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September Obs.


LithiaWx

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I've noticed the NAM has backed off in regards to QPF with Friday's CAD event...the 6Z GFS remains bullish on enough QPF to give the CAD its max potential. For those who want 40's and drizzle for Friday Night's high school football games, better hope the GFS is correct.

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Goofy's up to it's old tricks. It tries to form something off the coast of the Carolinas but any moisture stops at the coast. Then it brings a trop. sys up into Fla. but it crosses into the Atl. and leaves all north of Valdosta dry as a bone. Looks like I'm going to have to hope for some light showers and some light cad drizzle if I want any precip. :) A trop. sys up the spine of Ga. seems hard to come by, and that's what it would take to get me some heavy rain, after Lee's example. Oh, well, there is still hope until the tropics close up shop for the winter.

Meanwhile, is another 90 in the works here? 81 at 11:45. Had an 89.5 on one sensor yesterday, and 89.9 on another. The third is down, so that one would have probably been at 90, lol. Close enough for horse shoes, and uncomfortable enough for 90. T

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Atlanta hit 90 today which ties the record for most 90 and higher degree days in a year set in 1980, at 90 days. This is likely the last 90 degree day this year, breaking the record with one more 90 degree day looks nearly impossible/very unlikely at this point. The farther we get into September the harder it will be to get in one more 90 degree day.

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Atlanta hit 90 today which ties the record for most 90 and higher degree days in a year set in 1980, at 90 days. This is likely the last 90 degree day this year, breaking the record with one more 90 degree day looks nearly impossible/very unlikely at this point. The farther we get into September the harder it will be to get in one more 90 degree day.

Well, maybe north like you are, but I had 7 90+ days last year after this date, the last on the 25, so I'm not taking the fan out of the window just yet down here :) Hope the airport gets one more 90..this summer deserves a record.... and I wouldn't count yourself out either. May retta can get some heat on, lol. T

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Well, maybe north like you are, but I had 7 90+ days last year after this date, the last on the 25, so I'm not taking the fan out of the window just yet down here :) Hope the airport gets one more 90..this summer deserves a record.... and I wouldn't count yourself out either. May retta can get some heat on, lol. T

May retta lol..... "Best" of both worlds up here, we get the heat island effect in Summer and we are far enough north in the winter to get a tad more wintery precip than Atlanta and points south. We are just far enough north to get some of the cooling effect from elevation and the mountains to the north of Atlanta. But not far enough away from Atlanta to avoid the heat island nights in summer....

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wow, I am sort of shocked that Charlotte can get so chilly in mid to late September. I did not expect the record low maximums to be in the 50's throughout mid to late September in CLT.

It would be interesting to see how many of those record days included rain. My guess, most.

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May retta lol..... "Best" of both worlds up here, we get the heat island effect in Summer and we are far enough north in the winter to get a tad more wintery precip than Atlanta and points south. We are just far enough north to get some of the cooling effect from elevation and the mountains to the north of Atlanta. But not far enough away from Atlanta to avoid the heat island nights in summer....

Yeah, I think one of the portals is up around Dobbins. And another is, for sure, up in Rome. Those poor folks up there get to 100 like nobodys business :) T

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Atlanta hit 90 today which ties the record for most 90 and higher degree days in a year set in 1980, at 90 days. This is likely the last 90 degree day this year, breaking the record with one more 90 degree day looks nearly impossible/very unlikely at this point. The farther we get into September the harder it will be to get in one more 90 degree day.

TWC has Atlanta getting above 85 next week so I wouldn't rule out another 90 in Atlanta. Next week is going to be a hot one.

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TWC has Atlanta getting above 85 next week so I wouldn't rule out another 90 in Atlanta. Next week is going to be a hot one.

I wouldn't and didn't rule it out either but 90 is a far cry from 85 and like I said the farther into September we get the less likely a 90+ degree day is..... I said this before but I don't think we hit 90 again, the long range GFS gets us kinda close but does not hit 90 and has not shown a 90 degree day in many many days. The only one it had been showing was today...

