MikeS Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Just at exit 98 or everywhere south of 98? I'm assuming everywhere south of 98. This more than likely means that they will allow people evacuating to drive north in the southbound lanes up to exit 98 to reduce some of the traffic and get people away from the shore as quickly as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 What does that have to do with wind speed? Forward motion of the hurricane will add to wind speeds on the left side of the storm..... Anyway, this loop really shows you the dying convection around the eye of Irene...she's looking a little sicly http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Forward motion of the hurricane will add to wind speeds on the left side of the storm..... Subtract on the left side. Vector math! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Forward motion of the hurricane will add to wind speeds on the left side of the storm..... I think you meant the RIGHT side. On the left the forward motion would offset the wind speed somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 WALL — About half of the Garden State Parkway will be closed to traffic Friday because of Hurricane Irene. Gov. Chris Christie says the parkway's southbound lanes will be closed to traffic at Exit 98 in Wall Township beginning at 8 p.m. Traffic will be routed at that exit to Interstate 195 west. Christie says there's no reason to allow motorists to travel beyond that point. Christie urged people to evacuate the barrier islands in Atlantic, Cape May and Ocean counties sooner rather than later to prevent traffic tie-ups. I'm assuming everywhere south of 98. This more than likely means that they will allow people evacuating to drive north in the southbound lanes up to exit 98 to reduce some of the traffic and get people away from the shore as quickly as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 All NYC MTA service ends 1200pm tomorrow. All bridges closing once winds reach 60 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Visual of GGEM. Up the Jersey coast and right on top of NYC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This is confusing, right as we see the first burst of deep convection near the center in hours flair up the eye feature is gone again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Like you said earlier, stop trying to get what's going to happen This is confusing, right as we see the first burst of deep convection near the center in hours flair up the eye feature is gone again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 HWRF has the hurricane passing by eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I think you meant the RIGHT side. On the left the forward motion would offset the wind speed somewhat. So the 50mph winds and 60mph gusts at the buoy is actually slightly higher than that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 HWRF has the hurricane passing by eastern LI. HWRF and GFDL belong in the banter thread. They are awful models that are making hundred mile swings every 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 UKIE moved west and drives Irene into interior Jersey at hour 48. Hour 60 showed its moved NE from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuations for Zone A areas are in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuation of all Zone A areas in NYC by 5pm Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuations for Zone A areas are in effect. & all Zone B areas of the Rockaways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuation of all Zone A areas in NYC by 5pm Saturday Do you have a link as to where the zones are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 irene directly over central NJ on the new Euro at 48. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Further weakening, 951 mb and 100 mph top winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 200 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011 ...IRENE WEAKENS A LITTLE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARRIVING ALONG THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS. SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.2N 77.5W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...BOSTON...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN BY SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON SATURDAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THAT...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY. IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. A COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING SITE AT FOLLY ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 55 MPH...89 KM/H. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURE BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...INCLUDING TRIBUTARIES...AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE JERSEY SHORE. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE... DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 Euro has the storm still directly on the Central NJ shoreline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Do you have a link as to where the zones are? Zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Euro has the storm still directly on the Central NJ shoreline How strong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 So the 50mph winds and 60mph gusts at the buoy is actually slightly higher than that? No, 50MPH is 50MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Mandatory evacuation of all Zone A areas in NYC by 5pm Saturday Carried away I think..I mean it's gonna be bad but we are not dealing with Katrina here..might be flooding but most of my old neighborhood has 6 storied apartment bulidings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 How strong? Waiting for the high res graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yup, looks like "eye" will straddle coast and go right up NY/CT Border per the Euro. Disaster for the city with flood. Tons of tornado potential to the east but much less rain to the right of center. Blend of the GFS/EURO/UKIE/GGEM/NAM is direct hit NYC pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I guess some people here just don't understand the importance of preparing for something worse than what is projected, if they say CAT 1 they should prepare for a CAT 2, just incase, and I think the City and NJ are doing an excellent job of making sure nobody is in harms way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 How strong? The SLP displayed on the Euro has been abysmal... 20-30 hPa too low. Not sure of their usefulness other than track.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The SLP displayed on the Euro has been abysmal... 20-30 hPa too low. Not sure of their usefulness other than track.... I just saw it. It has a 954 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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