Kmlwx Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 I don't know but what did JB say for winter? Frozen everything - included frozen H20 - no job for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 I think the full scale exercise should be geared towards an event with little lead time. Tornado or terrorist attack would be best. A Cat 2 would have days of lead time so the impacts can be greatly mitigated through pre-event preparation. I'll never forget 9-11. Plane hit the Pentagon as I was driving across the 14th St bridge. Didn't hear or see anything other than a huge plume of black smoke in my rearview. I was working @ the fairchild building a couple blocks south of the Capital. I walked into the building and security turned me around. People were just starting to spill into the streets. I jumped in my car and got across th case bridge and up 295 before gridlock happened. I was soo lucky to beat the rush because what happened to downtown dc was terrible. If we are going to spend a lot of time and money practicing anything it should be an event with little to no lead time. Just mho though. Back on topic: I could clearly see the easterly low level flow and southwesterly mid level flow with the clouds a few minutes ago. Any convection that does fire could have some interesting winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Downtown: sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Lotta sun! Don't know if that will help much for this afternoon's storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Not a whole lot on the SPC mesoanalysis as of 1600z to be excited about.. but 1500-2000 SBCAPE is showing up in the LWX area along and east of I-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Models have really been under-forecasting the CAPE in the area in recent weeks... actual CAPE (1500-2000 in MD) is 500+ J/kg higher than what the models have been showing around this time. MLCAPE and the ML lapse rates are on the poorer side at the moment... going to see some improvement, but probably not to a very good level of instability in that regard. Considering going up to the Frederick/I-70 area later if it looks like storms are going to pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 HWO did mention spotter activation possible this afternoon... as well as risk for a tornado and damaging winds. Also slight chance for severe storms tomorrow as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Decent Cu field forming in the southern areas now... just gotta get some of them to pop later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 OT - but what do you folks think of the DC full scale exercise going on today. They decided to simulate a cat 2 hurricane direct hit on DC. Doesn't seem very realistic to me. They should have simulated something that is actually within the realm of potential - like Agnes flooding or terrorist attack or tornado outbreak. A cat 2 is possible but the angle of approach and pattern really has to be incredibly favorable. Seems like a huge waste of money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 The sun is blinding me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 The sun is blinding me SCIENCE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 OT - but what do you folks think of the DC full scale exercise going on today. They decided to simulate a cat 2 hurricane direct hit on DC. Doesn't seem very realistic to me. They should have simulated something that is actually within the realm of potential - like Agnes flooding or terrorist attack or tornado outbreak. A cat 2 is possible but the angle of approach and pattern really has to be incredibly favorable. Useless, DC should prepare for a tornado emergency rather than a hurricane, needs sirens due to high tourist activity. Topographical influence results in the DC/MD area actually seeing a higher concentration of tornadoes than one might think, and capable of producing what we had tear through La Plata awhile back, an EF5 I believe? Forget MD's ranking but it was in the top-10 as far as tornado-concentration goes, and one of those fast moving things could cause a heavy fatality # without adequate warning, which unfortunately sometimes needs to be clear and made aware to anyone in danger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 BTW Pepco can go suck one, was in the dark for 2hrs this morning from the lightning/storm/whatever caused it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 The sun is blinding me So thats what that yellow thing in the sky is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 So thats what that yellow thing in the sky is quick, everyone post on facebook about it so Ian can get angry again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 quick, everyone post on facebook about it so Ian can get angry again "OMG WHATS THAT BALL OF BRIGHTNESS IN TEH SKY" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 quick, everyone post on facebook about it so Ian can get angry again I agree with Ian, It is sooooooooooooo annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 I agree with Ian, It is sooooooooooooo annoying. 99% of Facebook posts are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 I agree with Ian, It is sooooooooooooo annoying. Indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 This weather is BS! I can't wait for the weekend to get here with the cool autumn air. I'm sick and tired of warm and humid. I have no idea how folks can stand living in the south. Drop me off in Labrador and I'll be quite happy thank you very much!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Retweet me! - lol https://twitter.com/#!/KMLorbz/status/119108946119237632 AND https://twitter.com/#!/KMLorbz/status/119109219684335616 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 First severe warning of the day over on Delmarva... nice Cu field over most of the region now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Warmest day in two weeks at my place. Amazing what sun will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 no good trigger we suck at life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 no good trigger we suck at life - pessimist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 no good trigger we suck at life back to back decent winters fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 fixed But we're so good at back-to-back sh**ty ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 324 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF HAMPTON IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... NORTHERN CITY OF NORFOLK IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... NORTHWESTERN CITY OF PORTSMOUTH IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CITY OF SUFFOLK IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 400 PM EDT * AT 320 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHURCHLAND...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. IN ADDITION...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... NORFOLK NAVAL AIR STATION AROUND 345 PM EDT. WILLOUGHBY SPIT AND WARDS CORNER AROUND 350 PM EDT. FORT MONROE AND OCEAN VIEW AROUND 355 PM EDT. BUCKROE BEACH...HAMPTON AND GRAND VIEW AROUND 400 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Big upper low swirling to our west, warm humid southerly flow, modest instability, sunshine available to destabilize, and there just about nothing going on? Sheesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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