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Official Hurricane Irene Live OBS/Discussion Part III


NickD2011

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Something that was pointed out earlier is just because you have a minimal hurricane does not mean anyone will experience those conditions-- the maximum sustained winds are (theoretically, at least) represented by just a point, so it's highly unlikely anyone on the ground would experience that. That's why, in a 75 mph minimal hurricane, our forecast was for 50-70mph sustained winds.

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I knew I wasn't crazy, they just said on ABC7 that the center is over Queens & Nassau.

Wherever it is I hope it officially maintains it's Cat 1 strength.

They are wrong. They were showing a reporter on channel 7 in Long Beach where they claim the eye was passing over and the guy was still being blown across the boardwalk. 40 mi SSW of NYC moving NNE would bring the center over NYC shortly. The clear spot on the radar is not indicative of the true center. There was a clear twist on GRLEVEL 3 radar which moved up from Belmar to Staten Island and now Manhattan/Hoboken . Winds at JFK were from the EAST so the center is not to their East period
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They are wrong. They were showing a reporter on channel 7 in Long Beach where they claim the eye was passing over and the guy was still being blown across the boardwalk. 40 mi SSW of NYC moving NNE would bring the center over NYC shortly. The clear spot on the radar is not indicative of the true center. There was a clear twist on GRLEVEL 3 radar which moved up from Belmar to Staten Island and now Manhattan/Hoboken . Winds at JFK were from the EAST so the center is not to their East period

There's actually an easy way to see this..... the pressures down in central NJ were up to 5mb lower so there would be no way for it to be that far north.

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ABC 7 is also saying the center is still near Raritan Bay, and it could make landfall on Manhattan.

Goldberg thinks this will be the first hurricane since 1821 to make landfall in Manhattan... he said the center fix is in Raritan Bay.

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I just went to Peter's Clam Bar, which is right near Long Beach...in Island Park. The roads were too flooded to go any further south than that, so we didn't take any chances.

I got some insane video. The winds were awesome. The bay nearby had surged and infiltrated the road that was perpendicular to Long Beach.

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I used to be the student intern at OKX, I passed the Sayville report along to them on NWSChat. If it's considered plausible, it will be used. The NWS doesn't only use "official" NWS or NOAA maintained obs, we take plenty of mesonet reports that are privately owned. So we'll see.

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I used to be the student intern at OKX, I passed the Sayville report along to them on NWSChat. If it's considered plausible, it will be used. The NWS doesn't only use "official" NWS or NOAA maintained obs, we take plenty of mesonet reports that are privately owned. So we'll see.

Yep.... I noticed you guys use MADIS and APRSWXNET, which is also published on wunderground.

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