SACRUS Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 sp;<div><br></div><div><br></div><div> Surfin USA</div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div><img src="http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/latest_run/wna_ecg.anim.gif"><br></div><div><br></div> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 949 mb http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201109_hd.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 2:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 27 Location: 35.5°N 76.3°W Max sustained: 85 mph Moving: NNE at 15 mph Min pressure: 950 mb Public Advisory #29A 200 PM EDT Aviso Publico último boletín Forecast/ Advisory #29 1500 UTC Forecast Discussion #29 1100 AM EDT Wind Speed Probabilities #29 1500 UTC NWS Local Statements US Watch/ Warning 1100 AM EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Is Irene movie NE or NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#IRENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Heavy squall came through and now a little sunny, lets gets some storms going Here is 12z sounding by the way, makes sense how those storms were firing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Trials, Euro? Still over water up the Jersey Coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#IRENE Thanks, I wonder when a more Northeasterly component will begin? Probably after VA Beach it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 12z EURO is actually a tick east of 12z GFS. Goes over extreme western LI up into SWCT as opposed to over shore of NJ into NYC Almost looks identical to Glorida, maybe a smudge west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 2pm advisory: Looks like the track remains the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Euro a little stronger at landfall too, 968mb i think it was 972, 976 last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 947 is way stronger than what the models have predicted. They showed a 970 low near S.C. Hey Ant, can you link to the recon report or post it? Others are saying it's 950 mb lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 12z EURO is actually a tick east of 12z GFS. Goes over extreme western LI up into SWCT as opposed to over shore of NJ into NYC Almost looks identical to Glorida, maybe a smudge west Does it take an all water route after NC? Post details... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 winds gusting a bit ahead of that band coming off the ocean...maybe 15-20...wow as im typing really kicking up..maybe 25 gust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 12z EURO is actually a tick east of 12z GFS. Goes over extreme western LI up into SWCT as opposed to over shore of NJ into NYC Almost looks identical to Glorida, maybe a smudge west Hm interesting, that would give the City more rain of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Does it take an all water route after NC? Post details... Yes, all water, no land until landfall over your house then to my house. Its crazy, it goes off the NC coast, then straight up over water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 It also gets drawn back to the NW a little as its coming ashore, not moving NE, it goes to Albany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Does it take an all water route after NC? Post details... I wish Doug was here to post one of his patented maps lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes, all water, no land until landfall over your house then to my house. Its crazy, it goes off the NC coast, then straight up over water. all of a suden it's shifts east..mmm..didn't expect that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 It also gets drawn back to the NW a little as its coming ashore, not moving NE, it goes to Albany Wow wild track LOL What is the strength at landfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes, all water, no land until landfall over your house then to my house. Its crazy, it goes off the NC coast, then straight up over water. Very, very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 It also gets drawn back to the NW a little as its coming ashore, not moving NE, it goes to Albany Well i guess this is goodbye to you guys. lol just kidding, but still seems like a very dangerous track nonetheless especially with a lower pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Landfall at 968mb, maybe a touch lower right in the center. Point of landfall is Long Beach IMHO The lowest isobar is in extends just left of longbeach to west islip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 the euro tracks the storm right up the jersey shore into nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 the euro tracks the storm right up the jersey shore into nyc http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/ click model data, then find the euro 3 hr increments, including sfc winds and precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Omg. I want this to verify. I boxed the 21 hour, 27 hour, and 30 hour plots. You can clearly see where it is at 24 hours: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Even with a western li landfall wouldn't the entire metro area see hurricane winds 90 miles out they extend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 947, cat 1, this one will be written about/studied extensively. Is it becoming extratropical? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I sand bagged my yard you look at it and it floods picked the veggie garden clean and played taps it was quite emotional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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