earthlight Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 This morning's 12z NAM is still indicative of Wednesday and Thursday nights being two of the coldest night's of the season thus far. The westerly and northwesterly winds which were a staple in our weather the past few days (10m winds 10-20kts even overnight) and low clouds will be out of the picture with the ULL shifting north. Clear skies and calm winds with H85 temperatures less than -10 C Wednesday night will lead to low temperatures in the teens inland. Much of the same Thursday night although H85 temperatures are not as cold, the flow turns northerly and radiating is ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Finally some real cold weather. Ive had highs in the low 30's and lows in the upper 20's the last couple of days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I really need to buy myself a pair of gloves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 To bad there is no snow cover to bring temps down even more. Next week should bring even colder lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Come on GFS give us some bread crumbs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Come on GFS give us some bread crumbs! I'll even take a dust mite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 clipper is weaker than 6z at 48 a little bit more south than 6z as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 For anyone who cares, the KMA has a coastal hugger, low passes just to the NW of the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 considerably weaker on GFS at 54 vs GFS at 60 at 6z... clipper is weaker than 6z at 48 a little bit more south than 6z as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 For anyone who cares, the KMA has a coastal hugger, low passes just to the NW of the BM just how accurate is the KMA compared to the others?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 considerably weaker on GFS at 54 vs GFS at 60 at 6z... was gonna say that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 still weaker but not by alot than 6z at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Maps nearly identical at hr 66... still weaker but not by alot than 6z at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Its actually stronger and more north at hour 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 12z stronger with wave at 72 than 6z at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 the 50/50 is weaker which is allowing for stronger hgt rises along the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 big time stronger storm in the middle of country, stronger ridge in the west, this should be coming further west than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 Shortwave way more amplified at 96 hours. "50/50 low" weaker and further north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 at 90 hr, clipper is about same as 6z but our storm is stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 the phasing has already stated at hr 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 hr 105 sub 1000 low over southern missouri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 thank you guys, esp tombo and earthlight, for the continued detailed model analysis/commentary that many of us find useful wherever we are. i'm a former philly resident and i wish you guys a productive winter, whatever that means to you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Looks like it's digging pretty far south on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 yep our storm is way stronger at 99 hr than 6z at 105 so looks like it will be west of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 Closed 540dm H5 heights over Southeast MO at 111 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 couple things different, there is no virtually 50/50 low on this run and the goa low is a lot further north allowing the ridge to build further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 Big phase at 117 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 thank you guys, esp tombo and earthlight, for the continued detailed model analysis/commentary that many of us find useful wherever we are. i'm a former philly resident and i wish you guys a productive winter, whatever that means to you.... same to you and no problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 wow..lots of energy digging down deep into this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 hr 126 has a sub 992 over central ky, the low has occluded also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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