snowstormcanuck Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 One of the bigger model busts not involving an MCS that I can remember around here. Sold band of 1/2-1" QPF progged, maybe 3 drops fell from the sky. Partial sunshine now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Beautifully symmetrical rotation. I dare you to stare at ORD and not get hypnotized. I dare you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Wow. And take a look at some of the loops here: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 One of the bigger model busts not involving an MCS that I can remember around here. Sold band of 1/2-1" QPF progged, maybe 3 drops fell from the sky. Partial sunshine now. A big bust for sure. I was expecting a downpour this morning and I was pleasantly surprised that I didn't need to bring an umbrella to work today. However, Friday's heavy rainfall was a surprise, so I guess it balances itself out somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 just had a pretty good downpour here in Glen Ellyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Way out in land, but did anyone see the end of the 12z GFS? Looks like a major trough over the northern tier and perhaps some for the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 geez thursday is going to be very windy if we are sunny around here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 An Indiana tornado in September !!! Although the PIS doesn't give the time, it occurred at 12:56 PM per NWS Chat. 000 NOUS43 KIWX 272038 PNSIWX INZ005-280845- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 438 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011 ...EF0 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN ELKHART COUNTY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONFIRMED AN EF0 TORNADO ON THE EAST SIDE OF NAPPANEE. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES EAST OF DOWNTOWN...BETWEEN COUNTY ROADS 7 AND 9 ALONG US 6. MINOR ROOF AND TREE DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED. SEVERAL WITNESSES SAW ROTATING DEBRIS IN THE AIR WITH AN AUDIBLE LOUD ROAR. THE TORNADO WAS RAIN WRAPPED AND TRAVELED NORTH APPROXIMATELY ONE HALF MILE SKIPPING ALONG THE PATH. THE MOST INTENSE DAMAGE WAS ALONG US 6. PATH LENGTH 0.58 MILES PATH WIDTH 30 YARDS RATING EF0 WINDS ESTIMATED 70-75 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 An Indiana tornado in September !!! Although the PIS doesn't give the time, it occurred at 12:56 PM per NWS Chat. 000 NOUS43 KIWX 272038 PNSIWX INZ005-280845- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 438 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011 ...EF0 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN ELKHART COUNTY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONFIRMED AN EF0 TORNADO ON THE EAST SIDE OF NAPPANEE. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES EAST OF DOWNTOWN...BETWEEN COUNTY ROADS 7 AND 9 ALONG US 6. MINOR ROOF AND TREE DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED. SEVERAL WITNESSES SAW ROTATING DEBRIS IN THE AIR WITH AN AUDIBLE LOUD ROAR. THE TORNADO WAS RAIN WRAPPED AND TRAVELED NORTH APPROXIMATELY ONE HALF MILE SKIPPING ALONG THE PATH. THE MOST INTENSE DAMAGE WAS ALONG US 6. PATH LENGTH 0.58 MILES PATH WIDTH 30 YARDS RATING EF0 WINDS ESTIMATED 70-75 MPH Well that came out of nowhere. That would be #70 this year if all the prelim stuff holds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 A big bust for sure. I was expecting a downpour this morning and I was pleasantly surprised that I didn't need to bring an umbrella to work today. However, Friday's heavy rainfall was a surprise, so I guess it balances itself out somewhat. lol, remember how many times we got screwed in June and July? Mother nature still owes us a truckload of precip. But I'll allow payment to be deferred until December and January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 what's the average date of the first frost? ( for whoever wants to answer, i know the central/west subforum covers a lot of geography and different climate) We already had ours actually this year on the 15th, we were about 2-3 weeks early though. The freeze combined For soybeans/corn to freeze, it generally needs to stay 28 degrees for about 4 hours, It wasn't quite a killing frost just yet but it definitely made an impact on the soybean yield that combined with virtually no rain in the last 3 months! