Alpha5 Posted October 18, 2011 Author Share Posted October 18, 2011 He got demoted. We need more colors. LIke purple for snow weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Tornadojay just PM'ed me his winter forecast for KNYC, he told me it was my eyes only, but I have to share. Dec: -5.0 temp departure , 25 inches snow Jan: -10.0 temp departure, 5 inches snow, too cold. Feb: 0.0 temp departure, 45 inches snow March: -4.25 temp departure, 20 inches snow. WOW!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 18, 2011 Author Share Posted October 18, 2011 Tornadojay just PM'ed me his winter forecast for KNYC, he told me it was my eyes only, but I have to share. Dec: -5.0 temp departure , 25 inches snow Jan: -10.0 temp departure, 5 inches snow, too cold. Feb: 0.0 temp departure, 45 inches snow March: -4.25 temp departure, 20 inches snow. WOW!!! If this happens i will buy you dinner in the city at any restaurant of your choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 If this happens i will buy you dinner in the city at any restaurant of your choice Don't buy me dinner, buy Tornadojay, its his prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 I'm ready for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Don't buy me dinner, buy Tornadojay, its his prediction. huh?? lol ummmm.... oh yea.. those predictions.. of course! I forgot about that. You can trust my forecasts.......... really....... I also predicted our first trace of snowfall was going to be on September 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 huh?? lol ummmm.... oh yea.. those predictions.. of course! I forgot about that. sorry man, I had to let the cat out of the bag, its too cool a forecast http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/24763-nyc-banter-and-bs-thread-part-iii/page__view__findpost__p__1039488 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 huh?? lol ummmm.... oh yea.. those predictions.. of course! I forgot about that. You can trust my forecasts.......... really....... I also predicted our first trace of snowfall was going to be on September 30th. If you were standing next to Metfan, you may have seen a trace, that boy has some serious dandrouf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 sorry man, I had to let the cat out of the bag, its too cool a forecast http://www.americanw...ost__p__1039488 that's ok... I'm glad you shared.. I couldn't contain the excitement anymore.. For 3 months straight, I've been pouring through books and thermodynamic equations, and changing poop diapers.. and I came up with some amazing analogs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 -4.25 doesn't tell me anything. The guy is slacking. I want to know the highs and lows of each date, not the overall average. Any dope can come up with that. Are they just giving out met degrees now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 -4.25 doesn't tell me anything. The guy is slacking. I want to know the highs and lows of each date, not the overall average. Any dope can come up with that. Are they just giving out met degrees now? yep, they have some good met degrees on ebay.. they're very pretty and have pink borders. .... yea...... soooooooo dreamy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 -4.25 doesn't tell me anything. The guy is slacking. I want to know the highs and lows of each date, not the overall average. Any dope can come up with that. Are they just giving out met degrees now? Ask Forky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 It would appear the euro has flipped again and gets cold at the end of the run with a retrograding scandanavian block. Strong sucker too. EDIT: Block breaks down rather quickly, but the trough is there at the end, ala GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 yep, they have some good met degrees on ebay.. they're very pretty and have pink borders. .... yea...... soooooooo dreamy! The rolls eyes smiley is an indication that you took me seriously. I hope you didn't think that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 The rolls eyes smiley is an indication that you took me seriously. I hope you didn't think that. oops.. wrong icon.. no, I knew you were joking around.. no probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Looking back at the last 15 octobers, this is only the 2nd time we haven't dropped below 45 by this point and most of those years have been down in the 30s at least once by now. The latest was 2005 getting below 45 on the 23rd and below 40 on the 27th. Looks like we'll beat that by one or two days but who knows when we'll finally see 30s....maybe not until the very last couple days of this month or even the first week of November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Nina no blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Any money the cold never makes it here and instead rots over the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Nina no blocking Its a FROPA, no real digging, flow is too fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Any money the cold never makes it here and instead rots over the midwest. The trough is already starting to look like ass on the GFS and the Euro still doesn't have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 0z euro lost the cold air. Only has a 1 day transient shot of cold air, around day 7, and then pattern looks to flip to a warm one. 6z GFS also eased up on the cold and is headed towards the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 0z euro lost the cold air. Only has a 1 day transient shot of cold air, around day 7, and then pattern looks to flip to a warm one. 6z GFS also eased up on the cold and is headed towards the euro. yeah, not good. Appears to be a very fast zonal flow with no blocking anywhere across the globe, even the scandanavian block goes away, not that it was going to do much anyway unless it retrograded. Let's hope things change, a warm november with no blocking is going to be very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 0z euro lost the cold air. Only has a 1 day transient shot of cold air, around day 7, and then pattern looks to flip to a warm one. 6z GFS also eased up on the cold and is headed towards the euro. I saw the euro is holding some energy back in the southwest, a known bias for those that don't know. I would take it with a grain of salt for now in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I saw the euro is holding some energy back in the southwest, a known bias for those that don't know. I would take it with a grain of salt for now in the long range. euro and gfs show the same general global pattern, regardless of what the euro is doing over the SW. It's a bad pattern any way you slice it. Let's see what happens as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 yeah, not good. Appears to be a very fast zonal flow with no blocking anywhere across the globe, even the scandanavian block goes away, not that it was going to do much anyway unless it retrograded. Let's hope things change, a warm november with no blocking is going to be very bad. The rolling ridge over the CONUS and building PNA ridge on the GEFS means support a nice shot of cold air around the end of the month, although it might be short lived. Without the blocking the PNA ridge will be transient. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/MRF_6z/f216.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 The rolling ridge over the CONUS and building PNA ridge on the GEFS means support a nice shot of cold air around the end of the month, although it might be short lived. Without the blocking the PNA ridge will be transient. http://www.meteo.psu...MRF_6z/f216.gif its a two day shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 congrats DT. Check out the closed 500mb low on the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Winter cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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