Logan11 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Hey if it causes a lot of damage over there - you can make a lot of money rebuilding everyones homes. On 8/26/2011 at 9:31 PM, ski MRG said: Nice to see this has weakened a bit. Hopefully it comes through with minimal damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 GFS holds serve from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 9:54 PM, ineedsnow said: Its doesnt matter if Irene is a depression up here the rain from this is going to affect alot of people! It seems like most people are just looking at wind speeds Oh' yeah, the entire valley should be leery of flooding. 5-8" of rain dumping into the hills of Vt and SW NH will be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 9:46 PM, smoof said: sound's reasonable to me, if you aren't 15' higher than normal sea level you should evacuate IMO... Well, I was pouring over their ridiculous surge maps the other night and I'm supposedly in a Cat 4 surge zone, but I'm about 5 miles south of Sunrise Highway. I'm between 17-19 feet above sea level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 9:58 PM, DomNH said: I understand this isn't the monster Cat. 4 we could have had, but some of these posts are getting a little ridiculous now. If this has little to no land interaction between here and LI, we should be all set. It should have quite a lot of land interaction between Nashua and Long Island. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 9:59 PM, OSUmetstud said: gfs is over mainland eastern NC...the moves off the coast...makes a second landfall in Central LI/Central/E CT Wow, based on the other thread-- they were saying it actually is within 5 miles of the Jersey Coast and makes landfall near JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 9:59 PM, dendrite said: GFS holds serve from 12z. little bit too much interaction with mainland eastern NC for my liking..hopefully it moves a bit east of that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:00 PM, MaineJayhawk said: It should have quite a lot of land interaction between Nashua and Long Island. lol I was referring to SNE as a whole you . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:01 PM, OSUmetstud said: little bit too much interaction with mainland eastern NC for my liking..hopefully it moves a bit east of that area Well it def. will be if its trajectory over the last few scans are its actual course and not a wobble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 9:45 PM, snowNH said: Weird an mrg post when everyones down Since you ambushed me a week or so ago I've payed closer attention to your posts. I've come to the conclusion you're a dope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:00 PM, A-L-E-X said: Wow, based on the other thread-- they were saying it actually is within 5 miles of the Jersey Coast and makes landfall near JFK. It does just east of there... if you follow the h5 maps at 45 certainly looks like W LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:03 PM, yoda said: It does just east of there... if you follow the h5 maps at 45 certainly looks like W LI I'm about 4 miles SE of JFK. Maybe my anemometer will set a new site record (lowest so far was Tax Day noreaster 966 mb.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The main wind field is going to be displaced like 100 miles east of the center by the time it hits JFK. Paying way too close attn to the lowest sfc pressure is pretty pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I just got a new job researching a guy (finding his heirs) who died in Lido Beach. That must be near you... . On 8/26/2011 at 10:06 PM, A-L-E-X said: I'm about 4 miles SE of JFK. Maybe my anemometer will set a new site record (lowest so far was Tax Day noreaster 966 mb.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 In case you missed them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Lol @ WTNH saying this is going to last past sunset Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:10 PM, CT Rain said: In case you missed them... Some folks think we'll be seeing a TD..Thanks for being reality back to the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 18z RGEM is a nice hit/track stays over the water just east of ACY then western LI into HVN or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:09 PM, BIrving said: The main wind field is going to be displaced like 100 miles east of the center by the time it hits JFK. Paying way too close attn to the lowest sfc pressure is pretty pointless. yes but rainfall... a track just east of JFK = risk of submerged subways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Latest IR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:12 PM, CT Blizz said: 18z RGEM is a nice hit/track stays over the water just east of ACY then western LI into HVN or so I thought you'd like this: On 8/26/2011 at 9:58 PM, wxsmwhrms said: Yeah, I think at this point we are very likely looking at a very large hurricane with 80-85 kt winds at NC landfall as fcst by NHC. Of course, given the very large size and fact that there will also be some support from the outflow channel and upper level divergence from being in the entrance region of the upper jet to the N, it may be very slow to weaken substantially even as it moves N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:12 PM, CT Blizz said: 18z RGEM is a nice hit/track stays over the water just east of ACY then western LI into HVN or so After landfall in NE NC at 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Looks like some more convection around the center. This isn't going to hit inland NC, either. OBX at worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Gon' be stormy come late Saturday night into Sunday. I don't care if this is a hurricane or a TS. Fun, fun, fun! We don't get to witness these too often in our lives. Track seems pretty well set with a landfall over C to W CT/LI. Don't underestimate the rain, storm surge, and flooding potential with this system. It's going to be nasty. 60+ mph sustained winds are not something we see every day either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:15 PM, yoda said: After landfall in NE NC at 24 Irene is pretty cheap...we can share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:12 PM, CT Blizz said: Some folks think we'll be seeing a TD..Thanks for being reality back to the thread man, this is like Bizarro world.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:17 PM, DomNH said: Looks like some more convection around the center. This isn't going to hit inland NC, either. OBX at worst. Unless it finds some way to pick up 1.6-2 degrees E in 24 hrs... I doubt it. Moving 20-40 won't get it there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:17 PM, ETauntonMA said: Gon' be stormy come late Saturday night into Sunday. I don't care if this is a hurricane or a TS. Fun, fun, fun! We don't get to witness these too often in our lives. Track seems pretty well set with a landfall over C to W CT/LI. Don't underestimate the rain, storm surge, and flooding potential with this system. It's going to be nasty. 60+ mph sustained winds are not something we see every day either. I like it. It's gonna be an awesome weekend! But I think all here would agree... next time YOU should start the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 not too often do you see tropical storm watches for extreme northern maine. snazzy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On 8/26/2011 at 10:17 PM, DomNH said: Looks like some more convection around the center. This isn't going to hit inland NC, either. OBX at worst. yeah, next recon fixed should tell movement but I am wondering the same thing, unless there is a NNW jog.. maybe moorehead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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