IsentropicLift Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 September is looking like it will end up being a very active month weather wise. We could also be dealing with affects from multiple tropical systems down the road. Post thoughts here about the end of summer, the tropics and or predictions about Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Hoping for lots of 70 degree days, 50s at night and quiet weather for a while. I can track storm threat after storm threat in the winter, even if we've had 50" of snow, but after Irene I really don't need to see another tropical disturbance for a while. September is looking like it will end up being a very active month weather wise. We could also be dealing with affects from multiple tropical systems down the road. Post thoughts here about the end of summer, the tropics and or predictions about Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Look at the NAM picking up on the cooler waters offshore/resulting temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Front over the holiday weekend looks like it might dampen some plans...not a complete washout though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 12z GFS continues to point to a deluge Wednesday through Sunday of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 If you look at the SST Atlantic basin wide, you can see the temperatures recovering nicely in the wake of Irene, of course we have just about reached our maximum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Interestingly our last 90 degree day was back on August 8th. I remember a few people saying it could be our last one for the summer. I'd say there's a strong possibility they might be right. Sunday looks to be the warmest of the next 7 with a good shot at upper 80s depending on how much sun we get. Then we might get one last shot mid September.Last year. EWR hit 90 twice after 9/20 last year so I suppose we still have about 3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 Front over the holiday weekend looks like it might dampen some plans...not a complete washout though. overall the GFS actually trended a tad drier in the next 7 days than 6z, whatever comes out of the Gulf and the tropics will play a large roll in our pattern the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 FWIW, the DGEX is a flooding nightmare beyond 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 ^^^^^^^reminds me of the remains of opal in Oct 1995 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 NYC has officially recorded it's 'wettest' month ever, with 18.95 inches in August, the most in a single month since records began in 1868. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Despite all stations only topping out at 81-87 degrees areawide, it felt really hot outside. We were so used to all the cooler weather, over the past 3 weeks, that any heat feels much hotter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 At 12z the GFS was aimed at Bermuda, now its looking like a goal post split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Boring. Lets get another September TOR in here and let's roast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Despite all stations only topping out at 81-87 degrees areawide, it felt really hot outside. We were so used to all the cooler weather, over the past 3 weeks, that any heat feels much hotter. Aside from a few days during the hurricane the last 3 weeks has beensimilar or warmer than today - in the 80 - 89 degree range and mostly near avg or above, but we did miss another 90. August ends LGA: -0.3 NYC: +0.1 JFK: +0.6 NYC : +1.1 EWR : +1.1 TTN: +1.5 ACY: +1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Luckily the GFS has seemed to have backed off the wet weather starting the middle of next week. Certainly don't need another 3 to 5" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Aside from a few days during the hurricane the last 3 weeks has beensimilar or warmer than today - in the 80 - 89 degree range and mostly near avg or above, but we did miss another 90. August ends LGA: -0.3 NYC: +0.1 JFK: +0.6 NYC : +1.1 EWR : +1.1 TTN: +1.5 ACY: +1.1 Disagree with this statement. The 1st 9 days of the month were very warm and we had +4 to +7 anomalies areawide. Since August 9th, it has generally been well below normal in NYC and LGA and LGA finished below normal and NYC/JFK even. If you take out the 1st 9 days, every station would have finished -1 to -3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Central Park was running about +3 through the first 10 days of the month and since then has had an amazing amount of days within 2 degrees of normal. Only one day of +3 or greater and 4 days of -4 to -5 departures. 