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Hurricane Irene Obs/Discussion Thread


WxUSAF

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  On 8/27/2011 at 1:58 PM, BethesdaWX said:

Confliction ftw. 12z NAM says yes to high winds and rain, might best the 00z for extremity though not sure about that.

Wow, that would be impressive - tho it is still the NAM. I would think we are in its hot zone now though.

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  On 8/27/2011 at 1:59 PM, Kmlwx said:

Wow, that would be impressive - tho it is still the NAM. I would think we are in its hot zone now though.

I trust the NAM much more 12-24hrs out, definitely puts us in the 4-6"+ rainfall band, makes sense given the expanse of the precip field atm. Also note the NAM correctly forecasted the due N movement/wobble as has been seen for the past several hrs.

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  On 8/27/2011 at 1:52 PM, samdman95 said:

http://www.ssd.noaa....2/flash-wv.html The water vapor image shows NNW travel over the last hour and a half... trend or a wobble?

Someone can clarify this because I could be wrong, but I think you're seeing the dynamics of the storm changing as a result of making landfall rather than a change in track.

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