NYsnowlover Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 You have got to be kidding me http://coolwx.com/cg...rent&field=prec Is it on drugs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 October 28,2009 http://www.nj.com/ne...y_and_cold.html fwiw, the article says 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 GooFuS FTL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 00z gfs has a bowling ball lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 00z gfs has a bowling ball lol 986@the mouth of the Delaware constitutes bowling ball? It closes off @h5 fairly early, but it makes it to the coast. Certainly not a lot of cold air to work with b/c it slows down the storm so it never gets a chance to interact with the fresh "cold" air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 00z ECM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Just noticed Penn State is home next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 6z gfs is a lakes runner.Good sign for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 6z gfs is a lakes runner.Good sign for winter. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Why? I'm pretty sure he is being sarcastic. Alex has been a boob about this winter since the end of last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Is it on drugs? Alphy put up the wrong one. Here is the 18z. Too bad its wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 The control run of the Euro places a sub 978mb low over Western Long Island, at 0z on Saturday with 850mbs crashing behind it through all of Northern New Jersey, changing the rain to snow for most of Northern New Jersey with a dusting to an inch of accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 The control run of the Euro places a sub 978mb low over Western Long Island, at 0z on Saturday with 850mbs crashing behind it through all of Northern New Jersey, changing the rain to snow for most of Northern New Jersey with a dusting to an inch of accumulation. No one lives in northern NJ; ergo, no one cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Lol. Yes, I guess there are only about 2 million people here that would be affected. No one lives in northern NJ; ergo, no one cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Lol. Yes, I guess there are only about 2 million people here that would be affected. I'm kidding. It's the banter thread. But 2 million people? What do you constitute part of northern NJ, especially when referring to borderline snow events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 This is similar to the Halloween 93 storm. Parts of Central PA got over 4" of snow while the coast was in the low 40s with rain and wind. Not sure how close to the coast the rain/snow line got though. I'm guessing if it was 40 and rain in EWR then NW NJ must have changed over at some point. The control run of the Euro places a sub 978mb low over Western Long Island, at 0z on Saturday with 850mbs crashing behind it through all of Northern New Jersey, changing the rain to snow for most of Northern New Jersey with a dusting to an inch of accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Well, the following list would constitute Northern New Jersey, and if you guess that about half of these people could potentially be affected, then there is the 2 million. I know you were kidding. Northern 3,768,531 Bergen 884,118 Essex 792,311 Hudson 608,975 Morris 470,212 Passaic 490,374 Union 522,541 Northwestern 246,603 Sussex 144,165 Warren 102,438 I'm kidding. It's the banter thread. But 2 million people? What do you constitute part of northern NJ, especially when referring to borderline snow events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I think you should have said NW NJ. Essex and Union are basically within a degree or two of EWR during a noreaster Well, the following list would constitute Northern New Jersey, and if you guess that about half of these people could potentially be affected, then there is the 2 million. I know you were kidding. Northern 3,768,531 Bergen 884,118 Essex 792,311 Hudson 608,975 Morris 470,212 Passaic 490,374 Union 522,541 Northwestern 246,603 Sussex 144,165 Warren 102,438 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Well, the snow output from the control run of the 0z Euro shows surface snow throughout Northern New Jersey maybe a couple of miles west of NYC and Newark, but definitely in most of Northern New Jersey. That is why I said it they way I did. Is the model correct, that is another story. I am just saying what it shows. I think you should have said NW NJ. Essex and Union are basically within a degree or two of EWR during a noreaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Well, the snow output from the control run of the 0z Euro shows surface snow throughout Northern New Jersey maybe a couple of miles west of NYC and Newark, but definitely in most of Northern New Jersey. That is why I said it they way I did. Is the model correct, that is another story. I am just saying what it shows. When I think of northern NJ during borderline snow events I think of Butler NJ and north and west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I usually consider that Northwest New Jersey. When I think of northern NJ during borderline snow events I think of Butler NJ and north and west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 I like cookies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 No problem. I've never seen snow on the ground in October at this elevation so we'll see Well, the snow output from the control run of the 0z Euro shows surface snow throughout Northern New Jersey maybe a couple of miles west of NYC and Newark, but definitely in most of Northern New Jersey. That is why I said it they way I did. Is the model correct, that is another story. I am just saying what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Yes, it probably won't happen this time either, but it will be interesting to see what happens. No problem. I've never seen snow on the ground in October at this elevation so we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 6z gfs is a lakes runner.Good sign for winter. Sarcastic or not, it's a bad sign for sure if it plays out that way. The storm is still over 5 days out so anything can happen though but winter patterns generally lock in as soon as October so a lake cutter could be a precursor for the rest of the winter. This is why I believe this winter will be the worst since 2007-2008 and a lot of people are not going to be happy seeing cutter after cutter, but get used to it. The wild card remains the NAO, if there are negative periods, then maybe we could get at least decent (4-8)(6-10) inch snowstorm, but the odds are low. I think NYC gets 10-15" tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 http://www.americanw...recip-forecast/ Big winter incoming :thumbsup: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Sarcastic or not, it's a bad sign for sure if it plays out that way. The storm is still over 5 days out so anything can happen though but winter patterns generally lock in as soon as October so a lake cutter could be a precursor for the rest of the winter. This is why I believe this winter will be the worst since 2007-2008 and a lot of people are not going to be happy seeing cutter after cutter, but get used to it. The wild card remains the NAO, if there are negative periods, then maybe we could get at least decent (4-8)(6-10) inch snowstorm, but the odds are low. I think NYC gets 10-15" tops. Since when do Lakes cutters in October mean the rest of the winter goes the same way? We had lakes cutters in fall both last year and the year before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Since when do Lakes cutters in October mean the rest of the winter goes the same way? We had lakes cutters in fall both last year and the year before. That's why the NAO remains the wild card, but if we consistently see cutter after cutter for the next month or so, then start to worry. The past storm was inland and this next storm is already trending more inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Since when do Lakes cutters in October mean the rest of the winter goes the same way? We had lakes cutters in fall both last year and the year before. quoting people i have on ignore is just mean, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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