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September 2011 General Discussion/Obs


Chicago Storm

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Site: Thu High Temp/Fri High Temp

Burlington, IA (BRL): 98/95 over/over

Chicago, IL (MDW): 95/95 over/under

Chicago, IL (ORD): 97/95 under/over

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA): 93/93 over/over

Indianapolis, IN (IND): 95/97 under/under

Lafayette, IN (LAF): 94/96 over/under

Moline, IL (MLI): 98/93 over/over

Peoria, IL (PIA): 96/95 over/over

Quincy, IL (UIN): 100/96 under/under

St. Louis, MO (STL): 101/98 under/over

Bonus: Highest temperature recorded at Kankakee, IL (IKK) during the 2 days (Thu or Fri). 99

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Site: Thu High Temp/Fri High Temp

Burlington, IA (BRL): 98/95 Over/Over

Chicago, IL (MDW): 95/95 Over/Over

Chicago, IL (ORD): 97/95 Under/Over

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA): 93/93 Over/Over

Indianapolis, IN (IND): 95/97 Over/Over

Lafayette, IN (LAF): 94/96 Over/Over

Moline, IL (MLI): 98/93 Over/Over

Peoria, IL (PIA): 96/95 Over/Over

Quincy, IL (UIN): 100/96 Over/Under

St. Louis, MO (STL): 101/98 Over/Under

Bonus: Highest temperature recorded at Kankakee, IL (IKK) during the 2 days (Thu or Fri). 102º

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Site: Thu High Temp/Fri High Temp

Burlington, IA (BRL): 98/95 under/over

Chicago, IL (MDW): 95/95 over/over

Chicago, IL (ORD): 97/95 under/over

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA): 93/93 under/over

Indianapolis, IN (IND): 95/97 over/over

Lafayette, IN (LAF): 94/96 over/over

Moline, IL (MLI): 98/93 under/under

Peoria, IL (PIA): 96/95 over/over

Quincy, IL (UIN): 100/96 over/over

St. Louis, MO (STL): 101/98 over/over

Bonus: Highest temperature recorded at Kankakee, IL (IKK) during the 2 days (Thu or Fri): 102

So what happens if the city hits that temp exactly?

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I feel pretty confident some places will hit 100 the next 2 days. We shall see. I'll go with 97/99 for LAF...IND 99/101 :weight_lift:

I went 98/100 for LAF. Don't see enough reason to change it at this point. 95 today at IND is a warning sign to lean on the warm side the next couple days.

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Site: Thu High Temp/Fri High Temp

Burlington, IA (BRL): 98/95 Over/Over

Chicago, IL (MDW): 95/95 Over/Over

Chicago, IL (ORD): 97/95 Under/Over

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA): 93/93 Under/Over

Indianapolis, IN (IND): 95/97 Over/Over

Lafayette, IN (LAF): 94/96 Over/Over

Moline, IL (MLI): 98/93 Over/Under

Peoria, IL (PIA): 96/95 Over/Over

Quincy, IL (UIN): 100/96 Under/Over

St. Louis, MO (STL): 101/98 Over/Over

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It got up to 102 today, which broke the record of 100 set back in 1953. Labor Day cannot come soon enough.

Nope. Reached 103 at STL today, which tied the highest this summer. Could be 104 to 106 tomorrow. Wonder when the last time St. Louis has hit 105 -- much less in September?

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The latest version (00z) of the high-res NAM I've been posting the last few days still has us at 106 tomorrow. I definitely can't see that happening, but with 25-27C at 850 forecast by the operational NAM and GFS, I think we definitely have a legitimate shot at 100 tomorrow. MLI has only hit 100 in September twice in recorded history, so this would be a truly unusual occurrence here.

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12z GFS MOS is now showing 90/93.

12z NAM MOS has 92/96 and raw output shows 96/100.

0z ECMWF still shows 95-100 both days.

0z NAM MOS has 93/92 and raw output has 97/96.

0z GFS MOS continues to show low 90's, with 91/92.

Skilling went with 93/97, while his RPM model showed 95/98.

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The latest version (00z) of the high-res NAM I've been posting the last few days still has us at 106 tomorrow. I definitely can't see that happening, but with 25-27C at 850 forecast by the operational NAM and GFS, I think we definitely have a legitimate shot at 100 tomorrow. MLI has only hit 100 in September twice in recorded history, so this would be a truly unusual occurrence here.

Ya 106 isn't happening lol but 100 is possible I think.

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Site: Thu High Temp/Fri High Temp

Burlington, IA (BRL): 98/95 Under/Over

Chicago, IL (MDW): 95/95 Over/Over

Chicago, IL (ORD): 97/95 Under/Over

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA): 93/93 Over/Over

Indianapolis, IN (IND): 95/97 Over/Over

Lafayette, IN (LAF): 94/96 Over/Over

Moline, IL (MLI): 98/93 Over/Over

Peoria, IL (PIA): 96/95 Over/Over

Quincy, IL (UIN): 100/96 Over/Over

St. Louis, MO (STL): 101/98 Over/Over

Bonus: Highest temperature recorded at Kankakee, IL (IKK) during the 2 days (Thu or Fri). 99

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Get your blowtorches out folks

Site: Thu High Temp/Fri High Temp

Burlington, IA (BRL): 98/95 Even/Over

Chicago, IL (MDW): 95/95 Over/Over

Chicago, IL (ORD): 97/95 Even/Over

Fort Wayne, IN (FWA): 93/93 Over/Over

Indianapolis, IN (IND): 95/97 Over/Over

Lafayette, IN (LAF): 94/96 Over/Over

Moline, IL (MLI): 98/93 Over/Over

Peoria, IL (PIA): 96/95 Over/Over

Quincy, IL (UIN): 100/96 Over/Over

St. Louis, MO (STL): 101/98 Over/Over

Bonus: Highest temperature recorded at Kankakee, IL (IKK) during the 2 days (Thu or Fri). 102

I'll throw in my own personal Over/Under, NWS going with 87/93 for DTW for Thurs/Fri. I will go Over/Over

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Despite the heat of the next couple of days...gorgeous weather on tap for the second half of the Labor Day weekend. :wub:

Sunday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Labor Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 76.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 78.

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Just for laughs, if you haven't seen it yet, one of my friends Jim O'Brien was taunted this morning on Fox 59 by the morning anchors with a spider. Jim has a pretty serious spider phobia. The video is hilarious.

http://www.fox59.com/news/nationworld/sns-viral-video-meteorologist-spider-wxin,0,7266987.htmlstory

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