Alpha5 Posted November 16, 2011 Author Share Posted November 16, 2011 Anyone up for a trip to Mt. Baker, WA? http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=48.77593309333054&lon=-121.82056903839111&site=sew&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text Today: Snow. High near 15. South southwest wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible. Tonight: Snow showers. Steady temperature around 4. Windy, with a west southwest wind 21 to 24 mph increasing to between 40 and 43 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 23 to 29 inches possible. Thursday: Snow showers. High near 4. Windy, with a southwest wind 34 to 37 mph decreasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Winds could gust as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Thursday Night: Snow showers. Low around -1. South southeast wind between 8 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Friday: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 2. Calm wind becoming north northeast between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. 57-77" total.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 16, 2011 Author Share Posted November 16, 2011 Anyone up for a trip to Mt. Baker, WA? http://forecast.weat...n&FcstType=text Today: Snow. High near 15. South southwest wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible. Tonight: Snow showers. Steady temperature around 4. Windy, with a west southwest wind 21 to 24 mph increasing to between 40 and 43 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 23 to 29 inches possible. Thursday: Snow showers. High near 4. Windy, with a southwest wind 34 to 37 mph decreasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Winds could gust as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Thursday Night: Snow showers. Low around -1. South southeast wind between 8 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Friday: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 2. Calm wind becoming north northeast between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. 57-77" total.... Mt. Rainier actually has them beat http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=46.85259020206028&lon=-121.76366329193115&site=sew&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text Today: Snow. High near 15. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 15 and 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 31 to 37 inches possible. Tonight: Snow showers. Low around -4. Windy, with a west southwest wind 26 to 29 mph increasing to between 38 and 41 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 22 to 28 inches possible. Thursday: Snow showers. High near 1. Windy, with a southwest wind between 25 and 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 15 to 21 inches possible. Thursday Night: Snow showers. Low around -7. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 17 and 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. Friday: Snow showers. High near -7. South wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Those are some monumental snowfall amounts, but they're in mountainous terrain so its not that abnormal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Interesting: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Interesting: Rain. Previous frame shows it well warm at all levels. The frame you posted is when the precip has ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 LOL, its a week away. Things can change. I think the point was its something to keep an eye on Rain. Previous frame shows it well warm at all levels. The frame you posted is when the precip has ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 After that clears, we get super warm after Thanksgiving, definite record high potential, huge warm, tropical-like feed from the gulf just as the month comes to a close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Rain. Previous frame shows it well warm at all levels. The frame you posted is when the precip has ended. It's still really interesting though. It has trended south from the previous runs. Even JB is talking about the model run on FB. He said that it might snow next Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 It's still really interesting though. It has trended south from the previous runs. Even JB is talking about the model run on FB. He said that it might snow next Wed. didn't JB (whose predictions i rarely think twice about) call for a huge october storm? Didnt people laugh at him..early on? Yes...almost everybody took it with a grain of salt...im just saying for 2011-2012, its JB 1- rest of mets 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Yeah people like to make fun of him because he has a tendency to overhype and not back down, but when he does get it right you rarely hear anyone give him credit. didn't JB (whose predictions i rarely think twice about) call for a huge october storm? Didnt people laugh at him..early on? Yes...almost everybody took it with a grain of salt...im just saying for 2011-2012, its JB 1- rest of mets 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 It's still really interesting though. It has trended south from the previous runs. Even JB is talking about the model run on FB. He said that it might snow next Wed. trials storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 The 15z SREF trended towards more impact from tomorrow's wave, now showing about 70% chance of rain in NYC, although the snow probabilities are higher as well, up to 25-45% from eastern PA into SE NY at hour 27 and most of CT at hour 30... I'm still thinking that light rain falls out of this in NYC and its N/W suburbs as 925 mb temps are still slightly above freezing and surface temps are in the 40s (although dropping down to near 40 degrees by the time the precip ends), but if the steadier precip (>0.1" QPF) extends further inland and lasts beyond the afternoon hours, then I can see how places like interior Sussex/Orange counties into the higher elevations of interior SNE may see some light snow showers tomorrow in the late afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 LGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 No offense to anyone but winter outlooks are all over the place lol Its anyone's guess at this point and i guess it depends who and what they factor into their forecast. Because there are so many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 12:30 PM. On the road in NJ today, near Fort Dix. Wet Snow (however mangled) mixing in with rain at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Wet mangles flakes in Norwalk CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Looks like some bright banding on the radar over I-95 too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Mixed rain/snow in downtown Stamford 80% rain/20% snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 well, looks like all the predictions that it wouldn't snow again till January were wrong, lol J/K But seriously, you never know when you can get a sneaky storm or a quick inch or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 42 and light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Any more south on the 12z euro for the Wednesday storm and it puts our North and West suburbs in a snow chance. Good run for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Any more south on the 12z euro for the Wednesday storm and it puts our North and West suburbs in a snow chance. Good run for SNE. Funny how the high is in perfect spot, lets see where that one goes. I have been watching this threat for weeks. Looks like flakes fly from 150-156 hours, so not bad as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Mixed rain/snow in downtown Stamford 80% rain/20% snow hard to believe....925 and below are above freezing and the surface is in the 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 hard to believe....925 and below are above freezing and the surface is in the 40's It's all rain now, we took advantage (briefly) of the wetbulb....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 It's all rain now, we took advantage (briefly) of the wetbulb....... only true believers like me and you were smart enough to look for it. Everyone else was crying over the euro weeklies still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 gfs ensembles are all over the strength of that HP next week. It means business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 that event is all about timing. there is arctic air passing to our north, transient but it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 only true believers like me and you were smart enough to look for it. Everyone else was crying over the euro weeklies still Only a few more hours until the next round of double inverted back flips off the Empire State building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Any more south on the 12z euro for the Wednesday storm and it puts our North and West suburbs in a snow chance. Good run for SNE. So I guess you dont consider Orange county a suburb of NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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