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Official Hurricane Irene Live OBS/Discussion Part III


NickD2011

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Tweeted over at nymetrowx how great observing on sister's porch in Shoreham LI overlooking sod farm open to north and east, and we are western end, so just ramming east winds, and, what I missed seeing in Gloria, the classic sideways sheets of rain. Just exhilarating...and amazing it's been 26 years since we've had this. Just hope we have some good storm to video sunrise to peak.

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Tweeted over at nymetrowx how great observing on sister's porch in Shoreham LI overlooking sod farm open to north and east, and we are western end, so just ramming east winds, and, what I missed seeing in Gloria, the classic sideways sheets of rain. Just exhilarating...and amazing it's been 26 years since we've had this. Just hope we have some good storm to video sunrise to peak.

Yes, that's all I ask-- I want this storm to peak rain and wind after daybreak!

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Looking at that flood chart.......if you just predict the NORMAL swings...its going over 8 feet. This looks to be quite serious there and it may very well prove extremely prudent that they shutdown the mass transit the way they did. That is ugly!

I mentioned 10' was possible earlier...not sure why some local media outlets were going with 3-5...probably assuming that all weak cat 1s/strong TSs bring the same surge...

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I mentioned 10' was possible earlier...not sure why some local media outlets were going with 3-5...probably assuming that all weak cat 1s/strong TSs bring the same surge...

Yeah, we need to differentiate between category winds and category surge-- there isn't a 1:1 relationship necessarily. Shape of the coastline and size of the storm comes into play. If we get a 10-11 feet surge at high tide, that will be a Cat 3 surge.

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ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

240 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

NORTHWESTERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 315 AM EDT

* AT 238 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR

CASSVILLE...OR 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING WEST AT 30

MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

SIX FLAGS THEME PARK AND CLARKSBURG BY 245 AM EDT...

CREAM RIDGE AND ROOSEVELT BY 250 AM EDT...

IMLAYSTOWN BY 255 AM EDT...

ALLENTOWN BY 300 AM EDT...

WINDSOR AND CROSSWICKS BY 305 AM EDT...

EDINBURG BY 310 AM EDT...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

240 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

NORTHWESTERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 315 AM EDT

* AT 238 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR

CASSVILLE...OR 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING WEST AT 30

MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

SIX FLAGS THEME PARK AND CLARKSBURG BY 245 AM EDT...

CREAM RIDGE AND ROOSEVELT BY 250 AM EDT...

IMLAYSTOWN BY 255 AM EDT...

ALLENTOWN BY 300 AM EDT...

WINDSOR AND CROSSWICKS BY 305 AM EDT...

EDINBURG BY 310 AM EDT...

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