MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 That's why the NAO remains the wild card, but if we consistently see cutter after cutter for the next month or so, then start to worry. The past storm was inland and this next storm is already trending more inland. I can care less about what happens in October. Wake me up when December starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I can care less about what happens in October. Wake me up when December starts. I agree with that, it would be nice to see some snowflakes at the end of this month, a sign of winter in a very mild month so far. NW NJ and the Poconos are running some 2 weeks behind schedule with their first frost/freeze, it's crazy how mild its been. The highs this month havent been too bad, but the lows are so warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 That's why the NAO remains the wild card, but if we consistently see cutter after cutter for the next month or so, then start to worry. The past storm was inland and this next storm is already trending more inland. ummm..storms do that in October..I remember last year at this time you were harping on the same stuff..Storm tracks mean nothing at this time of year.if this were early December you MIGHT have a worry.Last year a trace of snow till Decemeber 26th..many people on this board in mid Decemeber last year were calling winter a bust..check out the posts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I agree with that, it would be nice to see some snowflakes at the end of this month, a sign of winter in a very mild month so far. NW NJ and the Poconos are running some 2 weeks behind schedule with their first frost/freeze, it's crazy how mild its been. The highs this month havent been too bad, but the lows are so warm. October snow any kind is like having snow in the middle of April..very rare..November snow is rare on the coast..check climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 ummm..storms do that in October..I remember last year at this time you were harping on the same stuff..Storm tracks mean nothing at this time of year.if this were early December you MIGHT have a worry.Last year a trace of snow till Decemeber 26th..many people on this board in mid Decemeber last year were calling winter a bust..check out the posts! I was getting kind of worried in mid December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 22, 2011 Author Share Posted October 22, 2011 Fun over, storm goes inland back to boring weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Fun over, storm goes inland back to boring weather I'm guessing that you don't like rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 22, 2011 Author Share Posted October 22, 2011 I'm guessing that you don't like rain everytime it rains i feel like crap headaches, tired, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I was getting kind of worried in mid December so was I Anthony..lol..goes to show you how October is so early to worry about patterns...beautiful fall day today!!..take one day or season at a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 so was I Anthony..lol..goes to show you how October is so early to worry about patterns...beautiful fall day today!!..take one day or season at a time Very beautiful day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 October snow any kind is like having snow in the middle of April..very rare..November snow is rare on the coast..check climo the first snow I remember in October was in 1962...Snow was sticking on exposed objects briefly...November 62 had a few more snow chances with a snow to rain event in the city...Another dusting in places...The best chances for snow that winter were a pre Christmas storm...I believe it was the 21st snow started in the afternoon and continued into the early morning hours of the 22nd...The day started at 10 degrees and was near freezing by midnight...Snow changed to rain in the early hours and ended that morning...Temps were in the 30's...3-4" of snow before the change over...A trace on the ground Christmas morning...Very light snow for Christmas day but it changes to rain at night...Another storm after Christmas was mostly rain in NYC...January had one or two cold rain events with temperatures in the 30's with ne winds...In between these events were some near record cold waves...Jaqnuary 26th? had the largest storm of the season but like all the other significant storms the snow changed to rain in the city...4-6" across the city but it would have been 10" if it stayed all snow...February had a snow event around the 20th that started as rain but changed to snow with temperatures just above freezing...More cold air after that...March 1st had a nice snow event with 2" accumulating before it changed to rain during the evening...Temperatures were just above freezing over night...That winter, storms were probably tracking to our west with coastal development a little to late... That was one of the coldest winters across the country and here in my lifetime...Snowfall was 16-20" across the city... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 the first snow I remember in October was in 1962...Snow was sticking on exposed objects briefly...November 62 had a few more snow chances with a snow to rain event in the city...Another dusting in places...The best chances for snow that winter were a pre Christmas storm...I believe it was the 21st snow started in the afternoon and continued into the early morning hours of the 22nd...The day started at 10 degrees and was near freezing by midnight...Snow changed to rain in the early hours and ended that morning...Temps were in the 30's...3-4" of snow before the change over...A trace on the ground Christmas morning...Very light snow for Christmas day but it changes to rain at night...Another storm after Christmas was mostly rain in NYC...January had one or two cold rain events with temperatures in the 30's with ne winds...In between these events