Amped Posted September 18, 2011 Share Posted September 18, 2011 no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted September 18, 2011 Share Posted September 18, 2011 no yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 18, 2011 Share Posted September 18, 2011 no High in SE Canada looks interesting. Where's the 0c line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted September 18, 2011 Share Posted September 18, 2011 High in SE Canada looks interesting. Where's the 0c line? Northern Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 18, 2011 Share Posted September 18, 2011 Northern Canada. Yep right where it usually is in septenber. I assume Bob was kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 18, 2011 Share Posted September 18, 2011 Yep right where it usually is in septenber. I assume Bob was kidding. Yea, just joking around. Those questions will be for real in just 8-10 weeks though. I am so damn happy about the Skins victory. I get to take the rest of the day off and not care who wins (except for the 9ers of course). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 Mid-Atlantic record CHILL maximums on Saturday: Greensboro, NC =59; Raleigh-Durham =61; Richmond, VA =61; Washington, DC=64; Charlotte=66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 No complaints about temps in the 70s for this week. Nice wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 No complaints about temps in the 70s for this week. Nice wx. Nice for us, bad for my forecast At least the lows are up. Perfect weather for minimizing electricity costs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 Im so thirsty.. just want some water.. surgery in 3 hrs.. blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 Im so thirsty.. just want some water.. surgery in 3 hrs.. blah You get hurt in practice or game, sbos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 You get hurt in practice or game, sbos? Ahh a practice I'm redshirting now... First time I have felt honestly cold in the dorm room now. Maybe actually might turn the AC off soon. Interested to see how much rain we get late week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 sbos...that sucks, sorry to hear that. Good luck on the procedure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spud Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 No an OBS but are there any storms showing up for Friday/Saturday??? I am having an ourdoor wedding and am hopeing for some decent weather... Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 Maybe? DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0249 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2011 VALID 221200Z - 271200Z ..DISCUSSION MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE MAINTAINS AN AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN DURING THE PERIOD WITH A DEEP TROUGH/LOW MOVING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE ERN STATES AND AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES. THE GFS TENDS TO BE SLIGHTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE LONG WAVE FEATURES COMPARED TO THE ECMWF AND ESPECIALLY THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEAN...WITH CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY /STATISTICAL SPREAD/ IN THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE ERN STATES. AT THE SURFACE...A SECONDARY LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG AN EWD MOVING COLD FRONT OVER THE GENERAL MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAY 5 OR 6 /FRIDAY-SATURDAY/ AND LIFT NEWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...WITH THE FRONT MOVING EWD OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THEREAFTER. STRONG JET WINDS IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO ROTATE EWD/NEWD ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON DAYS 5-6 /FRIDAY-SATURDAY/ AND POTENTIALLY INTERACT WITH THE COLD FRONT AND ADJACENT WARM SECTOR. THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN MAY BECOME FAVORABLE FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS OVER THIS REGION...HOWEVER THIS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT...AND THE EVOLUTION OF THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CURRENT UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE SYSTEM MOVEMENT AND CONCERNS ABOUT LIMITED INSTABILITY /BASED ON CURRENT GFS FORECASTS/ PRECLUDE DELINEATION OF A 30% PROBABILITY SEVERE RISK AREA AT THIS TIME...BUT TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS. ..WEISS.. 09/19/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 Also from LWX AFD LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...A STRENGTHENING UPPER JET STREAK ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL CAUSE THE UPPER TROUGH TO AMPLIFY OVER THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES REGION THU AND FRI. STRENGTHENING SLY FLOW AND MOISTURE FLUX AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN LIKELY POPS FOR THU AND THU NGT. ANY POTENTIAL SVR WEATHER THREAT ON THU WOULD BE CONTINGENT ON ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WHICH IS HIGHLY QUESTIONABLE ATTM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 No an OBS but are there any storms showing up for Friday/Saturday??? I am having an ourdoor wedding and am hopeing for some decent weather... Thanks Someone forgot to add the Disc. part to the thread Looks messy in the region (clouds/showers+storms) but you could avoid the rain part of it (Saturday looks drier than Friday). Depends on where you are... forecast is kind of broad-brushed for the entire region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 19, 2011 Share Posted September 19, 2011 It's also worth noting that the day 4+ forecasts are fairly uncertain as we're dealing with a probable cut-off upper low that the models have been handling rather poorly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Getting some moderate rain at the moment with this line of showers moving through... 0.37" since it started around 7:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 We are losing prime nice days. Feels more like spring than fall lately. Hopefully we lock into a better pattern soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 It's also worth noting that the day 4+ forecasts are fairly uncertain as we're dealing with a probable cut-off upper low that the models have been handling rather poorly. ULLs with no precip and no surface reflection are rare in the area. GFS at least shows a weak surface low and a lot of rain now which is usually what happens. It's hard to tell haow thong the thing will stall for before the NRN stream kicks it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 I got a good soaking from this rain event, 1.01" total since yesterday evening. Currently rain mist falling, muggy and warm outside. My yearly rain surplus is starting to grow again after a drier than normal July and August. The grass is in good shape again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Cant remember the last time LWX disco talks about the potential of rain all week, perhaps heavy, into the weekend and perhaps early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Nice gentle showers here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Cant remember the last time LWX disco talks about the potential of rain all week, A couple weeks ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 A couple weeks ago? Beat me to it, wx... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Looks like just southwest of DC proper cashed in on heavier steady rains from this line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 We are losing prime nice days. Feels more like spring than fall lately. Hopefully we lock into a better pattern soon. Totally agree, tired of the wet and clouds. Just spoke with a new client who moved here from upstate NY and they ask me if this is typical September weather? I said no this is typically prime time for beautiful late summer weather. Looks like a dreary fall ahead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Looks like just southwest of DC proper cashed in on heavier steady rains from this line. Hi. I have been in some steady moderate rains for about an hour now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Pretty gross out. Only 0.15" for the trouble, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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