40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes. I thrive! Moved my palatial yacht last month to Southold on the North Fork. Love it. We here have been in the sights of this storm since last week. I've been betting on a westward track and land interaction over NC, VA Capes, DE Cape & Joisey Shore for our salvation. Who would have predicted the storm simply puking it's guts out over the GS the way it has since yesterday? I'm enjoying the head scratching going on here as many well -informed types cast about for an explanation. Here's what I think happened- there are millions upon millions of people in the US East Coast and the rest of the country for that matter who dearly wish for this storm to spare us. Those people pray. They are praying right now. They are praying to God and asking for Mercy. Mercy is being granted. Thank God and screw the ghouls. They are spared too, in spite of themselves. My wife and my little girl are safer by the hour. You're welcome. Vim Toot! Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I'm still favoring a C LI to E CT track at the moment as there is no reason to change it at this juncture but the Euro is definitely in the back of my mind. But we have to try and remember we still have about 42-48 hours before landfall. If past TCs are any measure, this is about the time we should see it nudge eastward up here, but you still have to keep a more inland track in the back of one's mind. A C LI/E CT track will give some pretty high winds over a lot of the area and extreme rainfall for central/western zones. Thats reasonable, Euro pretty much has been the western outlier but can't be totally disregarded, Eastward movement is pretty typical for these systems when they make our Lat, But they also have a mind of there own, I am most impressed by the size of this system and its expansive wind field, I think a lot of people get caught up in the strength of the storm but this will be a long duration event because of its size and there will be widespread damage because of its duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Is a core redeveloping? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes. I thrive! Moved my palatial yacht last month to Southold on the North Fork. Love it. We here have been in the sights of this storm since last week. I've been betting on a westward track and land interaction over NC, VA Capes, DE Cape & Joisey Shore for our salvation. Who would have predicted the storm simply puking it's guts out over the GS the way it has since yesterday? I'm enjoying the head scratching going on here as many well -informed types cast about for an explanation. Here's what I think happened- there are millions upon millions of people in the US East Coast and the rest of the country for that matter who dearly wish for this storm to spare us. Those people pray. They are praying right now. They are praying to God and asking for Mercy. Mercy is being granted. Thank God and screw the ghouls. They are spared too, in spite of themselves. My wife and my little girl are safer by the hour. You're welcome. Vim Toot! dude ship some of what you're smoking to po box 136 zip 06268 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 And west gets extreme rain...and the coast gets a nice surge...there are plenty of reasons to be exceptionally cautious, but not irrationally fearful, of her. Places like me have a few outcomes on the table, all of which are very problematic. It's a storm to be prepared for and taken seriously. This isn't too hard but some people still insist you're either going overboard or hyping. The CT and RI shorelines are going to raked with a serious surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I'm still favoring a C LI to E CT track at the moment as there is no reason to change it at this juncture but the Euro is definitely in the back of my mind. But we have to try and remember we still have about 42-48 hours before landfall. If past TCs are any measure, this is about the time we should see it nudge eastward up here, but you still have to keep a more inland track in the back of one's mind. A C LI/E CT track will give some pretty high winds over a lot of the area and extreme rainfall for central/western zones. The problem is that the media perpetuates this public preoccupation with: 1) Perceiving the eye as a point on a map, and if it doesn't pass over you, then you're good to go 2) Max sustained winds....since it has been weakening today, folks are now more inclined to let their guard down..they were just wating for an excuse to do so because of all of the past false alarms. The media needs to bang home the point that, especially at this latitude, that the max sustained winds really do not make a world of difference and that you need not be within 5 miles of the eye to see bad conditions. As long as you are EAST of the tack, then you will see very bad conditions....all folks need to know. Wills forecast and Rays excellent points equal keep your guard way up. I have been deluged tonight with people saying NBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Is a core redeveloping? This thing will be over Greenland and we will still have the "core watchers". Give it up...she is what she is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Thats reasonable, Euro pretty much has been the western outlier but can't be totally disregarded, Eastward movement is pretty typical for these systems when they make our Lat, But they also have a mind of there own, I am most impressed by the size of this system and its expansive wind field, I think a lot of people get caught up in the strength of the storm but this will be a long duration event because of its size and there will be widespread damage because of its duration. The max sustained winds near the core of the storm are pretty irrelevant for us at this latitude and the expansive wind field could cause quite a bit of widespread tree damage. We could have a 60 knot TS at landfall and see widespread gusts to hurricane