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September 2011 General Discussion/Obs


Chicago Storm

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This is what boredom does to you:

PART TWO OF THE STORM WILL BE WITH INTENSIFYING TROWAL/DEFORMATION

ZONE TONIGHT. UPWARD VERTICAL VELOCITIES ARE FORECAST TO BE ALMOST

OFF THE CHARTS TONIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH CLOSES OFF INTO A

NEGATIVELY TILTED CLOSED/COMPACT MID LEVEL LOW AS IT LIFTS

NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN BY EARLY WEDNESDAY

MORNING. ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT VERY INTENSE SNOWFALL WILL

DEVELOP WITHIN THE DEFORMATION BAND WITH TREMENDOUSLY STRONG UPPER

LEVEL DIFLUENCE AND DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING CYCLONE.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE

(NEARING 8C/KM) ASSOCIATED WITH THE VERY COLD TEMPS ALOFT WILL

PROVIDE FOR SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO

DEVELOP WITHIN THE TROWAL...LEADING TO LOCALLY ENHANCED SNOWFALL

TOTALS. IN FACT...SEVERAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT MUCAPES OF 100-200

J/KG WILL DEVELOP WHICH MEANS WE COULD ACTUALLY SEE UPRIGHT

CONVECTION DEVELOP.

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Now thats a good AFD. MUCAPE of 100-200j/kg in the dead of winter always yields something good. Wish we didn't get a dry slut with that storm. What really killed us here was flake size to0. Maybe this year..Wishing for Octobomb II and GHD Blizzard repeat.

The 4 inches the next morning kind of helped heal the wound of the dry slot the night before.

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After a wet ending to July and early/mid August, it's been quite dry lately.

ORD has recorded only 0.12" of rain this month (through the 17th), and only 0.16" since Aug. 24th.

As for here...0.27" through the 17th and 0.35" since Aug. 24th.

There will likely be several more opportunities for rain before the month ends, but as it stands now this is the 2nd driest September on record for Chicago.

1. 0.01" - 1979

2. 0.12" - 2011

3. 0.26" - 2004

4. 0.31" - 1940

5. 0.32" - 1891

6. 0.46" - 1956

7. 0.49" - 1939

8. 0.74" - 1871

9. 0.77" - 1962

10. 0.83" - 1954

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what a great day today was....dominated a par 3 course for 3 hours. lets see how much rain we get tomorrow. GO BEARS LIONS.

Corrected for you. Btw just 3 weeks until MNF :) I was able to score tickets, will be my first game ever at Ford Field. :)

As for the weather, I can't wait until tomorrow night/Monday to pick up some more rain. Things have been kind of dry out this way as of late too.

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Corrected for you. Btw just 3 weeks until MNF :) I was able to score tickets, will be my first game ever at Ford Field. :)

As for the weather, I can't wait until tomorrow night/Monday to pick up some more rain. Things have been kind of dry out this way as of late too.

and the first MNF game in Detroit in over a decade right? lol Bears should take care of buisness.

We really need the rain here too, alot of brown grass.

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I just had to make a post to show my allegiance with all of this football talk.

It's a brisk 47 out there right now, but heading up to a partly sunny 72 this afternoon. So get out there and enjoy a beautiful early autumn Sunday. (Does that sound like a radio jock or what? lol)

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