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Hurricane Irene Obs/Discussion Thread


WxUSAF

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Yeah it's really ripping down there, can be seen on velocity scans (vaguely). N/NNE movement of the wind core though, not sure if it is valid or not, Hurricane expert on TWC stating repeatedly that the Richmond area has seen hurricane force gusts and heading for DC/Baltimore Metro Areas later tonight.

not that the precip amounts are valid, bit it certainly seems that the strongest winds have been confined to the areas in yellow on S and E

http://www.marylandw...m/klwxstate.php

(note, you may have to click on "Storm Total Rain" to see what I'm talking about)

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I'm kind of hoping all the events of the past year and a half (09-10 snowstorms, summer of 2010 thunderstorms, Jan 26) have brought down a lot of the weaker stuff and we won't have the kind of power outages we had during Isabel

You don't have anything to worry about there -- this won't be anything close to Isabel in the immediate DC/Baltimore metro (wind wise). I can't speak for extreme SE MD (like St. Marys) and that area though, as I forgot what they experienced from Isabel.

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Three tweets from NASA's Wallops Island, VA facility:

2 hours ago: About the same as last hour's update. Up to 11.5 inches of rain. How are things where you are? #Irene

6:30 pm: the rain gauge has stopped reading. Last hour, the highest gust was 54 mph. Wff wx team says worst yet to come.

7:30 pm: Just received report of "severe flooding" on Wallops Island. The island is where we launch rockets, also home to the UAV runway.

Still fairly calm here in SBY, wondering if Richmond's troubles are headed my way. We'll be about 40 miles from center of circulation this evening.

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Mattie G - any trees or large branches down by you? I've got a few medium sized branches (5-6' long) in my front yard, but nothing worse. Too many large trees in Burke!

Nothing I can see immediately. I'll probably go for a stroll down the block in a bit to see if anything's doing.

Completely agree on the trees. I love the big old regal trees, but some of my neighbors have three or four 70-90' trees in their 800-or-so-square-foot yards yards. Way too many big trees in too small a space. Makes me nervous.

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Yeah it's really ripping down there, can be seen on velocity scans (vaguely). N/NNE movement of the wind core though, not sure if it is valid or not, Hurricane expert on TWC stating repeatedly that the Richmond area has seen hurricane force gusts and heading for DC/Baltimore Metro Areas later tonight.

Is there really a chance DC sees gusts to at least 75mph? Surely that would be drastically (and I do mean drastically) greater than what was forecast?

Also, as much as I love CWG, I knew they were way off with their initial 0.5-2 inches call for DC from early yesterday. Looking at 4+ now as the general consensus. Have to say, if we get 4+ CWG have busted. Ok, they corrected themselves, fine, but their initial call 24 hrs prior to the event would have been way off.....

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people should stop judging things before they happen.

You should know that's what we do here. ;) Whether we're getting 15" of snow (like on 2/10/06 when people complained b/c it unexpectedly began as rain) or 2 to 3 feet (like 2/5/10 when people complained about initially "wasting QPF" on non-sticking snow), we complain and rush to judgement.sun.gif

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You should know that's what we do here. ;) Whether we're getting 15" of snow (like on 2/10/06 when people complained b/c it unexpectedly began as rain) or 2 to 3 feet (like 2/5/10 when people complained about initially "wasting QPF" on non-sticking snow), we complain and rush to judgement.sun.gif

winds were more a wildcard than rain... we might not get trees down everywhere winds. if not we should be happy more than sad.

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Irene actually looks like it's trying to get its act back together a bit. COC looks better
it's too far gone i think. the center does show signs of getting itself back over water with some increased convection for sure. it's still super deep.
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