DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 From Matt Noyes WOW. Irene officially 85mph but Cedar Island Ferry Terminal, NC, just recorded sustained 90mph! Messsennnggeeeerrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 12z RGEM http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_024.jpg 12z GGEM http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_024.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes jet dynamics are impressive but shear is shear and dry continental air always win out in decreasing a storm. Speed is too slow as well. If it intensifies it will be due to the dynamics and baroclinic features. Size really is insignificant it is all about how fast its moving Unlike most storms we're not getting the thing picked up by a huge digging trough with its axis over the Apps. So the really strong southerly shear in a Gloria-esque storm isn't here. We're getting some enhancement from the right entrance region of a developing jet streak over northern NE. That makes me worried about flooding along and maybe even east of the storm track which is so unusual for a SNE cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Gusts to 85? I'm sorry that you wont get your first hurricane landfall in 20 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Unlike most storms we're not getting the thing picked up by a huge digging trough with its axis over the Apps. So the really strong southerly shear in a Gloria-esque storm isn't here. We're getting some enhancement from the right entrance region of a developing jet streak over northern NE. That makes me worried about flooding along and maybe even east of the storm track which is so unusual for a SNE cane. Can you explain more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Crazy how it needed landfall to tighten and strengthen ..lol...these beasts are so unpredictable intensity wise. Not sure why Andy is downplaying it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 well last pass is impressive.. 163400 3519N 07630W 7237 02361 9473 +165 //// 190010 010 /// /// 05 Where'd you get this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Dendrite and Will..anything you guys can do about Kush? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Messsennnggeeeerrrr I believe Messenger's argument was no official sites reporting hurricane winds. Not sure if that's still true, but he consistently qualified his statement with that caveat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What morons there in Virginia Beach...anyone watching TWC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I believe Messenger's argument was no official sites reporting hurricane winds. Not sure if that's still true, but he consistently qualified his statement with that caveat. Maybe, but I'm just breaking his balls a little. Nice to see this get more organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I'm sorry that you wont get your first hurricane landfall in 20 years you are 6.5hrs early... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 More from Noyes: Thus far core of #Irene very much intact. As she gets evacuation of air aloft from jet stream & hits 79-82deg water, may briefly strengthen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 If this is not appropriate just let me know. Want to take out the sticks and a swing downwind on a 600yd. Par5 somewhere tomorrow... it's in the hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 MattNoyesNECN Matt Noyes Radar indicates Hurricane #Irene has begun northeast acceleration & will be back over water approximately 3:30-4pm EDT2 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 MattNoyesNECN Matt Noyes Thus far core of #Irene very much intact. As she gets evacuation of air aloft from jet stream & hits 79-82deg water, may briefly strengthen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 CT has banned all travel starting tomorrow morning at 6:00.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Jim Cantore I can't help NOT trying to compare #Irene's 2nd landfall in New England tomorrow to that of of a 100 mile wide EF0 #tornado Check this out: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Messsennnggeeeerrrr Unofficial. That said some impressive gusts almost to hurricane strength in some locations. http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=nc&prodtype=hourly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Unlike most storms we're not getting the thing picked up by a huge digging trough with its axis over the Apps. So the really strong southerly shear in a Gloria-esque storm isn't here. We're getting some enhancement from the right entrance region of a developing jet streak over northern NE. That makes me worried about flooding along and maybe even east of the storm track which is so unusual for a SNE cane. It does have a bit of a PRE look to it now though and SNE may get some sporadic heavy rainfall prior to the actual TC but still the heavy rain area will tend to pivot to the N and NW. The front that came thru like 2 days a go will be coming back north as a warm front so this may cause some predecessor rains. The jet RE enhancement will probably enhance the wind potential for areas east of the storm track. To me this jet setup has a very Ike-like look to it when Ike moved across the OV and PA and NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Where'd you get this? S2K, but my google earth also shows it Time:16:34:00ZCoordinates:35.3167N 76.5WAcft. Static Air Press:723.7 mb (~ 21.37 inHg)Acft. Geopotential Hgt:2,361 meters (~ 7,746 feet)Extrap. Sfc. Press:947.3 mb (~ 27.97 inHg)D-value:-Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s):From 190° at 10 knots (From the S at ~ 11.5 mph)Air Temp:16.5°C* (~ 61.7°F*)Dew Pt:-*Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind:10 knots (~ 11.5 mph)SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind:-SFMR Rain Rate:- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Pressure is down 947... Holy shi t..that's like a cat 3 pressure wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 CT has banned all travel starting tomorrow morning at 6:00.. Good thing I'm leaving soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Outlfow to the north and east is incredible, wonder if its being aided by the jet streak already, pressure down, this is going to be a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Pressure is down 947... Holy shi t..that's like a cat 3 pressure wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Dendrite and Will..how long are you guys gonna let Kush do this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 It does have a bit of a PRE look to it now though and SNE may get some sporadic heavy rainfall prior to the actual TC but still the heavy rain area will tend to pivot to the N and NW. The front that came thru like 2 days a go will be coming back north as a warm front so this may cause some predecessor rains. The jet RE enhancement will probably enhance the wind potential for areas east of the storm track. To me this jet setup has a very Ike-like look to it when Ike moved across the OV and PA and NY. Yeah the LLJ has been really impressive on most guidance over SE New England. I def think the upper jet streak to the north enhances the pressure gradient on the east side a bit even as the tropical characteristics are losing punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 may go over nags head.. TWC is in a perfect spot... lucky.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Sad to hear that people are not heeding the Warnings. Several have died and this is in a comparatively sparsely populated area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yeah the LLJ has been really impressive on most guidance over SE New England. I def think the upper jet streak to the north enhances the pressure gradient on the east side a bit even as the tropical characteristics are losing punch. Will, will the jet tend to maximize winds in CNE as well? especially east of the core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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