HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 18 hours TS winds? TWC says yuppers for PVD NYC could be scary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 Center looking a bit better on IR. Seeing a consisant spot that seems like an eye forming again perhaps? The microwave imagery doesn't look impressive for that... It has a weakly bounded eye in the NE -N of the centeral axis, but it also completely exposed on the S-W sides. It has a band out side of that, though, and band further out yet. So the 3 in fact Hard to say what processes are causing that - but the type of eye (I suspect) you are looking for there's not much evidence of that at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 TWC says yuppers for PVD NYC could be scary If NYC gets destroyd by a Tropical Storm, I'll be speechless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTsnow Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Look at all the birds launching against the south winds... http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php I don't know what to think of that. You typically see such migration only with a strong northerly flow for this date. That is really amazing actually, wow. Seriously? Cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Anyone else think the latest recon center fixes are showing too much of an easterly component to the track for a true coastal hugger? It's hard to tell, but it's pretty solidly NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes. I presume you can see the difference from Irene to the birdies (bird people often can't but I'm sure you weather people can). They all pick up for nocturnal migration after sunset. Sorry for OT but it is an Irene effect for sure. They're smart. The exodus from the tri-state area is fantastic against the southerly flow on August 26. They're going away from the coast, too, instead of hugging it or even leaving from it as some species do. The far-reaching effects of a hurricane, really spectacular. This is unbelievable. I better make sure the car windows are closed...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 Someone more experienced with the models want to chime in? Nam actually looks west a little? I think people are getting tired? The guys that get paid to do this do it in shifts, then don't think about it if they don't have to otherwise. Many of the mets on here, I don't know when they sleep as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 If NYC gets destroyd by a Tropical Storm, I'll be speechless. There will be some idiots getting plate glass through the jugular on Broadway Bird thing is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Anyone else think the latest recon center fixes are showing too much of an easterly component to the track for a true coastal hugger? It's hard to tell, but it's pretty solidly NNE I'd rather it just scrape OBX than hug the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That is awesome. Thanks for posting that. LOL They're not birds. Its the radar changing modes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The Nam looks to be hugging the coast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 No way, apparently he doesn't realize Ray said it won't happen I can fathom fluctuations in a quasi steady state.....ie, 10 mph in either direction. I was the most conservative last night and even i ended up too bullish, so you really do not have a leg to stand on, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 LOL They're not birds. Its the radar changing modes. What are you talking about? This is what I do. This is what many people do. Those are all birds launching after sunset. I would know, thanks...but that's very basic common knowledge. Changing modes makes radar pick up all sorts of little dots flying in specific directions, LOL you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Hits NJ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 LOL, the NAM just took a Euro track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 LOL, the NAM just took a Euro track. It's too far west even in first 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What are you talking about? This is what I do. This is what many people do. Those are all birds launching after sunset. I would know, thanks...but that's very basic common knowledge. Changing modes makes radar pick up all sorts of little dots flying in specific directions, LOL you The air must be thick with birds around here. Hold on let me check outside...... Nope, no birds covering the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 LOL, the NAM just took a Euro track. Unbelievable...looks like I have to rely on the expanding wind field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The air must be thick with birds around here. Hold on let me check outside...... Nope, no birds covering the sky. that might be the first amusing post in here all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Unbelievable...looks like I have to rely on the expanding wind field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 It's too far west even in first 6 hours Yeah, agreed. Its track doesn't match up with the current movement of the storm. It wants to take this almost W of Morehead City and Irene would have to take a hell of a left turn right now for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NHC> expect 24 hours of tropical storm force winds in the nyc metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 NHC> expect 24 hours of tropical storm force winds in the nyc metro area What did they say for our area? Was that the 18 hours I saw earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The air must be thick with birds around here. Hold on let me check outside...... Nope, no birds covering the sky. This isn't like a joke, right? You do understand how radar works and how birds fly very high up? Go listen, you may hear a flight call. Here I thought a weather expert could understand basic radar things...what is all that stuff then? Rain? Maybe snow! You know the only rain the radar picks up is the stuff hitting you in the face, OH YES, that's right. http://www.woodcreeper.com/ http://virtual.clemson.edu/groups/birdrad/ http://www.bbbo.org/research/radar.html http://www.wsobirds.org/nexrad2.html Etc., etc. This is such basic knowledge, really sir? Wow. This is sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Could this be a signal to a west trend later in the track? Bring it farther into New Jersey? Don't you wish... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Irene's actually east of the NHC track right now. The NAM is godawful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This isn't like a joke, right? You do understand how radar works and how birds fly very high up? Go listen, you may hear a flight call. Here I thought a weather expert could understand basic radar things...what is all that stuff then? Rain? Maybe snow! You know the only rain the radar picks up is the stuff hitting you in the face, OH YES, that's right. http://www.woodcreeper.com/ http://virtual.clems...groups/birdrad/ http://www.bbbo.org/...arch/radar.html http://www.wsobirds.org/nexrad2.html Etc., etc. This is such basic knowledge, really sir? Wow. This is sad. Not true...radar picks up on virga... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Irene's actually east of the NHC track right now. The NAM is godawful. It's gonna go into central LI..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This isn't like a joke, right? You do understand how radar works and how birds fly very high up? Go listen, you may hear a flight call. Here I thought a weather expert could understand basic radar things...what is all that stuff then? Rain? Maybe snow! You know the only rain the radar picks up is the stuff hitting you in the face, OH YES, that's right. http://www.woodcreeper.com/ http://virtual.clems...groups/birdrad/ http://www.bbbo.org/...arch/radar.html http://www.wsobirds.org/nexrad2.html Etc., etc. This is such basic knowledge, really sir? Wow. This is sad. Dude, are you drunk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Dude, are you drunk? Beat me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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