BL03 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Just went outside in Staten Island...not raining now but winds still gust from time to time, clouds moving fast, small branches and lots of leaves down, water standing in many spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Currently low tide in NYC (2am) and around 4 foot of surge. You can glance at the radar and see how bad of a situation this can really become. Maybe this is a really dumb question....but will the fact that the hudson is most likely swollen have any sort of effect on the surge, or, by the time the Hudson gets to Manhattan, does the level of the river normalize to the level of whatever the bay and ocean is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 now 52k+ customers on long island without power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Center at 2am was located just 15 miles SSE of Ocean City MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Currently low tide in NYC (2am) and around 4 foot of surge. You can glance at the radar and see how bad of a situation this can really become. 4 feet already? That would give some credence to the higher end surge predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 4 feet already? That would give some credence to the higher end surge predictions. and it's low tide lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 I guess the above average ssts should part of this historic events analog its going to flood manhattan unless we have divine intervention . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 4 feet already? That would give some credence to the higher end surge predictions. Yeah...from twitter: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/data_menu.shtml?stn=8518750+The%20Battery,%20NY&bdate=20110827&edate=20110828&ssid=A1&datum=6&unit=1&shift=&type=Tide%20Data&format=View+Plot&plot_backup= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 I'm not sure what its like around there, but there's lots of trees nearby or higher structures, then it could easily come in low. Yeah, it's most likely the 13/14 story building across the street. I didn't even think about that. It looks like it stopped raining or at least lightened up. SE Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Brian Norcross on TWC just mentioned that even in NC now south of the hurricane. Winds were sustained at 48 gusting to 68 miles MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Yeah...from twitter: http://tidesandcurre...ot&plot_backup= Another dumb quesiton...a 10 foot surge at battery park, those maps they have for Cat 1, cat 2, etc storms, is that the expected surge from a cat 1 or 2 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 I saw a graphic online this week that showed a different viewed track of that system, more classic of what many east coast hurricanes which came up this way did. Its hard to say in 1903 how accurate they could pin down what the track was. But didn't that make landfall, in ACY? The eye was reported passing over there. We also have 1821 and 1893, both of which produced huge surges into NYC and tracked right into the city. Pretty much EVERY storm that made it to our latitude was transitioning to ET except perhaps Carol. And yes, that includes storms bending to the east also. I believe hurricanes just follow whatever the pattern is, and if the pattern dictates they go N or NW, then they will do that, because they're following the path of least resistance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 46 mph gust at my site, 56 mph at JFK now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 pressure jumped up to 958mb on the latest advisory, but makes sense given METARs Do you think it stays lower than 968 mb when it makes it here? I want to beat my Tax Day record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 46 mph gust at my site, 56 mph at JFK now. I'm seeing 43 mph sustained and gust to 58 mph at JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Dryslot has ended now and appears the winds are beginning tO mix back down again - here we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 You can easily see here how high the tide is vs where it should be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 I'm in the dry slot now. I thought I could still hear wind or rain but it turned out to be a nearby stream that's roaring; good thing I'm uphill from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 I'm seeing 43 mph sustained and gust to 58 mph at JFK. Nice... sustained TS force. I see that now too, my program was showing an older obs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Wow! Gonna be a fun night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Do you think it stays lower than 968 mb when it makes it here? I want to beat my Tax Day record It's going to be close...best chance would appear to be over western/central LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Gonna be a fun night! Brings back lots of fun memories of last winter tracking late at night lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 OMFG, the tide has begun going up, even though were going towards low tide, this is going to be a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Power came back on for 30 secs..every appliance wen nuts, but were back in the dark... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 It's going to be close...best chance would appear to be over western/central LI Yep, that's where I am, SW Nassau County lol. What time do you think the lowest pressure will be here? On TV they keep saying 10-11 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 i was driving around queens for the past couple of hors and the rain and wind combined i encountered at 1am was the worst I have ever driven in.winds of over 50mpH with just blinding rainfall.Flooding was bad.a lot of big branches down and leaves stripped off as well.march 2010 had stronger winds but the rainfall was not as intense.so far,a decent storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Wow! omg - cape may must be in the NW eyewall.. that eye is just coasting up edge of the coast - if it continues in it's direction - it's going right into southern queens!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 OMFG, the tide has begun going up, even though were going towards low tide, this is going to be a disaster Looks like it is almost at flood stage! Is that a 4 ft surge already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 i was driving around queens for the past couple of hors and the rain and wind combined i encountered at 1am was the worst I have ever driven in.winds of over 50mpH with just blinding rainfall.Flooding was bad.a lot of big branches down and leaves stripped off as well.march 2010 had stronger winds but the rainfall was not as intense.so far,a decent storm. We have some time to match or exceed March 2010 winds lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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