dan11295 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I am about ready to rule out a landfall west of Morehead City. She is clearly moving east of North and on a longitudinal bases is ~20 miles west of Morehead now. Presentation is a bit betterm but as mentioned many times above, lack of an inner core will make any meaningful intensification highly unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Irene looking much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Libations, was that after a couple bong-hits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Its not a bad idea, but I dont know if the penfield reef would be the place to be with astro tides and a 5-10 ft wall of water coming ashore?? lol, its very enticing though, hey, who knows Think about it.....standing in thigh high water at the Grape, ordering a PBR with bits and pieces of debris flying by? Be safe, you know what to do and try to enjoy this as much as possible....... JD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just had a great conversation with Harvey Leonard about media hype and public dissapointment with weather events. He really feels the national media is hyping it up but he is trying to be reasonable. We were comparing Gloria to Irene and while Gloria was initially much stronger it hit LI as a Cat 1 much like this would do. I believe 500,000 people lost power in Mass and he feels 15 hours of TS wind is going to bring many trees down so power issues will be the major thing. Harvey is such a great guy, I have been friends with him for 20 years. A voice of reason among the hype. Gene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 You're in a much nicer place. I wouldn't worry too much about missing this fading cane ...TS or weak Cat 1 in SNE. I'm torn...part of me wants Irene to over-perform, but the other part of me thinks about all the headaches a sizable blow would create (car, property damage, etc) Ughh...this is a tough hobby.<br><br>BTW...anyone mention the winds from Accuweather.com <br><br>Forecast for here on Sunday...Day - Sustained 43 (Gusts to 83 mph) Night - Sustained 42 mph (Gusts to 96 mph)<br><br>Any way in which these numbers are realized. Maybe 60-75% of those gusts. (ie - around 65 mph) <div id="myEventWatcherDiv" style="display:none;"></div><div><br></div><div>My forecast is for 30-40 sustained and gusts to 65mph here. We'll see. It's fairly sheltered in metrowest.</div> <div id="myEventWatcherDiv" style="display:none;"></div> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just saw Harvey on now... Good synopsis and he is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just saw Harvey on now... Good synopsis and he is great That might be one of the last things you watch on TV for the next week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Wow it's pretty dead in here.... I would expect SnowNH to at least be posting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seahero Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That might be one of the last things you watch on TV for the next week.... i hope not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Wow it's pretty dead in here.... I would expect SnowNH to at least be posting... Cause everyone suddenly thinks nothings gonna happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That might be one of the last things you watch on TV for the next week.... I think people are sleeping/relaxing to prepare to watch it nonstop...I'm doing the opposite, enjoying my power before it's gone until September something. For an untrained eye she sure looks like she's doing OK - not great, not falling to pieces either. Definitely jogging east a bit more too I think...emphasizing "think". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Cause everyone suddenly thinks nothings gonna happen That's unfortunate...many will be surprised at the damage that is done....trees flying through the air like toothpicks on Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 She looks alright...seems to be maintaining herself over the last 4 hours or so. A bit hard to tell where the center is, but looks like its still moving NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That's unfortunate...many will be surprised at the damage that is done....trees flying through the air like toothpicks on Sunday... Lol. Trees tipping over, lawn furniture messing up sledding trails I hope Sunday mornings coffee is not my last for a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just a note, Irene still has a nice wind field. We could see some damage with this one. But the media is just out in left field with this! They make it sound like the world will so be ending. I think many will be disapointed with the outcome after seeing all of this hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Per the NHC 5pm ET advisory, Irene's center was located near 31.7N 77.4W AT 26/2100Z. At 26/1800Z the center was located near 31.2N 77.5W. The forecast position valid at 27/0600Z was 33.4N 77.1W at the 5pm advisory. The 8pm ET advisory places the center at 32.1N 77.2W at 27/0000Z. Unless the center has been relocated, if you extrapolate the present movement for another 6 hours, it will be further East than 77.1W and may not be as far North as 33.4N. Just saying..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That's unfortunate...many will be surprised at the damage that is done....trees flying through the air like toothpicks on Sunday... People in the .main thread saying max sfc winds of only 60kts happening right now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 People in the .main thread saying max sfc winds of only 60kts happening right now lol What are you doing in the main thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 People in the .main thread saying max sfc winds of only 60kts happening right now lol Cause there's land underneath it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 My friend is letting his wife ferry to MVY tomorrow. Will the ferry run. Fuel stop (for my body) 25 miles SW of Buffalo. Lemme try this spot in mid December...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think I am going to be under a tornado watch on Sunday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 My sister bought a generator today, so in the event we lose power this far west I can go over there often. Lol. Trees tipping over, lawn furniture messing up sledding trails I hope Sunday mornings coffee is not my last for a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Cause there's land underneath it... uh what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Hamburg area I guess eh... Got caught in a fantastic LES band there once long long ago as a kid with parents.....coming home from South Bend. BTW... wi-fi in all Thruway rest areas. My friend is letting his wife ferry to MVY tomorrow. Will the ferry run. Fuel stop (for my body) 25 miles SW of Buffalo. Lemme try this spot in mid December...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seahero Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think I am going to be under a tornado watch on Sunday.... tornado watch ok tornado, i hope not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Prolific rains now raking the coast of North Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 how about streaming videos (news) from NC. anyone have a good link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just a note, Irene still has a nice wind field. We could see some damage with this one. But the media is just out in left field with this! They make it sound like the world will so be ending. I think many will be disapointed with the outcome after seeing all of this hype. Yeah, what are several hundred thousand without power, not much I say... That wind field at astro high tide, sure, no biggie for the few of us near the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 tornado watch ok tornado, i hope not Ok, the tornado can stay here in Danvers/Peabody then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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