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September 2011 General Discussion/Obs


Chicago Storm

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LOT

STRONG NEARLY 1030 MB HIGH MOVES OVERHEAD ON THURSDAY

NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. DESPITE

SOME SLIGHT WARMING AT H85...BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES...SO RURAL AND

SUBURBAN AREAS WILL SEE NEARLY IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING SET-UP.

TEMPERATURES AS COLD OR EVEN COLDER THAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT ARE IN THE

CARDS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH FAVORED SPOTS POSSIBLY BOTTOMING OUT

IN THE FREEZER AT 32 DEGREES...POTENTIALLY SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN THIS.

HAVE CONTINUED MENTION OF PATCHY FROST IN GRIDS IN OUTLYING

AREAS

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Perfect day today, perhaps a little warm towards the middle when we hit 76° F. Now at a cool 54° F.

The Arctic push of air is now just about to cross into the Minneapolis area, where it's a balmy 63° F with SW winds. Some precip on the leading edge but nothing more than sprinkles. It's supposed to get all the way through WI by morning. Gonna be a crisp and beautiful fall day.

Already in the upper 30s in NW MN.

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The GFS/Euro have really increased the cloud cover for Thursday night.

EVen for tonight's, yesterday's 12z GFS has sky cover dropping to 11% at 6z Thurs., now with this morning's 6z run it is 30% surrounded by 60% at 3 hours before and 3 hours after. The 0z ECM was mainly clear still. Both models agree on much more cloud cover Thursday night, which will limit temps from dropping too far. It will probably cap the suburban area in the low 40s, rather than the upper 30s, for instance.

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[quote name='baroclinic_instability' timestamp='1315977230' post='964437']
That is prime natural real estate up there in MN. RIght in the Boundary Waters Canoe Area. Really stinks because that area is gorgeous. I went canoeing there a few years ago around Ely. Some pics from that...
[/quote]


Wow that is beyond norman rockwell imagery right there. MN, especially the northern tier is amazing in beauty and your pics capture the raw pristine landscape. Great shots, I bet fall is amazing up there. Thanks for sharing.
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GFS has been consistent in bringing several big systems into british columbia in the long range

Also consistent for several runs in bringing a large trough almost due south across the Great Lakes,OV and Northeast past hour 240. Would probably be colder than the current cool down if it happens this way.

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At 3pm CDT, it is 58 at STL and 39 at INL. I like this cold spell.

39 at INL at 4 PM on Sept. 14 is just ridiculous...

:o

SHORT TERM FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN

308 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

MNZ010>012-018>021-026-142215-

KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-

NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-

SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN ITASCA-

308 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

.NOW...

SCATTERED RAIN AND SLEET SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH

NORTHERN MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. GUSTY

WINDS TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE SHOWERS. SOME

AREAS THAT MAY SEE A SHOWER INCLUDE INTERNATIONAL

FALLS...LITTLEFORK...BIGFORK...GRAND

RAPIDS...HIBBING...BABBITT...ELY...CRANE LAKE...GRAND MARAIS AND

TWO HARBORS.

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