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Official Hurricane Irene Live OBS/Discussion Part II


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Just at exit 98 or everywhere south of 98?

I'm assuming everywhere south of 98. This more than likely means that they will allow people evacuating to drive north in the southbound lanes up to exit 98 to reduce some of the traffic and get people away from the shore as quickly as possible.

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WALL — About half of the Garden State Parkway will be closed to traffic Friday because of Hurricane Irene.

Gov. Chris Christie says the parkway's southbound lanes will be closed to traffic at Exit 98 in Wall Township beginning at 8 p.m. Traffic will be routed at that exit to Interstate 195 west.

Christie says there's no reason to allow motorists to travel beyond that point.

Christie urged people to evacuate the barrier islands in Atlantic, Cape May and Ocean counties sooner rather than later to prevent traffic tie-ups.

I'm assuming everywhere south of 98. This more than likely means that they will allow people evacuating to drive north in the southbound lanes up to exit 98 to reduce some of the traffic and get people away from the shore as quickly as possible.

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ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN

HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011

200 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...IRENE WEAKENS A LITTLE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

ARRIVING ALONG THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS.

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...31.2N 77.5W

ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW

JERSEY...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK

SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER

MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND

SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...BOSTON...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET

* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC

WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO NEW

ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHEASTERN UNITED

STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

IRENE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY

YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING

TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS

EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST

SHOULD BEGIN BY SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CORE OF THE

HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND

PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON SATURDAY. THE

HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST

SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155

KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN

STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH

CAROLINA. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THAT...BUT IS EXPECTED

TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON

SUNDAY.

IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND

OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL

STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. A

COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING SITE AT FOLLY ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA

RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 55 MPH...89 KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURE BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHERN

PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HURRICANE

FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN

ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS

EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER

LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE

HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE

AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH

AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE

CHESAPEAKE BAY...INCLUDING TRIBUTARIES...AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF

THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS

MUCH AS 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE JERSEY SHORE.

NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE...

DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.

RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF

6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM

EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES

INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS COULD

CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE

COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE

LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN

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Yup, looks like "eye" will straddle coast and go right up NY/CT Border per the Euro. Disaster for the city with flood. Tons of tornado potential to the east but much less rain to the right of center.

Blend of the GFS/EURO/UKIE/GGEM/NAM is direct hit NYC pretty much.

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