recurrence interval for 23.5" of rain is 1000 years. With 24.28" over just 39 days, this has been surpassed. In other words, based on these statistics, we're looking at a well over 1000 yr event over the past 30-45 days. FYI, I'm using this site for the stats (used Jersey City since there are updated stats for NJ). Really remarkable snow and rainfall amounts over relatively short periods of time since late December. Just using NYC.... 12/26/10-1/27/11...56 inches of snow 8/1/11-9/8/11........24.28 inches of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Really amazing when you consider the average return period of these types of events. For example, the 45-day average recurrence interval for 23.5" of rain is 1000 years. With 24.28" over just 39 days, this has been surpassed. In other words, based on these statistics, we're looking at a well over 1000 yr event over the past 30-45 days. FYI, I'm using this site for the stats (used Jersey City since there are updated stats for NJ). Interesting site.I had my heaviest 12 and 24 hour rainfall total here back on August 14th. That spotter is very close to my location. LIDO BEACH 10.87 625 PM 8/14 SKYWARN SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Now watch us struggle for precipitation when it matters, 3-4 months from now, which I think is a distinct possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 How can someone even take the EC seriously when it shows Katia at 934mb in 24hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Now watch us struggle for precipitation when it matters, 3-4 months from now, which I think is a distinct possibility. Hoping for at worst an 08-09 type winter. We broke 30 inches but most of the storm systems that effected us were starved of moisture leading to a lot of nickel and dime stuff. If we can achieve the 08-09 temperature profile and manage 20-25 inches of snow, I'll be overjoyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Hoping for at worst an 08-09 type winter. We broke 30 inches but most of the storm systems that effected us was starved of moisture leading to a lot of nickel and dime stuff. If we can achieve the 08-09 temperature profile and manage 20-25 inches of snow, I'll be overjoyed. Yeah. 08-09 was not bad at all in my part of Queens. A lot of small events, but spread out over most of the winter. Was well above average and finished with 33.4" that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 08-09 was fine overall except for the fact that my area barely squeezed out 4-5" during the march storm when many others got their first 10-12" storm in over 3 years Yeah. 08-09 was not bad at all in my part of Queens. A lot of small events, but spread out over most of the winter. Was well above average and finished with 33.4" that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 The models are liking the idea of an early fall cold front next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 The models are liking the idea of an early fall cold front next week. Yes, that is some impressive chilliness for this early in the met fall season. Everyone better get their guesses in for fist trace, could be a sign for an early season snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Possibly but the last time we got this cold this early was '07 when we had lows in the 40s mid month and highs in the 60s. a week later it hit 90 and we had an incredibly warm October. Yes, that is some impressive chilliness for this early in the met fall season. Everyone better get their guesses in for fist trace, could be a sign for an early season snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Possibly but the last time we got this cold this early was '07 when we had lows in the 40s mid month and highs in the 60s. a week later it hit 90 and we had an incredibly warm October. That was a first year nina following a pretty strong nino and a very different summer before the winter so I am not that worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Yes it wasn't a wet month at all either. We basically had a 4 week extension of summer before we got any true fall weather again That was a first year nina following a pretty strong nino and a very different summer before the winter so I am not that worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Passaic in major flood again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 binghamton not doing well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Passaic in major flood again. and its only going to get worse.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Yes, that is some impressive chilliness for this early in the met fall season. Everyone better get their guesses in for fist trace, could be a sign for an early season snowfall. Decent radiational cooling signal for the usual spots if the 7-10 day pattern is close to forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Possibly but the last time we got this cold this early was '07 when we had lows in the 40s mid month and highs in the 60s. a week later it hit 90 and we had an incredibly warm October. Such a brutal fall.......our coldest lows temps happen in september, until late november came around. Give me a text book fall and chilly/windy halloween. The last 2-3 falls have been pretty good.....love looking at the fall color and that crisp morning air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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