psv88 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 This lightning is no joke. sick display out here...these events often surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Jesus, it feels like we're living in Mumbai lately. Enough of the rain. Give me a couple of dry, sunny, 70/50 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Great lightning display right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Gunshot thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Top 5 downpour of my life just now holy crap! The rain came down so hard and so loud it was deafening! Craziness. Water on road is at an equal level as the sidewalks. Really incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 3.95" so far .20" just within 5 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 Absolutly pouring, I expect most of NE NJ to be under a Flash Flood Warning within the next few minutes, radar shows a large area of 1.0" + per hour rainfall rates where FFG is well below that, especially over Passaic County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Another quick downpour. I see Central Park is over 4" for the month already. Probably well over 20" within the last 30 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Radar doesn't look as impressive this time, but the downpour is just as heavy as the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 expect storm (QPF) coverage to fill in over NJ and last for quite awhile, as per the SPC WRF which has nailed this thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 NAM fail, it has been bad this entire event so its no real suprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Just had a clap of thunder here that felt likeva bomb went off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Well over 4 inches of rain so far running 3 day total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 1.48" since midnight storm total of 5.41" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Storm totals so far NYC: 5.0 EWR: 4.68 LGA: 3.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 6.16" storm total so far. The basement is starting to take on water again. Enough is enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Before Aug 14th,I recorded 2 rainstorms of 5+ inches in Nov 1977 and April 15 2007.Today is my 3rd time since August 14th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Storm totals so far NYC: 5.0 EWR: 4.68 LGA: 3.75 no model showed anything close to this amount of rain. All models fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 no model showed anything close to this amount of rain. All models fail Those streets by the lindenwood diner must have feet of water in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 no model showed anything close to this amount of rain. All models fail Actually the GFS did last week, it should of stuck to it's Guns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 no model showed anything close to this amount of rain. All models fail Agreed. Models were despicable with this event for the most part. Most of the heavier totals were supposed to be in Central PA and Upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Here in suffolk county,li its pretty much been a hit or miss shower type of event nothing special here. In matter of fact the sun was out for a few hours yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Agreed. Models were despicable with this event for the most part. Most of the heavier totals were supposed to be in Central PA and Upstate NY. and heavy rain did fall in those areas but the rain we had was more convective in nature, especially last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Agreed. Models were despicable with this event for the most part. Most of the heavier totals were supposed to be in Central PA and Upstate NY. The heaviest rains are there.SOme areas have had nearly 15 inches of rainfall.Hersheypark in CentralPA has a river by it with a 20+ flood stage.ANimals from the zoo have drowned i the floodwaters there.The Susquehanna is going to reach and even surpass the levels it reaches in 1972 with Agnes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 I think that the GFS did a great job hinting at this potential.You have to realize that when you add convection to the mix,that the models will underestimate the rainfall totals.Here's the PW map from the GFS showing the potential from yesterday and the model had heavier amounts over our area for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 I think that the GFS did a great job hinting at this potential.You have to realize that when you add convection to the mix,that the modelswill underestimate the rainfall totals.Here's the PW map from the GFS showing the potential from yesterday and the model had heavieramounts over our area for several days. THe GFS for some reason usually does very well with heavy rainfall events and outperforms every other model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 THe GFS for some reason usually does very well with heavy rainfall events and outperforms every other model. I remember several days in advance when the 18z run back in August shifted east first with the heavy rains and the South Shore picked up 10 inches of rain on that Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Looks like we'll get a break in the rain with perhaps even some breaks in the clouds, over the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Looks like we'll get a break in the rain with perhaps even some breaks in the clouds, over the next couple of hours. Yeah that area of storms and heavy rain shifted east pretty quickly after 6:00. What we need is about a 3 month break. Back to a swamp around here. We were extremely lucky to have those 7/8 days post Irene to dry and stay rain free. Some storms moving north off the water into s-nj and the firehose still in c-e PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Looks like we'll get a break in the rain with perhaps even some breaks in the clouds, over the next couple of hours. The sun just came out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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