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Official Hurricane Irene Live OBS/Discussion Part III


NickD2011

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mcd2069.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2069

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0631 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...DE...NJ...SE NY...LONG ISLAND...SRN CT AND RI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 811...

VALID 272331Z - 280100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 811 CONTINUES.

THE TORNADO THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO

SPREAD NNEWD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE LONG ISLAND AREA.

A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED ALONG THE COAST OF DE...NJ...SE

NY AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND THIS EVENING.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 300 STATUTE

MILES SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY WITH SEVERAL RAINBANDS EXTENDING NWD

ALONG THE COASTS OF DE...NJ AS FAR NORTH AS LONG ISLAND. AT THIS

POINT...THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE THE GREATEST WITH THE

MIDDLE RAINBAND EXTENDING FROM NEAR DOVER OFFSHORE ABOUT 100 STATUTE

MILES. CELLS WITHIN THIS BAND APPEAR MORE DISCRETE WITH WSR-88D VWPS

SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED AROUND 50 KT.

LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE IN SERN NY AS THE BAND MOVES NWD DUE

TO THE APPROACH OF IRENE. A FEW TORNADOES COULD OCCUR IN NRN NJ AND

SERN NY WHERE A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH MUCH OF THE

OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 08/27/2011

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mcd2069.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2069

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0631 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...DE...NJ...SE NY...LONG ISLAND...SRN CT AND RI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 811...

VALID 272331Z - 280100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 811 CONTINUES.

THE TORNADO THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO

SPREAD NNEWD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE LONG ISLAND AREA.

A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED ALONG THE COAST OF DE...NJ...SE

NY AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND THIS EVENING.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 300 STATUTE

MILES SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY WITH SEVERAL RAINBANDS EXTENDING NWD

ALONG THE COASTS OF DE...NJ AS FAR NORTH AS LONG ISLAND. AT THIS

POINT...THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE THE GREATEST WITH THE

MIDDLE RAINBAND EXTENDING FROM NEAR DOVER OFFSHORE ABOUT 100 STATUTE

MILES. CELLS WITHIN THIS BAND APPEAR MORE DISCRETE WITH WSR-88D VWPS

SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED AROUND 50 KT.

LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE IN SERN NY AS THE BAND MOVES NWD DUE

TO THE APPROACH OF IRENE. A FEW TORNADOES COULD OCCUR IN NRN NJ AND

SERN NY WHERE A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH MUCH OF THE

OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 08/27/2011

yeah, you can see that very clearly, even ahead of that band cells are starting to really become well defined.

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WOUS64 KWNS 272350

WOU2

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 812

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

755 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

TORNADO WATCH 812 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM EDT FOR THE

FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

CTC001-280900-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0812.110827T2355Z-110828T0900Z/

CT

. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FAIRFIELD

DEC005-280900-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0812.110827T2355Z-110828T0900Z/

DE

. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

SUSSEX

NJC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-023-025-029-031-039-280900-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0812.110827T2355Z-110828T0900Z/

NJ

. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON

CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND ESSEX

HUDSON MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH

OCEAN PASSAIC UNION

NYC005-047-059-061-081-085-087-103-119-280900-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0812.110827T2355Z-110828T0900Z/

NY

. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRONX KINGS NASSAU

NEW YORK QUEENS RICHMOND

ROCKLAND SUFFOLK WESTCHESTER

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-431-450-451-452-453-454-455-

280900-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0812.110827T2355Z-110828T0900Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY

LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY

NEW YORK HARBOR

PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS

SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY

MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM

FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM

DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20

NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20

NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...

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