were some near record cold waves...Jaqnuary 26th? had the largest storm of the season but like all the other significant storms the snow changed to rain in the city...4-6" across the city but it would have been 10" if it stayed all snow...February had a snow event around the 20th that started as rain but changed to snow with temperatures just above freezing...More cold air after that...March 1st had a nice snow event with 2" accumulating before it changed to rain during the evening...Temperatures were just above freezing over night...That winter, storms were probably tracking to our west with coastal development a little to late... That was one of the coldest winters across the country and here in my lifetime...Snowfall was 16-20" across the city... I remember the light snow on Christmas morning 62..great memory huh?..I was 4 years old.That was the first Christmas i remember..Walking with my cousin down 13th Ave in Boro Park...it was a very festive feeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I remember the light snow on Christmas morning 62..great memory huh?..I was 4 years old.That was the first Christmas i remember..Walking with my cousin down 13th Ave in Boro Park...it was a very festive feeling I was going on 14 and remember being on 11th Ave/65st... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 a choooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 THe allergies are the worst I can ever remember for an Autumn.I rarely sneeze this time of the year unless I have a cold and I am sneezing multiple times in 10 seconds several times a day for the past several weeks now.I cant wait until we get the first frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 http://www.nytimes.com/1987/10/05/us/early-snowstorm-covers-northeast.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm Weather matrix from accuwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I was going on 14 and remember being on 11th Ave/65st... was on 13th walking from 47th to 44th street..should have said hi!..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 No problem. I've never seen snow on the ground in October at this elevation so we'll see I think in 07 or 08 we had about an inch and a half of snow on 10/29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 DT is honking big time for an MECL OCT 29-30. NW NJ into Hudson Valley can get decent snows from this. deff bares to watch, esp IMBY now that im up in hills of SW CT and no longer on the coastal plain of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 gfs fantasy.....euro says what? at least early season skiing might be on tap! edit: no longer able to post maps? http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/20111022/12/gfs_namer_183_850_temp_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Where can I see DT post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Where can I see DT post facebook - WXRISK.COM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 facebook - WXRISK.COM Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Gfs loses the inland runner and goes with a storm off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Gfs loses the inland runner and goes with a storm off the coast Odd, it seems to lose the cold air that the previous runs have had either during or after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Mid/late next week looks pretty miserable. Per 12z GFS raw output, we'd be talking 4-5 days of high temps in the 40s, overcast, heavy rain at times. Either way, going to put a large dent in the positive departures over the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYsnowlover Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Mid/late next week looks pretty miserable. Per 12z GFS raw output, we'd be talking 4-5 days of high temps in the 40s, overcast, heavy rain at times. Either way, going to put a large dent in the positive departures over the East. Yuk that is just raw weather, cool and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Yuk that is just raw weather, cool and wet. Fall at it's best... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 cough cough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 the first snow I remember in October was in 1962...Snow was sticking on exposed objects briefly...November 62 had a few more snow chances with a snow to rain event in the city...Another dusting in places...The best chances for snow that winter were a pre Christmas storm...I believe it was the 21st snow started in the afternoon and continued into the early morning hours of the 22nd...The day started at 10 degrees and was near freezing by midnight...Snow changed to rain in the early hours and ended that morning...Temps were in the 30's...3-4" of snow before the change over...A trace on the ground Christmas morning...Very light snow for Christmas day but it changes to rain at night...Another storm after Christmas was mostly rain in NYC...January had one or two cold rain events with temperatures in the 30's with ne winds...In between these events were some near record cold waves...Jaqnuary 26th? had the largest storm of the season but like all the other significant storms the snow changed to rain in the city...4-6" across the city but it would have been 10" if it stayed all snow...February had a snow event around the 20th that started as rain but changed to snow with temperatures just above freezing...More cold air after that...March 1st had a nice snow event with 2" accumulating before it changed to rain during the evening...Temperatures were just above freezing over night...That winter, storms were probably tracking to our west with coastal development a little to late... That was one of the coldest winters across the country and here in my lifetime...Snowfall was 16-20" across the city... Unc..thought you get a kick out of this..White Christmas 1963 on film Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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