SoCoWx Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 Well it would seem there are other September topics in the other regional subforums but not one here. Granted, most people in this region are still cleaning up from Irene. Nevertheless, September starts in two days so here we go. Discuss away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 I can't help but look at the HPC models for the Gulf on the 5-day. Granted...that's the Gulf...but we often experience the remnants of whatever occurs there. NHC gives it a 10% chance of development but I just saw a prediction of 11.3 inches off the coast of LA. That gets caught up in a front and we have ourselves a serious rain threat. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 I can't help but look at the HPC models for the Gulf on the 5-day. Granted...that's the Gulf...but we often experience the remnants of whatever occurs there. NHC gives it a 10% chance of development but I just saw a prediction of 11.3 inches off the coast of LA. That gets caught up in a front and we have ourselves a serious rain threat. Thoughts? I don't really see it. I see the prediction of heavy rainfall in the Gulf but that does not translate to heavy rain here. GFS doesn't seem to throw a lot of QPF our way. Also, that HPC is not a model - that's the HPC QPF prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Well it looks like the GFS might be coming around to the idea of some good rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 12z GFS squashes the idea of a major cooldown thanks to that system in the Gulf. Keeps us in rain almost every day next week. Frederick precip bullsye at 192hr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 12z GFS squashes the idea of a major cooldown thanks to that system in the Gulf. Keeps us in rain almost every day next week. Frederick precip bullsye at 192hr! Dammit. Winter cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 The pattern has been rainy lately.. no reason not to think that won't continue for now IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Ian, I've been trying to find a list of all the tropical storms and hurricanes that have directly affected the DC area. Where do I find that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Ian, I've been trying to find a list of all the tropical storms and hurricanes that have directly affected the DC area. Where do I find that? I'm not Ian, but LWX has a page: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/Historic_Events/hurricane_history/index.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Euro seems disinterested in the gulf stuff up this way. Some rain up here at 0z none at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Ian, I've been trying to find a list of all the tropical storms and hurricanes that have directly affected the DC area. Where do I find that? That LWX list is very good.. I had a more comprehensive list by sifting through the WaPo archive articles from every single hurricane/TS that came close to us from best-track that I posted on Eastern. I'll try to dig that up and start a thread in this forum. The original post was about all the instances we experienced TS conditions (that I defined as frequent gusts over 40 mph) in our area from a tropical system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 12z GFS squashes the idea of a major cooldown thanks to that system in the Gulf. Keeps us in rain almost every day next week. Frederick precip bullsye at 192hr! Is that Kattia east of the mid-Atlantic in the 192 - 228 hrs of the 18z gfs? I'm not suggesting that it's right but wondering if that's what the gfs is spewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iammrben Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Anyone else see that very bright, slightly greenish hued meteor overfly the dc area about five minutes ago? It was going south to north and actually seemed quite a bit larger than your run of the mill shooting star. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Is that Kattia east of the mid-Atlantic in the 192 - 228 hrs of the 18z gfs? I'm not suggesting that it's right but wondering if that's what the gfs is spewing. Yes. And Lee in the Gulf and possibly Maria and Nate out in the Atlantic. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/18zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical204.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Is NWS asleep this morning? My forecast is partly sunny, no mention of rain, yet radar shows a big area of rain and storms about to come through. Complete disconnect there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Is NWS asleep this morning? My forecast is partly sunny, no mention of rain, yet radar shows a big area of rain and storms about to come through. Complete disconnect there. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php I've been scratching my head too. I've been watching the complex move through PA all morning and wonder how does it not rain? I assumed it would just fall apart once downsloping starts and bumps into dry air but I'm not so sure now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php I've been scratching my head too. I've been watching the complex move through PA all morning and wonder how does it not rain? I assumed it would just fall apart once downsloping starts and bumps into dry air but I'm not so sure now. Yeah, it's been cloudy most of the day. Temperature is currently sitting at 72 degrees here, with moderate rain for about the last half hour or so. Definitely not "partly sunny and 84 degrees". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Is NWS asleep this morning? My forecast is partly sunny, no mention of rain, yet radar shows a big area of rain and storms about to come through. Complete disconnect there. It just poured in Winchester for about the past 30 minutes or so. Definitely would qualify as heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 WXbug station in SC reporting .15", but most impressively the temp dropped from 83 to 67!! I'm at work in Middletown, and didn't get much rain here, but the temps are glorious at the moment. I don't think the temps can recover all the way back even if the sun comes back out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Euro is cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Sprinkles & 77F atm, ideal atw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 I think most of the local TV/radio mets were saying mid 80s today...good luck cracking the upper 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Cloudy, humid, 78F. We may be able to sneak a decent day out of this if we can avoid the sun for a couple more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kenny G Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Is NWS asleep this morning? My forecast is partly sunny, no mention of rain, yet radar shows a big area of rain and storms about to come through. Complete disconnect there. Heard NWS was in a meeting yesterday. Mount Holly office took over surveillance. Surprised to see no Special Weather Statement, or at the very least a Short Term Forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 The heat sneaked back in today. I wasn't expecting it to be this hot. I broke my station high for the year today besting the heat we had in July. Heat advisory in effect. My high for the day so far is 96. Normal is 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 The heat sneaked back in today. I wasn't expecting it to be this hot. I broke my station high for the year today besting the heat we had in July. Heat advisory in effect. My high for the day so far is 96. Normal is 81. It snuck up on a lot of places... especially in the southern Midwest. MOS low by 5+ on the highs, which creeped into the low/mid 100s in some areas. Daily records tied/broken in a good number of places. Most of that heat will collapse after tomorrow as the through starts to interact with Lee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 2, 2011 Share Posted September 2, 2011 Satellite (visible) is really cool to watch today with the clouds only east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted September 3, 2011 Share Posted September 3, 2011 Heat advisory again today. With it being so dry, I'm hoping for something close to 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted September 3, 2011 Share Posted September 3, 2011 Rain thunder and lightning. Interesting south movement of a series of storms moving out of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted September 3, 2011 Share Posted September 3, 2011 Rain thunder and lightning. Interesting south movement of a series of storms moving out of PA. Yeah, some rumbles of thunder last few minutes here. Looking like we're entering a wet period, and certainly looking cooler than normal next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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