weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Steve, what's the link to that graphic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Storngly disagree with the thread subtitle....to the point of shaking his noose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 christ the Euro is doing awful lol gfs has taken it to the cleaners imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianLaverty Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Just woke up.... What'd I miss? How's southern Rhode island looking for Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I have to head to work so if you could PM me the link that would be great. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Note: 900-925 millibars (mb) represents near-surface wind values, consult NHC discussions for 5 day official forecasts well its like 30 to 40 mb AGL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm a little unsure of how it will behave if it scrapes land for a while, but it's possible that strong venting and the fact that it is still in touch with warmer waters might not weaken it much. We'll see how it looks in te next 24 hrs. The size of this thing tells us right away it won't weaken quickly. It's those tight compact canes that ramp down quickly. That and the expansive wind field with this thing means damage will be maximized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 you can kinda see how big and diffuse irene is on the HWRF...landfall in central CT but worst winds and surge right into Narragansett Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Geez look at that wind in SECT SRI 103 knots, even my neck is 90 plus At first I thought those were surface winds but then I realized it was up at 900 hPa. Although in this case, 900 hPa won't be as high as it usually is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Nam is faster and west at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Random quesitons...a gas powered water pump will fit in the back of a minivan, right? At this point I'm going to forego attempting to install a battery back up sump pump. If I have major water back up into the basement...I figure I shouldn't have too much of an issue renting a pump up here and driving it down next week. Although I'm hoping any water seepage will be minimal enough to be handled with a wet-dry back and some sham-wows. We managed with minimal water in the basement when we got 7" in March 2010...although the sump pump was operational that whole time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm out....Phil and Kev, TYIA. This is coming across LI...make no mistake about it. God help those to the right of the track on the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Talked to my insurance broker this morning...which put me a bit more at peace with the whole thing. Not completely mind you...but a little more accepting of whatever happens will happen. One thing that put it in perspective is he said he's had a couple people he's had to talk to this week (right on the coast) whose insurance policies have lapsed...and since carriers have suspended writing new policies...their pretty much SOL. Just thankful I'm not in that boat. Gonna drive back to CT early tomorrow morning to just make a few final preps...board up our back sliding door windows, take out the window a/c units, ect. In a sick way looking forward to driving around a bit and experiencing the anticipation of the hit. Kind of like driving around before a big snow and seeing all the plows gassing up and people stocking up on salt & shovels...but in a band new way I may (and hope, at least as a home owner) only to experience once in my life. Over most of Cape Cod if you're home is over 600k insured the deductible is 5%...starts at 30k. If you're within 1/2 of the shore it's 5% anyway. On the Islands it's 5% at 300k. Great deal...insurance is about $2700 a year for a 600k house AND you get to eat 30k if the house blows over. NAM is west of the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Just woke up.... What'd I miss? How's southern Rhode island looking for Sunday? I think your in a great "if you like extreme weather" spot for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Steve, what's the link to that graphic? phil posted it http://coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmwes Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Random quesitons...a gas powered water pump will fit in the back of a minivan, right? At this point I'm going to forego attempting to install a battery back up sump pump. If I have major water back up into the basement...I figure I shouldn't have too much of an issue renting a pump up here and driving it down next week. Although I'm hoping any water seepage will be minimal enough to be handled with a wet-dry back and some sham-wows. We managed with minimal water in the basement when we got 7" in March 2010...although the sump pump was operational that whole time... This is the only reason I'm worried I wasn't able to find a genny. March of 2010 my sump shorted out and I ended up with 6 inches of water. Got it running, next day it shorted out again and within an hour I had 2 inches in the basement. Only time I've ever had water down there in 5 1/2 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm not nearly as optimistic as you but agree it could get destroyed by land. If it manages to mostly stay in the swamps of ENC and offshore after that we're screwed. If it ends up running with the western eyewall over land as it comes up the coast it's going to be weaker than people think IMO. We just don't know. Next 6 hours of motion will be the key. If it interacts with land significantly 60mph will be pushing it here again JMHO. If not, 100? i understand the sentiment but i seriously urge caution on this - most especially if someone lives on the south side (which i know you don't). i'm not trying to be condescending or anything. but this isn't Bob. it's a massive storm. a TS wind field of 300 miles is very very big. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 37.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 60NW. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 120NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 NAM is making landfall over Western LI at 54 hours (18z SUN) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 well its like 30 to 40 mb AGL That was the note on your link page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 NAM obliterates NYC...but is so far west I don't think it would be too bad at my locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 NAM is making landfall over Western LI at 54 hours (18z SUN) Worst case for sne? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 12z NAM landfall w/c LI then NE into C CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Over most of Cape Cod if you're home is over 600k insured the deductible is 5%...starts at 30k. If you're within 1/2 of the shore it's 5% anyway. On the Islands it's 5% at 300k. Great deal...insurance is about $2700 a year for a 600k house AND you get to eat 30k if the house blows over. NAM is west of the 0z. hell...our hurricane coverage deductable isn't even 1% of our home value. Of course...its about 5 miles inland and nowhere near as exposed as the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 12z NAM landfall w/c LI then NE into C CT eye passes right over tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Worst case for sne? it's at low tide...which is a pretty significant facet of the storm imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Talked to my insurance broker this morning...which put me a bit more at peace with the whole thing. Not completely mind you...but a little more accepting of whatever happens will happen. One thing that put it in perspective is he said he's had a couple people he's had to talk to this week (right on the coast) whose insurance policies have lapsed...and since carriers have suspended writing new policies...their pretty much SOL. Just thankful I'm not in that boat. Gonna drive back to CT early tomorrow morning to just make a few final preps...board up our back sliding door windows, take out the window a/c units, ect. In a sick way looking forward to driving around a bit and experiencing the anticipation of the hit. Kind of like driving around before a big snow and seeing all the plows gassing up and people stocking up on salt & shovels...but in a band new way I may (and hope, at least as a home owner) only to experience once in my life. fwiw I had a good insurance experience after Charley as did most others I know. This is what you've been paying those premiums for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Wow...goes from great for my area to not so great just like that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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