ag3 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 We are going to be to close to the eye.Look at the radar down South,on its current track the heaviest rains are going to be west of us. Rain is rotating around the circulation. When every single model says 6" minimum of rain, you can't really go against that. This is not 1996 crappy computer era. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NAM and GFS are lagging a bit behind the faster Euro, Rgem, etc. I think beyond a doubt that the faster models will be right given storms' tendency to accelerate once up here. You can already see Irene accelerating through NC, and she will likely continue to through tonight. I think the "eyewall" is here in Nassau/NYC by 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I am expecting 8 inches of rain in North Jersey, maybe bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The Fact that the eye is moving right over NYC is just simply impressive, a meterological phenomenon that we rarely see with tropical systems. Surge is going to be wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Lee golderg says NYC mayor says prepares for the worst hope for the best but I think it looks like well get the worst now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NAM and GFS are lagging a bit behind the faster Euro, Rgem, etc. I think beyond a doubt that the faster models will be right given storms' tendency to accelerate once up here. You can already see Irene accelerating through NC, and she will likely continue to through tonight. I think the "eyewall" is here in Nassau/NYC by 8am. Bad timing..high tide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Tree fell on apartment building in newport news Virigina, 11 year old boy dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes, but with the large size of the storm and its slow movement we should all get at least 5 inches. Those areas to the west will be getting 10-12 inches. This could be a JUNE 2006/June 1972 Agnes rerun in Eastern PA.As far as we go,5 inches of rain is a lot of rainfall,it is going to be tough to get that here with the track as it is right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Tree fell on apartment building in newport news Virigina, 11 year old boy dead hate hearing that..RIP..please everybody be careful..falling trees will be a big problem here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Bad timing..high tide Very bad. Large storm, large fetch, ton of water buildup. The water already is coming up pretty high, and when the surge hits it could be very damaging for many of us. I think there's a sizable chance it could be worse than Gloria's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NAM and GFS are lagging a bit behind the faster Euro, Rgem, etc. I think beyond a doubt that the faster models will be right given storms' tendency to accelerate once up here. You can already see Irene accelerating through NC, and she will likely continue to through tonight. I think the "eyewall" is here in Nassau/NYC by 8am. Just in time for high tide..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Rain is rotating around the circulation.When every single model says 6" minimum of rain, you can't really go against that. This is not 1996 crappy computer era. That may very well happen.I dont believe it will but it may prove me wrong.Either way you look at it though,the truly prolofic rains are going to miss u to the west.Historic flooding is likely in WNJ/EPA/Upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Torrential downpour right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That may very well happen.I dont believe it will but it may prove me wrong.Either way you look at it though,the truly prolofic rains are going to miss u to the west.Historic flooding is likely in WNJ/EPA/Upstate NY. The models are overwhelming that the heaviest rains will include NYC area. Tough to go against such a strong consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 When the eye reaches us,it will be calm with perhaps broken skies and then the backlash will hit us.THat is going to be a sight to see and experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Wow...it's absolutely coming down in sheets of rain right now. The winds are picking up too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 When the eye reaches us,it will be calm with perhaps broken skies and then the backlash will hit us.THat is going to be a sight to see and experience. I just hope we get the heaviest rains and highest winds during the morning, I dont want this to be yet another late night event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Torrential downpour right now your streak of highest precip totals should continue with this storm, congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 earthlight where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I just hope we get the heaviest rains and highest winds during the morning, I dont want this to be yet another late night event Euro had the strongest winds in the morning.when are we gonna sleep tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The models are overwhelming that the heaviest rains will include NYC area.Tough to go against such a strong consensus. I am going by what I actually see down south on radar and past storms where the heaviest rains have been located a good amount west of the eyewall.I believe this storm does the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Euro had the strongest winds in the morning.when are we gonna sleep tonight? I think we need to sleep early and wake up early. It's going to be tough to do with how wired we are though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What a sight to see on Sunday Morning Irene will be as it heads straight for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think we need to sleep early and wake up early. It's going to be tough to do with how wired we are though. got 4 to 5 hours last night..maybe from 10pm-3am..something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think we need to sleep early and wake up early. It's going to be tough to do with how wired we are though. This is worth losing some sleep over,this is going to be a once in a lifetime track.I am not going to miss it.I will take a nap later on and be up for the main show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 got 4 to 5 hours last night..maybe from 10pm-3am..something like that I'm in the same boat lol. I slept from 7 AM to NOON, so the same number of hours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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