OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 What do you want it to be like? I want people to step back from the ledge...and realize it's Dec.9th... And not act like we can actually predict that there won't be a decent threat beyond the 5 day range...since it's basically unpredictable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 If you look at the glass half full, it's close to an overrunning event. Only ten days out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I want people to step back from the ledge...and realize it's Dec.9th... And not act like we can actually predict that there won't be a decent threat beyond the 5 day range...since it's basically unpredictable... I wouldn't say that. Pattern recognition is pretty valuable for detecting threats and this pattern just isn't all that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I wouldn't say that. Pattern recognition is pretty valuable for detecting threats and this pattern just isn't all that great. that's a shocking opinion from you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I mentioned quite a while ago about the arctic cold being on the wrong side of the globe. That's a big problem ; the air has obviously been very cold, but it was partly the result of NAO blocking and the large low that resulted upstream, which failed SNE and a good chunk of NE as far as snowfall. Seasonal trends ftw it seems; it's time to start being realistic until we see a large enough NHEM pattern change AND arctic air getting involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 that's a shocking opinion from you Well is it? The next 7 days look pretty crummy barring some type of miracle retrograde event. That brings us to the 12/19 event. 3 weeks of a solid pattern gone with a pretty serious Nina. Hmmmm sounds great to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I wouldn't say that. Pattern recognition is pretty valuable for detecting threats and this pattern just isn't all that great. I agree, it's going to take a shuffle or a re-deal of the pattern, so to speak. To say there is above avg unpredictability is not true IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 it may never snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 it may never snow again. I'm sort of annoyed I went 75% of average snowfall. Should have gone balls to the wall and like 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Well is it? The next 7 days look pretty crummy barring some type of miracle retrograde event. That brings us to the 12/19 event. 3 weeks of a solid pattern gone with a pretty serious Nina. Hmmmm sounds great to me! How is that a miracle retrograde? We've been seeing retrograde threats during the rediculous 12 months of -NAO...and with a 582 dm block over Greenland...why is that so crazy? Is it because you live in the CT river valley and not coastal MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 That why i dont post here because to many are always down on snow chances and say that weather pattern isnt good for snowstorms or the winter will end early . I disagree with that and say the weather is getting better in the next three weeks . We will be getting snowstorms in dec . we will have a good winter for snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 On the plus side, it will be a sub-20 day today. Back down to 17.7/4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I'm sort of annoyed I went 75% of average snowfall. Should have gone balls to the wall and like 50% ughh you are incorrigible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 How is that a miracle retrograde? We've been seeing retrograde threats during the rediculous 12 months of -NAO...and with a 582 dm block over Greenland...why is that so crazy? Is it because you live in the CT river valley and not coastal MA? Absolutely right. Thanks for the great post. Let me start getting excited about a retrograde event that the vast majority of models don't support! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I wish Will was here to offer some insight. I know he likes the overall pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Absolutely right. Thanks for the great post. Let me start getting excited about a retrograde event that the vast majority of models don't support! being excited about something and calling something a miracle is a bit different, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I wish Will was here to offer some insight. I know he likes the overall pattern Well the 12/19-12/20 system could be good. Obviously the op Euro sucks for it but things could shake out better. I think that and the retrograde event are where we stand now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Near term sucks and not even Debbie can say with certainty what follows in its wake. I choose to remain optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Well the 12/19-12/20 system could be good. Obviously the op Euro sucks for it but things could shake out better. I think that and the retrograde event are where we stand now. it's really scary that we have to ponder an event a week and a half away. People keep harping "it's early"...but these great patterns are always "10 days out". Well, it's not really THAT early, and we've already spent almost a month saying "next week". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 The Euro op @ 240 hour has some potential. block with trough on either side means we would likely be stormy, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Well the 12/19-12/20 system could be good. Obviously the op Euro sucks for it but things could shake out better. I think that and the retrograde event are where we stand now. The problem with the retro is if it happens it'll warm up after with no snow chances. and melt whatever we get from that...so it's like which foot do we want up our azz..the right or the left? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 this your backyard right now? Man made big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Is this a negative, positve or split NAO? The heights over Greenland are actually quite low....but flanked by two blocks on either side. The glimmer of hope in the longer run is the block near Scandanavia, by day 10 it becomes another monster and shows signs or retrograding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Could we really have 2 sucky winters in a row in my area? I hope something changes quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I feel as though I've entered another dimension in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 i will be back in 8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Man made big deal yeah...that is a big deal. that's about 15' deep lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 as we thought...look closer. But .918 is closer to 1 than .925! He must be a Wiz in sales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Man made big deal There should be a ski/apres ski GTG sometime. That'd be hella fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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