SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It's tough to tell from those animations, but has anyone seen any eastward component to Irene's motion yet? Seems to be staying very stubborn at around 360 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup... where it goes in NC is a tell tale sign of where it ill go here I want to see the western edge of the center to scrape OBX...I think that bodes best for us up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Man this is great! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm no 500 mb pattern expert...trying to figure out why the ECM is considerably farther west in comparison to the GFS/NAM. Anyone have any ideas? I was thinking the confluent flow to the north is quite a bit weaker on the ECM not sure what affect that would have if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 18z runs. I zoomed in some so its a bit blurry. looks good. balls out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Can someone give me an update on the Euro. I just read back on the tread. Over NYC to NY/CN boarder? Then where, up through Vermont, NH or more NE through Central Ma to Nashua. Would appreciate any input. Looks like it bisects NH from SW to NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 18z runs. I zoomed in some so its a bit blurry. looks good. balls out. Just slightly different than the 12z Euro. LOL. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Can someone give me an update on the Euro. I just read back on the tread. Over NYC to NY/CN boarder? Then where, up through Vermont, NH or more NE through Central Ma to Nashua. Would appreciate any input. Yes it goes follows just west of the graden State Parkway starting in Cape May. I'd ignore it and go with the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 18z runs. I zoomed in some so its a bit blurry. looks good. balls out. mediocre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 18z tropicals east a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Looks pretty dead on nuts with the NHC forecast right now...maybe heading just a ph east on the last scan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Looks like it bisects NH from SW to NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The NHC track has it NNE from here on out... So it's gonna have to start turning imminently. Looks pretty dead on nuts with the NHC forecast right now...maybe heading just a ph east on the last scan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On my phone.. can someone post a loop of the storm? Water vapor please http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The NHC track has it NNE from here on out... So it's gonna have to start turning imminently. Gotta love the NY Media.... they were questioning why the mayor canceled the Mets games lol and he gave them a look that said "Are you serious?" And there's mandatory evacuations underway Zone A and Zone B Rockaways and everything shuts down by 5 PM tomorrow (including all mass transit, bridges and tunnels.) They were talking about a 4-8' surge on the rivers and in the city and up to a 10' surge on Long Island with gusts in the 80-100 mph area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Truthfully the last six hours watching Irene on the IR loops, it has reminded me of a EPac hurricane that moves northwest into cooler water and just ebbs away. The circulations often remain very tight and impressive looking at the low levels as they become "ghost canes". Irene has been in an area of under 29C SSTs , but that isn't exactly real cool. mediocre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 LOL..where have you been ? You disappeared in january. We thought you were in jail LOL indeed...I got snowed out and busy with work/life, then just WAY busy, and then snow time was over. I've been nonstop busy (which is not a complaint, I'm lucky to have too much work) but am going to make time for things like this now. Yeah this is going to be my first encounter with a tropical cyclone. I was born a few days after Bob. I'm a little nervous, but mostly excited. I was born a couple weeks after Gloria. There's a mix of emotions right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 My wife wanted us to watch tv show or movie on the computer last night....I told her I am in storm mode...not sure she will watch anything between now and Monday...lol sounds familiar, lol, after I gave her an unrequested 45 minute multimedia presentation on the state of the storm I gave in and watched a show with her last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Storm-related observations... Stratford is a surreal place right now. People are boarding up windows in the south end, not many, but some. Everyone is home but despite the fact it is a beautiful sunny day in the 80s in late August not many people were at the beaches. I was glad to see UI (power company) out and about working on a few things. They need to sleep, though. There are so many boats filling up the usual winter spots, it's so strange. People seem to be in a daze more than anything but are preparing pretty well. At Stratford Point we took down some things like a Purple Martin gourd tree (nest boxes), signs, outside chairs, etc. We piled a lot inside and moved a couple things away from windows that may be blown out. We did all the stuff that we usually watch on television. The buildings are old and have taken damage from enough storms over the years (like the Bridgeport tornado cell). We're going to lose a lot more shingles, but nothing that can't be replaced. The best thing I hope is that we set up a camera, hammered and screwed and taped beyond it's life to a telephone pole sheltered by the building on the LIS-side, that will take photos every 30 seconds through at least Monday. It is facing towards the mouth of the river, our shoreline to Short Beach. It could be spectacular if it all goes right and we can recover it. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Too bad none of the ALB stations would grant me a waiver to have a NYC station on my Directv. I would have liked just one since I travel there for work regularly etc. Maybe 5 so I could get Nick G. But the FCC rules grant each tv market a fiefdom. Gotta love the NY Media.... they were questioning why the mayor canceled the Mets games lol and he gave them a look that said "Are you serious?" And there's mandatory evacuations underway Zone A and Zone B Rockaways and everything shuts down by 5 PM tomorrow (including all mass transit, bridges and tunnels.) They were talking about a 4-8' surge on the rivers and in the city and up to a 10' surge on Long Island with gusts in the 80-100 mph area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 sounds familiar, lol, after I gave her an unrequested 45 minute multimedia presentation on the state of the storm I gave in and watched a show with her last night Now that it looks like there is a consensus on the track, I might break down and hand the computer over for a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Truthfully the last six hours watching Irene on the IR loops, it has reminded me of a EPac hurricane that moves northwest into cooler water and just ebbs away. The circulations often remain very tight and impressive looking at the low levels as they become "ghost canes". Irene has been in an area of under 29C SSTs , but that isn't exactly real cool. It's entering a pocket of 30/31C SST's now up until Hatteras. We'll see if that gives it a boost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Cloud tops have once again warmed and dry air is evident nw n and east of the circulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Cloud tops have once again warmed and dry air is evident nw n and east of the circulation Check the main Irene thread.. there is a post by a met saying he thinks its probably restrengthening Hurricanes usually have to take a step backwards in order to take 2 steps forward.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 looks like she is going to make another run at CAT 3 in the next few hours, IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I looked at a Gloria IR image as it Crossed LI and it was getting real ragged and dry air intrusion etc, virtually no precip left south of the eye.... But you expect that up at 41 north. Not down where Irene is now.... Cloud tops have once again warmed and dry air is evident nw n and east of the circulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Not sure if anyone posted it, but the 12z Ukie looks a lot like the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Irene is just battling a ton of dry air being entrained into the circulation, otherwise this would have been a devestating and historic major...in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 frying pan shoals: Wind Direction (WDIR): ENE ( 60 deg true ) Wind Speed (WSPD): 38.9 kts Wind Gust (GST): 46.6 kts Wave Height (WVHT): 20.3 ft about 150 miles due south of irene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.