JQPublic Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I am going by what I actually see down south on radar and past storms where the heaviest rains have been located a good amount west of the eyewall.I believe this storm does the same. I think you're on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Cape Hatteras OBS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Wind Records (Peak Gusts) LocationMeasurementDate(s)Central Park (1951-pres.)ENE 78 mphDecember 2, 1974The Battery113+ mphOctober 14, 1954 Hurricane Hazel which went 200 miles west of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 You still expecting a weak tropical storm here..35-45 mph..wow..is this for the whole area? Places who get near the center will see a period of winds sustained stronger than that, locations such as eastern LI and W NJ which could be a decent distance from the center I don't know what to expect as far as winds. I'd say W NJ would be NE 30 G45 while eastern LI would be S-SE 35 G50 on average, its hard to say because we have no idea whats going on with winds 60 miles east of that center right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 How strong? Looks like the GFS and Euro have switched places lol. 972/976 ish euro is better keeps it over water and stronger NAM and SREFS probably too far west, would not go against the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 972/976 ish euro is better keeps it over water and stronger NAM and SREFS probably too far west, would not go against the euro. It'll just have to be nowcasted at this point. Right now the center is moving slightly east of due north it appears, if you drew a trajectory right now it would take it close to that Euro track it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 15Z ETA and Euro are pretty much idential. EE Rule in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 946.8mb pressure reading latest recon. You have got to be ****ing kidding me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Upton new hurricane warning say 76%chance of tropical storm conditions and 10 of hurricane but they are saying under it that winds will gust to hurricane force at 85mph, what's it mean sorta makes no sense? Saying 10% then hurricane force under it When the NHC says "hurricane force" they are talking about "sustained winds >74 mph." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 So when would my area, East Brunswick in Middlesex County, NJ start to see an increase in winds and when will they start gusting to at least 40 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 946.8mb pressure reading latest recon. You have got to be ****ing kidding me. 10 hours over land and it gets more powerful..WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 946.8mb pressure reading latest recon. You have got to be ****ing kidding me. What link are you getting updated recon data from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 946.8mb pressure reading latest recon. You have got to be ****ing kidding me. She will not be denied. The "land" she is over is pretty much swamp land and she has warm water to her right she is about to get all the way over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Look at the models picking up on the jet dynamics and precipitation explosion over our area before 12z Sunday. Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 So when would my area, East Brunswick in Middlesex County, NJ start to see an increase in winds and when will they start gusting to at least 40 mph. closer to and after midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Places who get near the center will see a period of winds sustained stronger than that, locations such as eastern LI and W NJ which could be a decent distance from the center I don't know what to expect as far as winds. I'd say W NJ would be NE 30 G45 while eastern LI would be S-SE 35 G50 on average, its hard to say because we have no idea whats going on with winds 60 miles east of that center right now. What about Middlesex County, NJ I live in the eastern part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What link are you getting updated recon data from? Someone posted it in the main forum live thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Where did you get this, a few hours ago it was report to be 946, then the official report had it at 951. 946.8mb pressure reading latest recon. You have got to be ****ing kidding me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 KRIC reported gusts to 55 mph, not particularly close to the center. Now 35 mph gusting to 49 mph. Although hurricane force winds may only occur in gusts for much of the NYC Metro, I think extended periods of gale winds, the rain and the trees taking out powerlines will make the people calling "hype" look a little foolish. And what the coastal flooding is like, that may or may not live up to billing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Don't go against the Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YankeeFan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Anyone care to venture a guess on how bad (and when) it will get in Bayonne, NJ. We're on the Hudson side, near the Port of Bayonne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 expect the pressure to continue to fall, expect a very organized catagory 1 storm up this way, this is about as close to a "perfect setup" as can possibly be forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Light to moderate rain and a breeze developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 KDIX needs to fix that radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Its back up at the moment KDIX needs to fix that radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 a few folks have been going over the old estern board when/if this goes down, now back to our regularly scheduled storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Irene is finally about to fully go over water again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Irene is finally about to fully go over water again. And the board is finally back up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Almost looks like shes going extratropical...lots of dry air working in on the southeastern quadrant... http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_timestamp.asp?data_folder=goes-west_goes-east/geir304&width=640&height=480 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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