SACRUS Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Models seem to be all over the place in terms of the timing and intensity of the rain. Flood watches are up, Upton says most of the rain falls tonight and tomorrow. Mt Holly has rain most of the week for central/NW NJ. Seems like we should just expect a shower at almost any time from this afternoon through at least tomorrow night. Yeah looks like a pretty lousy week for kids to go back to school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Temperature has been holding steady at 68 degrees here all morning. Hasn't budged. Different world over there I see. Nice warm start to labor day but unfortunately clouds and showers will be quick to arrive. Temps already near or in the low 80s. Many places made it to 88/89 yesterday with only isolated 90 degree readings - none at the official stations. Clouds and rain may be the story most of this week after being very lucky to have 8 days of no rain. Guidance split but implying the brunt of the heaviest rain from a lingering front and 'Lee' should stay west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 And where are you? Put it in your information so we all know. Very heavy downpour right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Temperature has been holding steady at 68 degrees here all morning. Hasn't budged. Different world over there I see. Big difference across NJ this morning. I've got brilliant sun and 82/73 here in Monmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 And where are you? Put it in your information so we all know. Sussex, NJ I have "NW New Jersey" as my location, but I'll change it to be more specific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Temperature has been holding steady at 68 degrees here all morning. Hasn't budged. Different world over there I see. 67* here.. We just had an absolute downpour 15 mins ago.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Clouds breaking to sunshine and putting a nice close on a very nice and summery Labor Day weekend. Temps hovering in the low 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Temp hovering 68-69 all day with about 1.23" of rain. Crappy labor day for the interior.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Temp hovering 68-69 all day with about 1.23" of rain. Crappy labor day for the interior.. GFS and NAM still insisting the brunt of the rain stays west of the area. Looks like Thu may be the wettest day here/NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 GFS still has over an inch tonight thru late tomorrow night. But the way the radar looks they may not see anything before midnight when it was supposed to get in here mid afternoon. GFS and NAM still insisting the brunt of the rain stays west of the area. Looks like Thu may be the wettest day here/NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 wow, is it going to rain or not tomorrow. I cant believe the forecast is so uncertain at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Had moderate to very heavy downpours since noon here in the Poconos. Just west of Sussex County NJ. Around 1.50 of rain for the day so far. Temp is 60 degrees, front has moved through. Feels amazing outside right now, No humid/tropical feel to the air at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Had moderate to very heavy downpours since noon here in the Poconos. Just west of Sussex County NJ. Around 1.50 of rain for the day so far. Temp is 60 degrees, front has moved through. Feels amazing outside right now, No humid/tropical feel to the air at all. Front is between you and I here in SE Sussex County. Still humid but temps into the upper 60's. Little less total rain thus far but up to 0.84" at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Front is between you and I here in SE Sussex County. Still humid but temps into the upper 60's. Little less total rain thus far but up to 0.84" at this time. You will feel a nice difference once that front swings through, temp down to 59 now in my area. Last I saw, the front was making it's way through Sussex County, should be on your door step soon. Also looks like some heavy rain bands working their way up into your area. They just missed me to the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 You will feel a nice difference once that front swings through, temp down to 59 now in my area. Last I saw, the front was making it's way through Sussex County, should be on your door step soon. Also looks like some heavy rain bands working their way up into your area. They just missed me to the southeast. Yes it is close it seems and perhaps just going through or just went through. Winds to light in my sheltered location to note a wind shift but temp dow to 65 and DP 63 with pressure rising slowly. Decent rain the past hour or so. Up to 0.99". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 You will feel a nice difference once that front swings through, temp down to 59 now in my area. Last I saw, the front was making it's way through Sussex County, should be on your door step soon. Also looks like some heavy rain bands working their way up into your area. They just missed me to the southeast. Nice and refreshing Down to 62* with 1.36" of rain so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Nice and refreshing Down to 62* with 1.36" of rain so far.. Feels great! Last night was in the low 70's at this time. hizz hell with that man. Boy, this thread sure does get quiet when all the action is west near us huh? Anyways, it's going to be a very interesting couple days for Nepa,Nw Nj, and the Western Hudson Valley. We gotta see how far east the heaviest rains will make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Feels great! Last night was in the low 70's at this time. hizz hell with that man. Boy, this thread sure does get quiet when all the action is west near us huh? Anyways, it's going to be a very interesting couple days for Nepa,Nw Nj, and the Western Hudson Valley. We gotta see how far east the heaviest rains will make it. Things arent looking to pretty up here. Still quite a few roads closed from either sinkholes or flooding. Glad to see you posting more here in American instead of that "bootleg" board where their star "MET" is Steve D.. smh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Shocked you only have a little over an inch (more now I bet). I'm at 2.04" in Andover and still raining moderately with plenty more upstream on the radar. K12N (NWS Andover) has had 2.11" today (as of their last ob) so pretty big gradient between Andover and Sparta which are adjacent towns. Going to be some local flooding issues for sure around here but hoping the bigger rains stay out of the Passaic and Pompon basins as those poor people do not need any rising waters now that those rivers have finally begun to recede. Yes it is close it seems and perhaps just going through or just went through. Winds to light in my sheltered location to note a wind shift but temp dow to 65 and DP 63 with pressure rising slowly. Decent rain the past hour or so. Up to 0.99". