earthlight Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 What in the hell? We wouldnt have to worry about crappy colors on the trees this year anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 What in the hell? We wouldnt have to worry about crappy colors on the trees this year anymore. Overnight lows in the next few frames are in the 20's. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Overnight lows in the next few frames are in the 20's. Lol. Lock it up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 GFS loses the storm. It's now a cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYsnowlover Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 GFS loses the storm. It's now a cold front Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Lol Stupid goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYsnowlover Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Stupid goofus It is going to be a VERY long winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 It is going to be a VERY long winter. Don't expect anything different at 144+ hours. I for one don't think it will snow unless it's already falling from the sky and the radar is lit up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 LOL, 00z euro is back to a "snowy" solution. I don't think the 900 level down to surface gets cold enough till the end but it certainly is a huge flip from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 euro has another storm after the 30th, just a little offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 If there weren't any leaves on the trees it would look like it was going to snow later. That's how it looks and feels looking out the open window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 If there weren't any leaves on the trees it would look like it was going to snow later. That's how it looks and feels looking out the open window. i was tihnking the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 P003, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 CMC is silly supressed for this storm, surprising since it likes to blow everything up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 If this anamoly showing up over the davis straight is real, then I would start to favor the colder euro, cmc, and nogaps solution over the latest gfs solution and 12z euro yesterday. This is a nice +PNA/-NAO couplet. Time sensitive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Looks & feels like the calm before a storm right now, love this weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Looks & feels like the calm before a storm right now, love this weather Exactly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 If this anamoly showing up over the davis straight is real, then I would start to favor the colder euro, cmc, and nogaps solution over the latest gfs solution and 12z euro yesterday. This is a nice +PNA/-NAO couplet. Time sensitive. I cant remember the last time I saw so much blue over North America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I cant remember the last time I saw so much blue over North America. It's actually a pretty decent setup for this early in the season. Couple of factors going against us like lack of snow cover to the north to keep the low level cold air from moderating rapidly and antecedent relative warmth but the 500mb pattern is a keeper as are the 850 temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I cant remember the last time I saw so much blue over North America. AMSU UAH satellite analysis of the lower troposphere shows rapid cooling with global temperatures near record low levels for the 2002-2011 period, only .16C above the record low daily set back in 2008. This is a significant drop from what we saw over the summer with large positive anomalies, and GFS surface analysis pegs the 8-day anomaly at .13C, also a decline, and it's a warm-biased model. That could explain why we're starting to see so much more blue on the map, along with cold air brought in from the PV near the Canadian Archipelago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 23, 2011 Author Share Posted October 23, 2011 This time of year, you really need to have things on your side upstream. A 50/50 is vital Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 This time of year, you really need to have things on your side upstream. A 50/50 is vital not really, the block is far more important to push down the SE ridge, the cold comes in from behind the front and the HP won't slip east here so the 50/50's role becomes less important. Either way, its a long shot no matter that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 23, 2011 Author Share Posted October 23, 2011 not really, the block is far more important to push down the SE ridge, the cold comes in from behind the front and the HP won't slip east here so the 50/50's role becomes less important. Either way, its a long shot no matter that. Ehh, if you look at the KU's most of them dont have a clear cut block over the DS. However, nearly all of them have some form of a 50/50 regardless of wether or not the vort closed off or remained open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 GFS is having timing issues with the waves and possible split flow P009 please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Ehh, if you look at the KU's most of them dont have a clear cut block over the DS. However, nearly all of them have some form of a 50/50 regardless of wether or not the vort closed off or remained open. this isn't a KU, lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 P006 please. Seeing the ensembles show so many solutions is a good sign the OP is going to be a mess right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 23, 2011 Author Share Posted October 23, 2011 this isn't a KU, lolz I know, but the point is, if you want a storm, the 50/50 has to be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I know, but the point is, if you want a storm, the 50/50 has to be there. No, it doesn't. And all we are talking about is wet flakes anyway. EDIT: It's there anyway, not sure what Alph is seeing, but Euro has a 50/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 12Z Euro has a wave of LP at 108 and now looks like that brings the cold in and something is developing behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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