MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Is this today's euro ensemble mean? http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/12zecmwfens850mbTSLPUS144.gif http://raleighwx.ame...mbTSLPNA168.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 ye ant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 ill chip in some, it would have to mammoth in size though. There will be a natural lake in Pennsylvania by the time this storm is out of here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 i rarely see the ukie posted here, even last year. Sounds like its underated! it could be a lockdown model flying under the radar and we dont even know it Lol, it is well known and well used my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 stupid goa low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 heres a better look at the no gaps Today's weather porn. Is this the last model keeping it costal instead of an inland runner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Today's weather porn. Is this the last model keeping it costal instead of an inland runner? yea, someone posted the kma but that looks like its just east of cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 euro ens nao prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 yea, someone posted the kma but that looks like its just east of cities. Thanks, so there is a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 All it takes is this: MJO phase 7/8 and the polar jet digs south enough to form a Gulf sfc low. That's asking a whole lot in an uber-Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 euro ens nao prediction I can't wait until we spend a week tracking another storm that ends up suppressed and everyone ends up blaming the NAO for being too strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 That's asking a whole lot in an uber-Nina. whats the circle of death mean? like the mjo doesnt play that much of a role or its up for grabs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 getting there ....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 this is ncep's prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Looks like its not going to get us to 7/8 as its losing amplitude and heading towards the circle of death. Not sure what happens once its in the circle and what then would be a better driver. I did read somewhere here where somebody said the mjo has like a 7 day lag in our pattern so we we're looking out more towards X-mas week where we'd see some favorable effects if it did indeed reach 7/8. this is ncep's prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 alright, who wants to try there luck on a 18z model thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 According to this MJO is heading into Phase 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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