jgir Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 Let's hope for a nice ending Summer weekend to a volatile summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 yes we deserve a spectacular weekend to make up for basically the whole month of August having crappy weekends. I do see shower chances in the forecast for Sunday and Monday but hopefully no big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 First glance at the weekend IMO looks potentially unsettled, atleast a little bit. Hopefully nothing substancial. Just a small shower/thunderstorm chance each day. Much rather a big fat ridge be sitting over us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 Looks warm Fri-Sun, then rain Sunday night into Monday morning, then cooler on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 30, 2011 Share Posted August 30, 2011 Looks warm Fri-Sun, then rain Sunday night into Monday morning, then cooler on Monday I'd be cool with that, I'll take all the rain in one lump period, not scattered over a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Looks like we might have a severe chance on Sunday. SPC going with a day 4 outlook. ...DISCUSSION... THERE HAS BEEN...AND CONTINUES TO BE...REASONABLE AGREEMENT AMONGST GLOBAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS FORECASTS THAT THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TOWARD A HIGHER AMPLITUDE FLOW REGIME WITH A DEEP TROUGH FORMING ACROSS ERN NOAM...AND AN EXPANDING UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST. COINCIDENT WITH THIS PATTERN CHANGE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES TO THE ERN SEABOARD DURING THE D4-5 PERIOD....SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MREF CONSENSUS AND ANALOG FORECASTS INDICATE THAT SUFFICIENT FORCING AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS FROM THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS NEWD TO NY DURING D4/SUNDAY. GREATER UNCERTAINTY WITH FRONTAL TIMING...DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION...AND STRENGTH OF SHEAR EXIST SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEAST ON D5/MONDAY SO THIS AREA WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN A D5 AREA AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted September 1, 2011 Share Posted September 1, 2011 Looks like we might have a severe chance on Sunday. SPC going with a day 4 outlook. ...DISCUSSION... THERE HAS BEEN...AND CONTINUES TO BE...REASONABLE AGREEMENT AMONGST GLOBAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS FORECASTS THAT THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TOWARD A HIGHER AMPLITUDE FLOW REGIME WITH A DEEP TROUGH FORMING ACROSS ERN NOAM...AND AN EXPANDING UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST. COINCIDENT WITH THIS PATTERN CHANGE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES TO THE ERN SEABOARD DURING THE D4-5 PERIOD....SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MREF CONSENSUS AND ANALOG FORECASTS INDICATE THAT SUFFICIENT FORCING AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS FROM THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS NEWD TO NY DURING D4/SUNDAY. GREATER UNCERTAINTY WITH FRONTAL TIMING...DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION...AND STRENGTH OF SHEAR EXIST SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEAST ON D5/MONDAY SO THIS AREA WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN A D5 AREA AT THIS TIME. whew! a day 4 for us? thats rare! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgir Posted September 3, 2011 Author Share Posted September 3, 2011 Decent weather, precip for most looks less than a quarter inch over next 72 hours, good for picnics ... oh yeah, college football kicks off too. Have a nice Holiday weekend all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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