force well away from the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The problem is that the media perpetuates this public preoccupation with: 1) Perceiving the eye as a point on a map, and if it doesn't pass over you, then you're good to go 2) Max sustained winds....since it has been weakening today, folks are now more inclined to let their guard down..they were just wating for an excuse to do so because of all of the past false alarms. The media needs to bang home the point that, especially at this latitude, that the max sustained winds really do not make a world of difference and that you need not be within 5 miles of the eye to see bad conditions. As long as you are EAST of the tack, then you will see very bad conditions....all folks need to know. Yes, And You and i will get battered pretty good with prolonged SE winds being on the eastside of this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The CT and RI shorelines are going to raked with a serious surge. Yes sir, indeed we are, the likes of which many of us have never seen. I don't think everyone understands this. That isn't to say it's catastrophic or Katrina, but it'll be a big deal for a heavily populated area. The way I figure it is that I'll be close to the center one way or another, and I either get the winds and less rain or less wind and more rain. I'd love to get the eye but whatever, just please keep my house intact and my place of business relatively not destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The max sustained winds near the core of the storm are pretty irrelevant for us at this latitude and the expansive wind field could cause quite a bit of widespread tree damage. We could have a 60 knot TS at landfall and see widespread gusts to hurricane force well away from the center. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Noyes thinking most of SNE gets 6-10+". Still going east of NHC track Ray, awesome post Toot! Get yer Toot on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I'm still favoring a C LI to E CT track at the moment as there is no reason to change it at this juncture but the Euro is definitely in the back of my mind. But we have to try and remember we still have about 42-48 hours before landfall. If past TCs are any measure, this is about the time we should see it nudge eastward up here, but you still have to keep a more inland track in the back of one's mind. A C LI/E CT track will give some pretty high winds over a lot of the area and extreme rainfall for central/western zones. I just don't understand why the east shift is off the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This thing will be over Greenland and we will still have the "core watchers". Give it up...she is what she is. I couldn't give less than 2 sh*ts how nice it looks. All I care about is the big windfield once it gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Anyone think SNE tops 700k customers w/o power Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I couldn't give less than 2 sh*ts how nice it looks. All I care about is the big windfield once it gets here. Me either...was just asking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Anyone think SNE tops 700k customers w/o power Sunday? 1+ million Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Anyone think SNE tops 700k customers w/o power Sunday? I think 700,001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 dude ship some of what you're smoking to po box 136 zip 06268 Sure. As long as you personally appear at the PO to pick it up. Vim Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Tweet: Henry_Margusity Henry Margusity Eye of Irene should make landfall by morning near or just east of Morehead City, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just watching the damage going on in NC right now with just the outer bands ought to give a lot of people some sense of what is going to happen when it gets up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 1+ million How many inside 495 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Me either...was just asking... Yeah I know lol, I was just commenting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Tweet: Henry_Margusity Henry Margusity Eye of Irene should make landfall by morning near or just east of Morehead City, NC. Tweet him, How much for State College? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 How many inside 495 What's 495? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This is an extended birds eye view. Any Gibson Ridge program will be a 10 minute approx. fix on the eye, ah, center of circulation all the way up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 What's 495? Its a highway out where civilization is.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 First guess for my locale winds: 40-60 gusts to 70 storm surge 6-10 ft devestating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 How many inside 495 as of 2005 ~ 4million http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_Boston Boston-Quincy, MA Metropolitan Division (1,800,432) Norfolk County, Massachusetts Plymouth County, Massachusetts Suffolk County, Massachusetts [*]Cambridge-Newton-Framingham, MA Metropolitan Division (1,459,011) Middlesex County, Massachusetts [*]Essex County, MA Metropolitan Division (738,301) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 as of 2005 ~ 4million http://en.wikipedia..../Greater_Boston Boston-Quincy, MA Metropolitan Division (1,800,432) Norfolk County, Massachusetts Plymouth County, Massachusetts Suffolk County, Massachusetts [*]Cambridge-Newton-Framingham, MA Metropolitan Division (1,459,011) Middlesex County, Massachusetts [*]Essex County, MA Metropolitan Division (738,301) lol.. there are not 4 million customers. 1 customer = 1 household/business I figure a million inside 495 Anyway. This should be Gloria+Bob in terms of outages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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