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12z Dec 7 model guidance


earthlight

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Looks like its not going to get us to 7/8 as its losing amplitude and heading towards the circle of death. Not sure what happens once its in the circle and what then would be a better driver. I did read somewhere here where somebody said the mjo has like a 7 day lag in our pattern so we we're looking out more towards X-mas week where we'd see some favorable effects if it did indeed reach 7/8.

this is ncep's prediction

NCPE_phase_21m_full.gif

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