MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I know its terrible to get a block this great and not have anything promising for us... I just hope we do not go the month of December, which has a chance to be the coldest since 2000, empty handed. I do think we get SOMETHING. I would be happy with 1 inch of snow.. It's a shame to get nothing in this good pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 could i look forward to a decent rain storm at least,on long island?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 so thats basing why your saying its pretty dry, for such a strong storm? In my opinion yes. I think the intiial wave is a problem in this model. Right now I do not think it will actually happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Mon-Wed nasty wind chills... I'd be happy to have 1" on the ground with that cold coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Look here to compare with other GFS runs. At 96hrs the ridge heights are sharper across the Northwest. That gives more room for the shortwave dig across the Central Plains. Also at 120hrs, the 50/50 low is much weaker than previous runs: http://www.wxforecas...ntorun/all.html You want a stronger 50/50 low so the storm wont cut up to the Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 The Euro had a c ouple of retrogading storms in the long range. Some areas will get hammered. I wouldn't be shocked to see some areas get close to 100 inches of snow for this month. Amazing. Buffalo will break their 2001 total.... They already of 40 to 45" (South Buffalo) for the month.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 oooo a storm to track at hr 264 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 oooo a storm to track at hr 264 LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Mon-Wed nasty wind chills... I'd be happy to have 1" on the ground with that cold coming. A lot of places will have lows in the single digits and teens. oooo a storm to track at hr 264 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 You want a stronger 50/50 low so the storm wont cut up to the Lakes. Agreed. Just showing why this run is farther west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 i 95 hugger at hr 360 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 We all just need to deal with the situation and see if we get something around Christmas or New Years Eve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 oooo a storm to track at hr 264 thats our white xmas shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 i 95 hugger at hr 360 What a boring pattern coming up. We went from having 2 shots of snow ( from the clipper and the storm ) to have nothing., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 blahh cold n pretty much dry through out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Another reason why we need a good Paciifc to help. Get the MJO to phase 7/8, then we will get a East Coast Snowstorm. Maybe January 6-8th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 only thing that scares me in the long run, the block becomes so epic that far northern canada has higher hgts than us. All of canada and alaska look like this, granted it does cool down again at the end. Still seems like blocking persists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 blahh cold n pretty much dry through out I think I need to move to Syracuse. Another reason why we need a good Paciifc to helpGet the MJO to phase 7/8, then we will get a East Coast Snowstorm. Maybe January 6-8th? Agree. All of our snowstorms last season was either in phase 7 or 8. Those are the best phases for east coast snowstorms. I miss last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Anyone think we get a nice overrunning event next week? GFS has been hinting at that for a couple of runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Anyone think we get a nice overrunning event next week? GFS has been hinting at that for a couple of runs now. deff potential it looks later on next week, we would have a good block to....but again 10 days awy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 only thing that scares me in the long run, the block becomes so epic that far northern canada has higher hgts than us. All of canada and alaska look like this, granted it does cool down again at the end. Still seems like blocking persists. Yes, probably one of the strongest blocks EVER on the run of the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 i 95 hugger at hr 360 Rain to snow. deff potential it looks later on next week, we would have a good block to....but again 10 days awy... It's always 10 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I think I need to move to Syracuse. Agree. All of our snowstorms last season was either in phase 7 or 8. Those are the best phases for east coast snowstorms. I miss last year. Last year was a Nino on Steriods. If we had a weak nina, would be doing very well right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Anyone think we get a nice overrunning event next week? GFS has been hinting at that for a couple of runs now. February 03? Overunning FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 February 03? Overunning FTW! Haha oh yes that would be nice. But the GFS turns the overruning into a huge storm that hugs the coast this run hhaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Maybe all the models will be wrong like the February 22,2008 storm. Last year was a Nino on Steriods. If we had a weak nina, would be doing very well right now.... I hope we at least get accumulating snow before December ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 im gonna do the euro in this thread also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 12z Ukie Low tracks from Chesapeake Bay to NYC...977 mb looks nice for Pete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 12z Ukie Interesting. Lets see if Euro follows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Interesting. Lets see if Euro follows. it didnt last night when the ukie showed that track also. I think the euro was even further nw lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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