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Well that came out of nowhere. That would be #70 this year if all the prelim stuff holds up. Haven't posted in awhile but have browsed. Yes, I just noticed that EF-0 report. No thunder here today but off and on heavy rain. No warning was issued to my knowledge. Happened just before 1 p.m. EDT. Surprise! Surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 geez thursday is going to be very windy if we are sunny around here.. Yeah Thursday night could be interesting as well depending on if we can get some kind of trop fold to swing through. There's a hell of a speed max slinging around the trough in the mid and upper levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 lol, remember how many times we got screwed in June and July? Mother nature still owes us a truckload of precip. But I'll allow payment to be deferred until December and January. Let's hope so! And it kind of feels humid outside today. I can't wait for the cooler weather later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 High of 57º at LAF so far today. I'm a cool weather person, but geez today is a little too much for late September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Just think, a week ago at this time many of the models weren't even confident we would see much of any rainfall out of this upper low. With the 4 and 5 day totals that have ensued, things sure change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 One of the bigger model busts not involving an MCS that I can remember around here. Sold band of 1/2-1" QPF progged, maybe 3 drops fell from the sky. Partial sunshine now. deffinately. Here's hoping for a quick start to the winter season, like 2007 and 2008. So long as there isn't a big rainstorm on October 23rd - day trip to Ottawa planned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 You go to Marquette!? No - Carroll University. oh geez....you're a packer fan. Perfect storm of Wisconsin sports this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 We already had ours actually this year on the 15th, we were about 2-3 weeks early though. The freeze combined For soybeans/corn to freeze, it generally needs to stay 28 degrees for about 4 hours, It wasn't quite a killing frost just yet but it definitely made an impact on the soybean yield that combined with virtually no rain in the last 3 months! I heard that the leaves changing has more to do with decreasing daylight than frost, hence the fact that more northern areas see the change first. I've certainly noticed that Toronto's leaves change a few weeks later than Ottawa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Training line of storms in Ozaukee County putting out inch an hour rates easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Very impressive wind potential for the middle of the night Thursday night. Very strong winds just off the surface could be mixed down with some shower activity embedded in the cyclonic flow. 40mph+ gusts look like a good possibility even outside of the showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Very impressive wind potential for the middle of the night Thursday night. Very strong winds just off the surface could be mixed down with some shower activity embedded in the cyclonic flow. 40mph+ gusts look like a good possibility even outside of the showers. Haven't been following the runs that much but does it seem like the timing has been pushed back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Haven't been following the runs that much but does it seem like the timing has been pushed back? Correct, it has def slowed down some, yesterday the strongest winds at 850mb were over the area between 18-0z thursday evening, tonights NAM run is much slower. And FWIW, the NAM has a small area of 70kt winds at 850mb at 6z friday in central WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Correct, it has def slowed down some, yesterday the strongest winds at 850mb were over the area between 18-0z thursday evening, tonights NAM run is much slower. And FWIW, the NAM has a small area of 70kt winds at 850mb at 6z friday in central WI. That could be a problem, although the overnight timing isn't that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Yeah the timing has slowed a bit, which isn't too surprising I guess. With such strong winds just off the surface combined with embedded showers rotating around the circulation I think the winds will be pretty impressive even at night. Looks like an all night window rattling kind of night lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Yeah the timing has slowed a bit, which isn't too surprising I guess. With such strong winds just off the surface combined with embedded showers rotating around the circulation I think the winds will be pretty impressive even at night. Looks like an all night window rattling kind of night lol. I actually love nights like that, 40mph gusts all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 I actually love nights like that, 40mph gusts all night. Yeah me too. There's something nice about being inside in comfort while it rages outside all night lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2011 Author Share Posted September 28, 2011 Tuesday, September 27th: Hi: 62F Lo: 53F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 30MPH Rainfall: 0.38" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Just had another great quick-hitting storm. It was raining cats and dogs and the thunder was pretty impressive for such a stable atmosphere. Easily picked up a half inch in the 30 minutes or so it has rained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2011 Author Share Posted September 28, 2011 Two day rainfall total of 3.22" here. Another month that was mostly dry, but ended wet...July being the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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