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Feels great! Last night was in the low 70's at this time. hizz hell with that man. Boy, this thread sure does get quiet when all the action is west near us huh? Anyways, it's going to be a very interesting couple days for Nepa,Nw Nj, and the Western Hudson Valley. We gotta see how far east the heaviest rains will make it. Funny how that works. Just natural to be more interested when directly affected. Tonight through early tomorrow is our sure thing. An additional ~1-2" on top of the 1-2" that has fallen as of now. Later tomorrow through Wednesday you are correct in that the final placement of the heaviest axis will be key to if we just get a real soaker or a truly excessive event. NWS PHI just issued a flash flood warning for several NW NJ counties till ~ 2AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Things arent looking to pretty up here. Still quite a few roads closed from either sinkholes or flooding. Glad to see you posting more here in American instead of that "bootleg" board where their star "MET" is Steve D.. smh lol Ahh I hear ya man, I just have been on the other site from day one it's always home to me. Sometimes the people can get on my nerves, but I dont let it bother me. Since that issue last winter with you and I against them, I keep my guard up. My biggest issue on this site is, what freaking area to post in! lol I'm sandwiched between, Upstate NY/Pennsylvania,Philly,or NYC threads. That is why it sucks sometimes living 5-10 min from NJ and 20 from Ny State. Hard to choose a location to post in. Other than that, it's nice to see a board pretty much constantly active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Funny how that works. Just natural to be more interested when directly affected. Tonight through early tomorrow is our sure thing. An additional ~1-2" on top of the 1-2" that has fallen as of now. Later tomorrow through Wednesday you are correct in that the final placement of the heaviest axis will be key to if we just get a real soaker or a truly excessive event. NWS PHI just issued a flash flood warning for several NW NJ counties till ~ 2AM. Your right. I honestly think we get in on some pretty heavy rains tomorrow night and Wed. By the way, looks like Mt holly just issued a flash flood warning for Sussex County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Ahh I hear ya man, I just have been on the other site from day one it's always home to me. Sometimes the people can get on my nerves, but I dont let it bother me. Since that issue last winter with you and I against them, I keep my guard up. My biggest issue on this site is, what freaking area to post in! lol I'm sandwiched between, Upstate NY/Pennsylvania,Philly,or NYC. lol Other than that, it's nice to see a board pretty much constantly active. Coming down nicely now up this way... Up to 1.5" now As for me im mainly in the HV thread but occasionally pop in here as well as SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Your right. I honestly think we get in on some pretty heavy rains tomorrow night and Wed. By the way, looks like Mt holly just issued a flash flood warning for Sussex County. Yep 0.47" in the past hour and total now at 1.42". Quick look at early hours of 0z NAM show heaviest rains actually across areas to our SE through much of first 18 hours of the run. Not sure I see that at least to that degree based on the slow to almost none existant eastward movement of the steadier rains. See what the remainder of the run shows. Still think the heaviest rains later tomorrow onward will be west of the Delaware but amounts of 1-4" still possible into at least northern and western sections of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Looks like a whiff so far for areas east of Morris Co in New Jersey. The short term models have another area of very heavy rain tracking northeast over the same areas over the next 6-12 hours, and the NAM/WRF have very sharp cutoffs to the east and southeast. It will be interesting to see if the rain can work east towards the city or if they will be left, comparatively, high and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Yep 0.47" in the past hour and total now at 1.42". Quick look at early hours of 0z NAM show heaviest rains actually across areas to our SE through much of first 18 hours of the run. Not sure I see that at least to that degree based on the slow to almost none existant eastward movement of the steadier rains. See what the remainder of the run shows. Still think the heaviest rains later tomorrow onward will be west of the Delaware but amounts of 1-4" still possible into at least northern and western sections of NJ. Yeah, there isn't much eastward progression with the main rainfall shield behind the front. It is more like embedded pockets of rainfall developing along and ahead of the front for areas in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php At this rate they may have to raise precip amounts up here.. Mod-Hvy rain falling atm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 I just saw 3 random lightning flashes. o__O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 As of 130am... 2.12" of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 LLJ kicking up now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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