SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Euro has another cane threatening the east coast day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Everyone stop with the worry and just be psyched and amped up. We have our 1st LF ing cane in SNE in 20 yrs Enough said will it even be a cane by then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 will it even be a cane by then? I believe so and so does the NHC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Euro was right along the coast...just a razors edge E of the 12z NAM. Our best track would be just slightly E of this...something like the GFS/GGEM were showing. Looks like the 00z Ukie/RGEM and quite a few SREF members are into NJ as well. Hopefully it stays just off the coast though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 LOL Kevin is in full weenie mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 will it even be a cane by then? How's Kansas doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Tomorrow night's high tide in Buzzard's Bay could be a major problem. Even the 12z NAM which is not an ideal track shows a huge SW LLJ that just rips straight into there around 00z tomorrow evening. They could be getting their strongest winds while the storm is over CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 WHat are we thinking for winds on the baqckside as we rip NW gusts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Everyone stop with the worry and just be psyched and amped up. We have our 1st LF ing cane in SNE in 20 yrs Enough said Be the first landfalling tropical storm in years. I believe so and so does the NHC. I'll bet you $50 it won't be a hurricane at landfall up here. They also believed it would have 120+ mph winds a fwe days ago. Tomorrow night's high tide in Buzzard's Bay could be a major problem. Even the 12z NAM which is not an ideal track shows a huge SW LLJ that just rips straight into there around 00z tomorrow evening. They could be getting their strongest winds while the storm is over CNE. Yep, could be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 First rain band has arrived, 2.84 per hour rate on davis (at work SECT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Be the first landfalling tropical storm in years. They also believed it would have 120+ mph winds a fwe days ago. Yep, could be bad. Noone finds your negativity funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 75/70 no precip yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Noone finds your negativity funny. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 Storm cancel on the nam Please stop posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Well I just picked up .30 in about 15 min, gonna be a long 36 hours, things will saturate quickly, nice band off of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 9z ETA keeps Irene offshore of NJ. Possibly over HVN and up into MRG land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Noone finds your negativity funny. the only thing that is funny is dick jokes mixed with mentions of ass and ball sweat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 So did the lack of a deep trough in this case kill our chances for a late eastward tick in the models? Or are we simply just dealing with better models today? Generally speaking, they've all done a tremendous job in picking up on the northeast hit 5-6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NAM has an 85 knot LLJ over the Cape and Islands between 18z and 00z tomorrow night with over 70 knots sustained just off the deck. It actually is more impressive this run despite the track being less than ideal...I wonder if going a little west actually expands the windfield a little more as it loses tropical characteristics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NAM has an 85 knot LLJ over the Cape and Islands between 18z and 00z tomorrow night with over 70 knots sustained just off the deck. It actually is more impressive this run despite the track being less than ideal...I wonder if going a little west actually expands the windfield a little more as it loses tropical characteristics. Only for the Cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 9z ETA keeps Irene offshore of NJ. Possibly over HVN and up into MRG land. The old Eta has been terrible so far. If you look back over the member runs in the past 24hrs of the SREFs they've been all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NAM has an 85 knot LLJ over the Cape and Islands between 18z and 00z tomorrow night with over 70 knots sustained just off the deck. It actually is more impressive this run despite the track being less than ideal...I wonder if going a little west actually expands the windfield a little more as it loses tropical characteristics. Will what do you think for wind up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Will what do you think for wind up here? Light sea breeze....high cirrus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Only for the Cape? It's pretty strong for all of coastal ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just had a quick shower, Can't wait to see how the dry air will deal with whats left of Irene's eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Only for the Cape? Most of SNE has an 80 knot LLJ, but it doesn't have the hurricane force winds just off the deck like it does on the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Noone finds your negativity funny. It's not negativity. You have a weak hurricane (were there any official reporting stations that measured hurricane conditions)...that is now over land and looks to be moving over the landmass in ENC. Best case it scrapes the shore with some chance it goes inland. Either way it's not delivering hurricane conditions or struggling to do that now. Unless it's the first cane north of there to strengthen while over land or north of Carolina it won't be a cane here. They may call it that, but again, let's see the obs. Will is right, it could get pretty nasty Sunday but it's not producing wide spread hurricane conditions right now nevermind in 24 hours. the only thing that is funny is dick jokes mixed with mentions of ass and ball sweat Yes but those relate directly to the weather. -- First rain band went through here. Looked like nothing on radar, huge puddles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 HSE was up to 76kts like an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Most of SNE has an 80 knot LLJ, but it doesn't have the hurricane force winds just off the deck like it does on the Cape. So if I go up a prominent (IE cliffs on 2 sides) 400' hill in SE CT that's 8 miles inland, that will probably have better winds than the beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Most of SNE has an 80 knot LLJ, but it doesn't have the hurricane force winds just off the deck like it does on the Cape. Yeah It's been doing that since yesterday too. Glad you saw that. It could blow pretty hard for a while down there right into high tide. 925mb (which may be somewhat of a gust indicator) blows. S-SW winds there would really pile up the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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