OKpowdah Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Was rooting through some old stuff on my computer, and found this weenie-map I made during class a few years ago. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Watch this wind up in some gawdawful scenario that none of us consider possible... Like going west 200 more miles, or drying up to drizzle. No sense getting shorts or hammocks in a bunch just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 i really think this could be a great storm for alot of us this pattern we are in is tough and noone will probley know whats going to happen until 24 hours or less.. Sucks but gives all us of something to look forward to! the ggem ensemble mean is very far east.. coastal track. Way east of the OP. It's not just because it's an ensemble mean either, since the 00z ggem ensemble mean was a runner OH V--> nw NJ --> MWN. 12z is southern OH --> off NJ --> off CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Was rooting through some old stuff on my computer, and found this weenie-map I made during class a few years ago. Enjoy! Are those the rain totals for the fall of 2010........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Watch this wind up in some gawdawful scenario that none of us consider possible... Like going west 200 more miles, or drying up to drizzle. No sense getting shorts or hammocks in a bunch just yet. I would rather see it going 200 more miles west and track thru michigan..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I've read that the 18z GFS only brings wintry precip to WNE and ENY, but from what I can see...wintry precip gets all the way to the coast on this run. I know it's probably unlikely, but interesting to say the least. After cutting so far inland in previous runs, it is very interesting to see some models coming in much further east this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 4 of the ensemble members still cut it west of new england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Watch this wind up in some gawdawful scenario that none of us consider possible... Like going west 200 more miles, or drying up to drizzle. No sense getting shorts or hammocks in a bunch just yet. It will go the way of Friday's digging clipper. 19.7/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Trying to negotiate this disaster of model solutions is harder than driving through Calcutta in a tractor trailer... or something... How is the Canadian doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Trying to negotiate this disaster of model solutions is harder than driving through Calcutta in a tractor trailer... or something... How is the Canadian doing? It wears a toque and shoots through NY state, eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 i don't think there will be any model consensus building in the next 24-48 hours. I think this is something models lock onto later on friday as the evolution becomes apparent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 So catching up Dr NO says NO, NO ,NO way west and then GFS comes in east and splits the lows I guess. It's like teasers at the end of a TV show, makes you wait for the next installment again and again. I go to bed by 10:30pm and if I wake during the night I try not to look at the 0Z runs as it gets me all riled up and can't get back to sleep! Suppose as me get closer to the event I will be drawn in to the waiting computer down the hall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 So catching up Dr NO says NO, NO ,NO way west and then GFS comes in east and splits the lows I guess. It's like teasers at the end of a TV show, makes you wait for the next installment again and again. I go to bed by 10:30pm and if I wake during the night I try not to look at the 0Z runs as it gets me all riled up and can't get back to sleep! Suppose as me get closer to the event I will be drawn in to the waiting computer down the hall. iPod FTW... always handy. Good night to stay in bed and take a peek at the models, etc. under flannel and goosedown. (too easy) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 And if there was a year where one would happen it would be this year, I don't know about you but i will be glad to have 2010 in the rearview mirror......... I hope you guys aren't serious about this whole 2010 curse thing...the atmosphere doesn't know what year it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 4 of the ensemble members still cut it west of new england Majority have some sort of a coastal, a few out to sea, and one with a superstorm. So much for consensus, the only thing the ensembles can tell us is how far apart the solutions are at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 My brain says inside runner with high winds rain with dry slot then colder with secondary backside snow with ULL . Heavy heavy backside CAA with damaging winds and bitter wind chills, snow cover coast to Mts by Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 Majority have some sort of a coastal, a few out to sea, and one with a superstorm. So much for consensus, the only thing the ensembles can tell us is how far apart the solutions are at this point How where are you guys seeing 18z individual members ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 How where are you guys seeing 18z individual members ? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_18z/f108.html http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_18z/f114.html http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_18z/f120.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I hope you guys aren't serious about this whole 2010 curse thing...the atmosphere doesn't know what year it is. As a heart attack..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Wow, regardless of what happens with the weekend storm it looks bomber cold here next week. Forecast high of 11 here for Tuesday. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 Has anyone noticed that there is a weak Gulf wave right now actually that eventually the GFS and many of its members are using to pin-point the Miller B transition? It's already there in the the gulf according to the GFS, but the only thing that is there on satellite is a CAA scenario. Interesting...I wonder if there is a cold wash convective feed-back going on there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 http://www.meteo.psu...E_18z/f108.html http://www.meteo.psu...E_18z/f114.html http://www.meteo.psu...E_18z/f120.html thanks Will - actually you only need one of these because it has a next frame option in the top left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I hope you guys aren't serious about this whole 2010 curse thing...the atmosphere doesn't know what year it is. Oh, yes it most certainly does! 19.0/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 lol...did you guys catch the goofy 18z DGEX? 956mb over ORH from the 2nd wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_18z/f108.html http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_18z/f114.html http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_18z/f120.html GEFS 18z bring 850 through CNE , then pops coastal with . 5 snow eqiv, 40% chance, check out the 850t at one point CHH is plus 8 while ATL is minus 16, crazy http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/NAM/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 lol...did you guys catch the goofy 18z DGEX? 956mb over ORH from the 2nd wave. It has 850 temps close to +10 here at one point while they are -10C near the MA/NY border...a 20C spread in 850 temps over like 65 miles. edit: actually most of that gradient is in a 30 mile span...the 850s are still like +8 in the CT River valley at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Wow, regardless of what happens with the weekend storm it looks bomber cold here next week. Forecast high of 11 here for Tuesday. Nice. You missed a roller coaster day of model watching, Pete. How was the skiing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 lol...did you guys catch the goofy 18z DGEX? 956mb over ORH from the 2nd wave. Hurricane evacs in progress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 It has 850 temps close to +10 here at one point while they are -10C near the MA/NY border...a 20C spread in 850 temps over like 65 miles. edit: actually most of that gradient is in a 30 mile span...the 850s are still like +8 in the CT River valley at the time. 2m temps...Single digits and pouring snow in VT at 132hr and then well into the 40s in W ME all the way up to Rangeley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 GEFS 18z bring 850 through CNE , then pops coastal with . 5 snow eqiv, 40% chance, check out the 850t at one point CHH is plus 8 while ATL is minus 16, crazy http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/NAM/ yep, big bomb on the frankenmodel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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