16 days during the month were +2 to -2. Was about as average an August you'll ever see (no more than a 6 degree departure either way). Obviously with all the rain and recent cool weather following the insane heat of July made it feel even cooler than it was. Disagree with this statement. The 1st 9 days of the month were very warm and we had +4 to +7 anomalies areawide. Since August 9th, it has generally been well below normal in NYC and LGA and LGA finished below normal and NYC/JFK even. If you take out the 1st 9 days, every station would have finished -1 to -3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Central Park was running about +3 through the first 10 days of the month and since then has had an amazing amount of days within 2 degrees of normal. Only one day of +3 or greater and 4 days of -4 to -5 departures. 16 days during the month were +2 to -2. Was about as average an August you'll ever see (no more than a 6 degree departure either way). Obviously with all the rain and recent cool weather following the insane heat of July made it feel even cooler than it was. Yes. It was a very nice month, IMO. A couple shots early on of heat, some nice severe weather, a tropical storm and shots of cool weather. A month for all weather enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Disagree with this statement. The 1st 9 days of the month were very warm and we had +4 to +7 anomalies areawide. Since August 9th, it has generally been well below normal in NYC and LGA and LGA finished below normal and NYC/JFK even. If you take out the 1st 9 days, every station would have finished -1 to -3. Temps (aside from Irene) had been int he 80 - 89 range nothing too warm or well below normal - right near normal even with the ridiculous rains. But you were right about no more 90s just not well below normal and a Strong turn around from the first week and July. EWR 10 89 71 +3 0.00 11 85 70 +1 0.00 12 87 63 -2 0.00 13 87 69 +2 trace 14 75 68 -4 6.40 15 81 70 +0 0.16 16 81 66 -2 0.18 17 89 66 +2 0.00 18 86 70 +2 0.07 19 86 67 +1 0.82 20 89 65 +1 0.00 21 87 72 +5 0.48 22 81 68 +0 0.00 23 82 62 -3 0.00 24 83 62 -2 0.00 25 80 73 +2 0.20 26 85 72 +4 0.00 27 80 74 +3 3.70 28 78 64 -3 5.22 29 80 56 -6 0.00 30 84 61 -1 0.00 31 86 63 +2 0.00 NYC 9 83 71 +1 2.09 10 86 70 +2 0.00 11 82 69 +0 0.00 12 84 64 -2 0.00 13 85 69 +1 trace 14 72 67 -6 5.81 15 77 68 -3 0.56 16 78 65 c-3 0.02 17 86 66 +1 0.00 18 83 67 +0 0.07 19 84 65 +0 1.24 20 85 64 +0 0.00 21 84 70 +2 0.67 22 77 65 -4 0.00 23 79 61 -5 0.00 24 80 67 +0 0.00 25 78 72 +1 0.49 \26 83 71 +3 0.00 27 78 71 +1 2.88 28 75 65 -4 3.99 29 77 59 -5 0.00 30 82 61 -1 31 85 63 +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 They're back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Yeah John, I just posted that in the severe thread. Thats probably our final shot at 90's this year. If there is enough sunshine, it's almost a lock for non-coastal areas to break 90 on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Yeah John, I just posted that in the severe thread. Thats probably our final shot at 90's this year. If there is enough sunshine, it's almost a lock for non-coastal areas to break 90 on Sunday. Nice, made a rare weekend tee time, woot woot! Bring on the heat, the course needs to dry out a little before fall golf sets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Upton is keeping us dry now on Sunday with a 50% chance Sunday night and Monday. Going with highs low to mid 70s Tues and Wed with 50s at night Nice, made a rare weekend tee time, woot woot! Bring on the heat, the course needs to dry out a little before fall golf sets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Aside from a few days during the hurricane the last 3 weeks has beensimilar or warmer than today - in the 80 - 89 degree range and mostly near avg or above, but we did miss another 90. August ends LGA: -0.3 NYC: +0.1 JFK: +0.6 NYC : +1.1 EWR : +1.1 TTN: +1.5 ACY: +1.1 You've got NYC listed twice, Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Yeah John, I just posted that in the severe thread. Thats probably our final shot at 90's this year. If there is enough sunshine, it's almost a lock for non-coastal areas to break 90 on Sunday. I hope I get there too-- we were in the 90s last September also. Remember what we talked about coastal areas being more likely to reach 90 in September than June lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 lets keep things warm to hot to close out summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Euro is very wet from Sunday to friday. 3 to 5 of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Euro is very wet from Sunday to friday. 3 to 5 of rain Sunday night front like the nam and gfs had a few runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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