Snow_Miser Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Anyone have the precipitation maps for this ? Earthlight posted this in the other thread: I'm not sure what the precip scale would be, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 0z GFS is basically just a cold front. Warm and rain for the area . I think a cold front is the last possible option with this system. The GFS remains highly confused IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 the euro is an all out snow storm on the 30th, like Im not even joking. Temps are near freezing even into the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 And its cold enough at the end of the 1st storm for snow as well. Piss warm to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 several weenie solutions on gfs ensembles as well. Clearly there are several vorts to sort out here. One will suffer at the hands of the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 So the euro caves to GFS for the short range storm and now people are looking at the fantasy land one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 So the euro caves to GFS for the short range storm and now people are looking at the fantasy land one? gfs is a cold front. Euro still has a wave and also is still wet flakes at the end. And why not look at the second one, its fun. It's in the banter thread and seeing that solution this early in the season has to be exciting for everyone save Forky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 gfs is a cold front. Euro still has a wave and also is still wet flakes at the end. And why not look at the second one, its fun. It's in the banter thread and seeing that solution this early in the season has to be exciting for everyone save Forky. Was mildly interested with the short range Friday storm. Now that the euro caves to GFS with that, we're back to hunting the fake fantasy range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Anyway, 6z gfs ensembles pretty much look like the euro with the wave just a little too fast for the cold air to be anything more than some wet flakes at the end, maybe a slushy inch North Jersey, Orange county. The ensembles are however seeing this second stronger vort like the euro. That will be fun to watch since the cold air is in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Was mildly interested with the short range Friday storm. Now that the euro caves to GFS with that, we're back to hunting the fake fantasy range. well, if you arent interested anymore, then you are of the camp that things at 90+ hours can't change. Both storms are fun. One may produce the 1st flakes, one may produce more. Either way, its something to track other than above normal temps and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'm into the 40's even here where I am now in a very urban part of Queens and LGA is only 52. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'm into the 40's even here where I am now in a very urban part of Queens and LGA is only 52. Pathetic. Did you forget to feed AG3 last night, Mr. Grumpy pants this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'm into the 40's even here where I am now in a very urban part of Queens and LGA is only 52. Pathetic. I'm matching LGA perfectly right now in Astoria. Im at 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Ukie following its big brother the euro at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I doubt the 2nd storm really goes going untill its too far offshore, we dont really have any blocking and the flow is progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I doubt the 2nd storm really goes going untill its too far offshore, we dont really have any blocking and the flow is progressive. Flow is progressive but there are higher height anomolies in the davis straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Did you forget to feed AG3 last night, Mr. Grumpy pants this morning. He got a little attached to the DGEX from yesterday evening lol. I know I did! I'm matching LGA perfectly right now in Astoria. Im at 52. It was 48 when I got here at 7:25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Even with the progressive flow euro still manages to close of 500mb for one frame on the second storm. That thing goes nuts over the BM and continues to bomb after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 6 hour snow map off 0z euro. Hours 138-144. OK there. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 6 hour snow map off 0z euro. Hours 138-144. OK there. LOL. I'll take it. Nice first snow and not even November. Coastal winter coming. NYC should be in the jackpot the entire year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 9Z Srefs 87 hours. Would love this in a month or so, too bad temps are an absolute torch at the surface but that is to be expected this time of year with canada snowless and a warm antecedent airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 0z GGEM still offers hope for the 1st system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 0z GGEM still offers hope for the 1st system 1st system has trended colder on the gfs too, but still not close for us. Best case with 1st system is some wet flakes at the end. I am curious to see what the models do with the second vort today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 winter doesnt start until december people..late november if we are lucky. This talk needs to end immediately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 winter doesnt start until december people..late november if we are lucky. This talk needs to end immediately So it can't snow at the end of October? You know better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 winter doesnt start until december people..late november if we are lucky. This talk needs to end immediately Bothers me when people say that. Yeah, maybe "real" winter starts then, but i have snow many times end of Oct through Nov. Ill take any snow when i can get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Bothers me when people say that. Yeah, maybe "real" winter starts then, but i have snow many times end of Oct through Nov. Ill take any snow when i can get it. A couple of years ago, I saw snow on my birthday ( 0ct 11 ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 winter doesnt start until december people..late november if we are lucky. This talk needs to end immediately It's a weather board, if you don't want to talk about the weather, go elsewhere. No one here is saying anything but what the models are showing and if you read carefully there is good disco on blocking, 2m temps, things like that. Bothers me when people say that. Yeah, maybe "real" winter starts then, but i have snow many times end of Oct through Nov. Ill take any snow when i can get it. Mother nature will do what she will do. If you like snow, then yes, we will take what we get and we won't get upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 NAM is real close, boys. We've got some time. Congrats Mt.Zucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 NAM is real close, boys. We've got some time. Definitely looks better. A few more notches south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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