Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:30 PM, CT Blizz said: Fairy tales can come true..they can happen to you It will be colder in Florida, you and Pickles road trip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 It's hard to believe it'll be 8 tomorrow morning and 70 Monday....wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:25 PM, CT Blizz said: So we're all left hoping an ULL on a 6-7 day prog delivers some snow to SNE...I quit I think the only people in New england who have a realistic shot at snow from the main LP are in Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:33 PM, Ginx said: It will be colder in Florida, you and Pickles road trip? road trip to westen Pa/ NY .......load up the bus....i'll do it......take Mon off ......ride 10 hour west into W. NY or Nw PA and intercept heavy heavy LES bands as well as marvel over the 8 feet on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 18Z nam coming in ugly. Robust 50/50 shown at 12z is weak and north at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:35 PM, CT Blizz said: It's hard to believe it'll be 8 tomorrow morning and 70 Monday....wtf I don't buy it getting THAT warm, no matter what happens I really can't see us stretch toward 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 8, 2010 Author Share Posted December 8, 2010 wouldn't it be funny if the model were all underdone with the PP north in the end and this wound up with more cold air and resistence to polarward motion? wouldn't be the first time. i've seen very many extended range closed off bombs that ended up colder than the othe way around. haha - joke would be everthing, machine and man. wah wah wahhhhhhhh went the said trumpet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:11 PM, CT Blizz said: Well now we have to toss our cookies. No need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:38 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: I don't buy it getting THAT warm, no matter what happens I really can't see us stretch toward 70 it did in the disaster of 06-07. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:37 PM, ClashmoreMike said: 18Z nam coming in ugly. Robust 50/50 shown at 12z is weak and north at 18z. wow it's not often you see a 980 mb storm (well east of maritimes) shift 1000 miles NW (to the N Pole)...or perhaps it is on the nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:32 PM, CoastalWx said: You laugh, but it's not impossible. Look how insane the upper levels are. I hate depending on these situations as well, but it's not impossible. well the other thing that lends some credence to the idea is this general idea - an additional wave running the boundary or LP developing in response to the ULL - has been there off and on in some form or another for quite a few days. hard to say where it will go etc. but the overall theme is realistic, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:38 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: I don't buy it getting THAT warm, no matter what happens I really can't see us stretch toward 70 I could see the Cape, or maybe better, parts of interior SE Rhode Island/Massachusetts making a run at 60F though....all the models seem to show a huge warm tongue at 850mb towards Downeast Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:48 PM, nzucker said: I could see the Cape, or maybe better, parts of interior SE Rhode Island/Massachusetts making a run at 60F though....all the models seem to show a huge warm tongue at 850mb towards Downeast Maine. what a freakin shtshow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:49 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: what a freakin shtshow Here's what I mean...look at the 12z ECM with +8C 850s: GFS has +9C 850s to the Outer Cape but marine influence would keep them cooler I'd think: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:53 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Tree top snapper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 nam 84 hr LP taking shape in North central Mississippi with a 500 vortex a bit closer to closing off on MO/IOWA line hr 84...???? or not? http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/greenstein/nam00t500.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Wow, upton has the high for Tuesday at 23. Thats near record breaking territory stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Congrats Ray on 75+ gusts..enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 7:59 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The NOGAPS basically shows the GFS track...that is not good at all...I'd want to see the NOGAPS be over the benchmark given its typical bias if we were to really discount the Euro/GGEM. It just is.....I wouldn't even classify it as "not good" at this stage; just resign yourself to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:53 PM, nzucker said: Here's what I mean...look at the 12z ECM with +8C 850s: GFS has +9C 850s to the Outer Cape but marine influence would keep them cooler I'd think: Yeah I see what you mean, those heights will get pumped up pretty high. It's amazing to think that the temp might be so warm that ocean water actually keeps a place COOLER in the winter, usually you have winds coming off the ocean warming somewhere up but the case this time might be that the water keeps the cape cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:56 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Wow, upton has the high for Tuesday at 23. Thats near record breaking territory stuff. Something tells me it's... how do I put this... not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:56 PM, CT Blizz said: Congrats Ray on 75+ gusts..enjoy Ice, wind and severe wx nearly always underperform here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:53 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Getting closer to your 120 threshold, a Cape Cod Condo Crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:58 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: Yeah I see what you mean, those heights will get pumped up pretty high. It's amazing to think that the temp might be so warm that ocean water actually keeps a place COOLER in the winter, usually you have winds coming off the ocean warming somewhere up but the case this time might be that the water keeps the cape cooler. Yeah I actually think how warm they get is a product of whether there's more of a sea breeze with SE winds or just pure southerlies, which will come down to the exact track and secondary formation. If the winds stay mostly S or SSE, it could get plenty warm with +9C 850mb temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:59 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ice, wind and severe wx nearly always underperform here. I don't know what you're talking about. Driving thundersleet swirls around me at sixty miles per hour on the regular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 8:32 PM, CoastalWx said: You laugh, but it's not impossible. Look how insane the upper levels are. I hate depending on these situations as well, but it's not impossible. It's not impossible that I bend Gisele Bundchen over, either.....but I'll bet against it. JK.....I really would keep an eye on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 So the GGEM ensembles and UKMET are coastal huggers...that has to be some sort of miracle combination, right?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 9:01 PM, nzucker said: Yeah I actually think how warm they get is a product of whether there's more of a sea breeze with SE winds or just pure southerlies, which will come down to the exact track and secondary formation. If the winds stay mostly S or SSE, it could get plenty warm with +9C 850mb temps. really doesn't make much of a difference. would probably top out at 52-55...maybe a degree or two warmer inside of 95 (interior SE MA area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 On 12/8/2010 at 9:02 PM, Zeus said: I don't know what you're talking about. Driving thundersleet swirls around me at sixty miles per hour on the regular. You're on a roll today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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