SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I'm really only interested in the potential for a retrograde system Day 6-7. I'm hoping the Euro keeps some semblance of that on the 12z. I didn't check out the 0z last night..did it hold serve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I need a xanax after reading through this whole thread. ENE screwed Even when we get into good stretches with 20"+ over two weeks...(some) people in this thread will still be pessimistic. Welcome! That said, I'm going to try to drown myself in school work until the 20th...after that I've got ONE MONTH to get some sort of winter storm in here before I peace out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I need a xanax after reading through this whole thread. ENE screwed Fitting first post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Even when we get into good stretches with 20"+ over two weeks...(some) people in this thread will still be pessimistic. Welcome! That said, I'm going to try to drown myself in school work until the 20th...after that I've got ONE MONTH to get some sort of winter storm in here before I peace out! Not I......not sure whether you remember, but I was elated during certain stretches of December 2007 and 2008......but there just isn't anything to be optimistic about at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I'm really only interested in the potential for a retrograde system Day 6-7. I'm hoping the Euro keeps some semblance of that on the 12z. I didn't check out the 0z last night..did it hold serve? It snapped back to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 What does everyone think the reliable GFS will do today at 12z? ACY to ACK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 What does everyone think the reliable GFS will do today at 12z? ACY to ACK? i think the 12z nam looks legit... to be honest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 What does everyone think the reliable GFS will do today at 12z? ACY to ACK? Does ADP sponsor the GFS?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 At least we have JB in our corner for next week EURO IS MY HERO ON THE COMING STORM. The Euro further north and stronger solution is in line with the thinking I have on this. The implications are for a paralyzing blizzard in the I-80 corridor from Nebraska to the lower Great Lakes, though a lot of the snow in the eastern sections may come once the center is by. The deepening trough will take care of the other aspects farther south into the central Appalachians. Given the wind, cold, and snow that is going to occur, this is one storm to take seriously through the targeted areas. BTW... for the I-95 folks, this storm should stall in the Maritimes next week, and a new storm will travel farther south and have a much more favorable surface map or a big snow event farther south and east than this one. I don't think it will hit the depth, pressure-wise, of this, because this is liable to be sub 970 mb once to New England. This pattern is continuing to evolve about as nice as you could ask for in a La Nina-driven situation for the push abnormally far south of the snow cover line in the run up to the holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Not I......not sure whether you remember, but I was elated during certain stretches of December 2007 and 2008......but there just isn't anything to be optimistic about at the moment. You're usually in a good mood during good stretches...can't blame you for being pessimistic right now. It just looks so bleak for any real snow chances in SNE. Hopefully we can get one to pop out of thin air (sometimes that happens where lead time is only ~72 hours). Having a snowfall sig on December 9th of 0.0" isn't a bad thing, but just remember that 9 years ago today during the infamously horrible winter from 2001-2002, we were digging out of 4-8"+ of heavy wet snow. I think we wound up with ~8" at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 What does everyone think the reliable GFS will do today at 12z? ACY to ACK? st louis to chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 i think the 12z nam looks legit... to be honest yeah that might not be too far from reality. we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Chris--are you venturing out onto the pond today? I was out this morning, about 20' from the edge. There was one of the loud cracking booms off in the distance of the ice settling. No matter how thick the ice is, I always find that disconcerting. A few minutes later there was one right near me so I high tailed it off. I'ts over 3" thick so I don't think there's much to worry about. But the noise alse gives me pause. Sound of ice expanding. It's a good thing not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 i think the 12z nam looks legit... to be honest I think it's wayyy too far NW..we'll see though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Well if you were a weenie in ORD, your heart might be broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 steve...that's pretty cool...and pretty telling. if you get bored...do the same for the GFS. Where do I get archived GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 It snapped back to reality. the least interesting solution usually prevails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 the least interesting solution usually prevails. That is correct, actually, which is why major snow storms are a novelty...unless you live in the LES belts or upslope prone regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I think it's wayyy too far NW..we'll see though Really? You think it's too far NW? I, for one, am shocked. Shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 That is correct, actually, which is why major snow storms are a novelty...unless you live in the LES belts or upslope prone regions. I'll take "any snow event" for 2-4", Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Where do I get archived GFS http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/ncepmods/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 We just need snow. PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 We just need snow. PERIOD. Hopefully the rain to snow with the 2nd wave drops a few inches to the coast on monday. At this point 1-3 would be fine with everyone I think.We're getting into dangerous time now pattern wise if we don't get some snowfall soon..since we're losing our cold connection in 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 We just need snow. PERIOD. Violently agree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 We just need snow. PERIOD. Didn't you lament the lack of small events like a good ol' fashioned clipper the other day? I would love that. Considering winter ends mid-February these days the calendar is actually starting to threaten us. For those of us who don't care about cold beyond snow this is revolting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Maybe this idea of driving the initial primary to the lakes in winning... 6Z GFS has it quite far northwest.....then has the secondary development the cutting up through western NE. So yeah we could see low pressure way west, but the ultimate low into NE or the HV. NAM is of course ugly because it floods us with warmth. Gotta try to score either front end or back end.... I think it's wayyy too far NW..we'll see though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Maybe this idea of driving the initial primary to the lakes in winning... 6Z GFS has it quite far northwest.....then has the secondary development the cutting up through western NE. So yeah we could see low pressure way west, but the ultimate low into NE or the HV. NAM is of course ugly because it floods us with warmth. Gotta try to score either front end or back end.... Well the primary was always going to the Lakes..it's always been when and where does the 2ndary and how strong is the secondary gonna be? It's rain for a good part for everyone to the Candadian border...but can we flip everyone over to accumulating snow is the question. As of now that only happens for areas from ORH west...hopefully we can get that to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Didn't you lament the lack of small events like a good ol' fashioned clipper the other day? I would love that. Considering winter ends mid-February these days the calendar is actually starting to threaten us. For those of us who don't care about cold beyond snow this is revolting. Winter will not end in Feb this year......remember I said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Winter will not end in Feb this year......remember I said that. If the euro's right it might end Dec 21st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 If the euro's right it might end Dec 21st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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