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what was your high today. I see CAE is at 82 right now. I'm one of the cooler spots in NC (or southeast for that matter) Sitting at 63 here, Hickory and 59 in Boone. I wish I could bottle it up and share with everybody, plus its been raining lightly all day long since around 10 am.

The high temp here is going to be 75, which occurred at 12:01 AM, and has been going down slowly ever since. Charlotte was 78 at midnight, so thats their high.

Very interesting Western NC Temperature Gradient

post-38-0-18643300-1316036322.gif

Shelby's dropped to 59 degrees. Who would've thunk that in what could be the hottest day of the year. And its daylight out.

post-38-0-76387100-1310772551.jpg

The above is from the July 15th wedge, which I think was mostly in-situ with a cold pocket associated with a closed low and ne winds at the surface. Just to compare that airmass with this one, the +12 850 line goes to NC/SC border and hovers there Friday through atleast Saturday, with a strong 1028 to 1032 high in prime spot for damming. Since its later in the year, and the air is colder than that event, this should produce colder surface temps, but one of the main reasons this county went to 59 and 60 is the steady light rain. Thats still the big sticking point on this one, and the models are getting lighter and lighter each run, so without steady light rain or atleast drizzle, the temps won't drop nearly to what could happen. Guess we'll have to wait and see. My call right now is about what the NWS is going with, as they've come down drastically last few issuances. The ECMWF has 18z Fri temps around 59 and less from CLT-GSP and north and west, thats pretty impressive for time of year and day. Again its just dependent on precip...without it temps would probably go down to mid 60's Friday afternoon in western NC, but with the possibility of even going to middle 50's by late afternoon if theres decent rain. Some 40's are possible closer to the mtns and foothills Friday night.

post-38-0-10734200-1316036251.gif

post-38-0-23392100-1316036255.gif

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May retta lol..... "Best" of both worlds up here, we get the heat island effect in Summer and we are far enough north in the winter to get a tad more wintery precip than Atlanta and points south. We are just far enough north to get some of the cooling effect from elevation and the mountains to the north of Atlanta. But not far enough away from Atlanta to avoid the heat island nights in summer....

LOL, so you get maybe 1/2" more in a winter than in Atlanta ? I don't pay much attention to snowfall averages in the deep south. Actually in the last 10 years or so the heaviest snow has been south of me about as many times as it's been north of me. I know in at least 2 instances ( Jan 2002 and March 2009) Atlanta had more snow than places like Rome. Although this past winter the further north you went the more snow you got, that is definitely not always the case.

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Ill fight back for Mr Mayretta. For every two storms you can name in favor of the south side, Snowstorm, I can name ten that the north did better. Yes the averages arent that different bu this is the south and every bit counts. Having lived in the north side of Atl my whole life and commuted to downtown for years I can remember more than a few snows that got me decently while having nothing in the city. The blizzard was the biggest offender along with 88. i think your posts have been better lately but yu better watch it when the first threat comes around. Lookouts filter gets mighty fine.

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whew it was hot here today at 93 the top out ... driving home this evening as the sun was setting you could see all the dust in the atmosphere as the sun rays shown through it. I had no idea it was that dusty but probably explains my dry sinus issue today.

Will be looking forward to the cool and damp conditions coming.

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Ill fight back for Mr Mayretta. For every two storms you can name in favor of the south side, Snowstorm, I can name ten that the north did better. Yes the averages arent that different bu this is the south and every bit counts. Having lived in the north side of Atl my whole life and commuted to downtown for years I can remember more than a few snows that got me decently while having nothing in the city. The blizzard was the biggest offender along with 88. i think your posts have been better lately but yu better watch it when the first threat comes around. Lookouts filter gets mighty fine.

I'm not familiar with 88, but I am farther south than Atlanta and I got a foot of snow in March 1993. Even though I'm south of I-20, it seems like i get just as much snow if not more than Atlanta. I think elevation may play a role in snowfall amounts too. I mean, Atlanta is higher in elevation than places like Rome, so even though Rome is farther north, due to their low elevation, they should probably average about the same snowfall as Atlanta. Or does a difference of a few hundred feet even matter that much ?

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