weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 What's he thinking. Everyone knows you are guarding your virginity for Miley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Euro is a Hudson Valley runner now. It definitely shifted east...but doesn't make much difference for any of us. As is the case with most solutions...we start with brief snow/ice. do you think this shows any sort of trend, or do you think it's finally time to call it cooked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 do you think this shows any sort of trend, or do you think it's finally time to call it cooked? Not cooked yet in NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Well I'm 25 miles west of the Hudson so this is progress. I'd be happy with a snow -> mix (some Rain) -> snow event if that's how it plays out. That's fun to follow... Make that 2 of us.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Not cooked yet in NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 ECM ENS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 ECM ENS? Way east of 12z....just E of Cinci to just N of BWI to just E of ALB to Maine coast between PWM and BGR....so it def. shifted east, but it does no good verbatim for anyone in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Way east of 12z....just E of Cinci to just N of BWI to just E of ALB to Maine coast between PWM and BGR....so it def. shifted east, but it does no good verbatim for anyone in this region. I think a Hudson Valley runner is the most likely track. Any chances for backlash snows here in the elevated northern suburbs of NYC metro, Will, if it bombs at like 975mb near ALB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Way east of 12z....just E of Cinci to just N of BWI to just E of ALB to Maine coast between PWM and BGR....so it def. shifted east, but it does no good verbatim for anyone in this region. Thanks for the ECM ENS synopsis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Okay. I'm out, back at 4:30. There are 44 pages in this thread now. If there are fewer than 54 pages when I return in the morning, I'll know things are grim. If there are 64, I'll gas up the snowblower. Have a good one. 18.8/8 Things are grim, though the Sox picked up Crawford so not all things are grim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 6z GFS ... up the Connecticut River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 6z GFS ... up the Connecticut River Valley. That might be the HRV, Eric--thought I could be wrong.. It could be just where they drew the "L". I don't think the impact of the difference amounts to a hill of beans for 95% of the populace of New England. Either way, I'd feel a lot better to be in Rick's location and progressively worse with each mile east. I wonder if elevation will impact things much in this set up or if it's a straight E-W issue (my guess is the latter). As depicted here on the 06z run, looks like some accumulating possible on the back side for western areas. I like that 972 at the top of Champlain at 102z. 14.6/6. Temp only dropped 4* since 9:00p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 This bad boy is quickly becoming a screw job for many in the OH Valley/NE...someone will benefit nicely from the secondary low but it won't be a very large area...more people will be screwed by the primary weakening and not giving them enough snow or the primary making it too warm for snow, depending on where they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwhizkids Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Make that 2 of us.. 3 of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 That might be the HRV, Eric--thought I could be wrong.. It could be just where they drew the "L". I don't think the impact of the difference amounts to a hill of beans for 95% of the populace of New England. Either way, I'd feel a lot better to be in Rick's location and progressively worse with each mile east. I wonder if elevation will impact things much in this set up or if it's a straight E-W issue (my guess is the latter). As depicted here on the 06z run, looks like some accumulating possible on the back side for western areas. I like that 972 at the top of Champlain at 102z. 14.6/6. Temp only dropped 4* since 9:00p.m. I was going off the Raleigh's map. But anyway .. yeah, my chances are slim and none and slim is walking out the door. 5.3F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 From BOX's AFD this morning, it appears that the current forecasts for the system blended the 12z EC and the 00z GFS. Given the inclusion of wintry elements in the forecast (esp western areas) with that model blend, I suspect the EC's 00z shift to the east may give a shot in the arm to some hope of hitting the wintry elements harder. But, perhaps I'm wishcasting. Who thinks we may get solid agreement with 12z runs? 14.4/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 So the mighty Euro bowed to the GFS/Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 So the mighty Euro bowed to the GFS/Ukie. It's the new GUKIE rule. Learn it. Love it. Live it. At least for another 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 It's the new GUKIE rule. Learn it. Love it. Live it. At least for another 6 hours. In my mind we have a pretty clear idea where this ones going. Hudson Valley runner seems like the winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 In my mind we have a pretty clear idea where this ones going. Hudson Valley runner seems like the winner. Yup. Not much, if any, guidance suggesting otherwise. Congrats ROC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 In my mind we have a pretty clear idea where this ones going. Hudson Valley runner seems like the winner. Confidence building for that to be sure. I think that will allow for at least a colder rain (good for the ponds/lakes) and, if it sets up right, some possible accumulation (few inches) on the back side in some areas. Far from ideal, but given the ravenous nature of this snow-starved crowd, there will be cheering for even a coating of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Who c****. Great post. Pot>Kettle>black Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Confidence building for that to be sure. I think that will allow for at least a colder rain (good for the ponds/lakes) and, if it sets up right, some possible accumulation (few inches) on the back side in some areas. Far from ideal, but given the ravenous nature of this snow-starved crowd, there will be cheering for even a coating of snow. Teeing it up ..... My area blows for backside accumulations ... downsloping is a b*tch. Scattered snow showers. Not happy. Just took a gander at Rochester's forecast ... yes, I drooled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 ZFP out this way have low 20's for today's high. That's what we had yesterday--expected today was going to be the coldest day of the week. P/C has a high of 18, though. Hopefully the zone will bust and we stay in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 :axe: :axe: I need a break. This run blows; I'd rather see the ski resorts torch, than see the culmination of "EPIC" be cold and dry. Thankfully the EURO will likely continue to run it up the HV as a gale center. Funny, I'd rather see the CP get rainstorm after rainstorm while the snow piles up out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Euro is a Hudson Valley runner now. It definitely shifted east...but doesn't make much difference for any of us. As is the case with most solutions...we start with brief snow/ice. Let's see, it's Wednesday and the Euro is moving east for a storm Sunday. Seems like plenty of time for a more favorable solution. Of course the CP is cooked regardless, but hey, who cares what they get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Well as we thought that was a garbage Euro run yesterday. Looks like some of us see a change to snow Monday but not exactly sure where that 'll set up. Euro was awful for this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Ray lost it last nite. Wow. Hard to believe the GFS/Ukie combo wins..If the GFS is right interior gets quite a bit of frozen. We're now in the 3 day period where we can start taking it seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 the holy one. i was gonna run up and creep him out but he left early, and I didn't wanna scream "blizz!!" in front of all my friends..or kevin to an old bald guy LOL..did you see me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Teeing it up ..... My area blows for backside accumulations ... downsloping is a b*tch. Scattered snow showers. Not happy. Just took a gander at Rochester's forecast ... yes, I drooled. My first wife's family had a lake-side home on the Tug. This is how it looks for them. There are some things from a marriage gone wrong some might miss.......... http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=43.689721907017194&lon=-75.27557373046875&site=aly&smap=1&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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