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Official Hurricane Irene Live OBS/Discussion Part II


earthlight

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Lynbrook/Valley Stream area

Do most models have the eye of Irene going west or east of me?

What is the extreme range west to east the eye can make landfall?

Also, currently I'm in the Catskills (liberty NY) riding it out here, any tropical foce winds here?

Thanks,

jeff

East on GFS and NAM. Direct hit or west on GGEM, UKIE and RGEM but that is just my untrained eyes. Not sure what to expect in the Catskills.

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That dark ring around the center is a good sign, now that the western side is improving, the eastern side is taking a hit, probably due to dry air ingestion, could be awhile before she completely gets it out of her system

avn-l.jpg

What? That shows Irene without any deep convection and the worst its looked in days.

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This storm is looking healthier by the minute guys, irene isn't done flexing her muscles yet. Fun times to come today

The hurricane needs more convection for it to really ramp up again. I'd say it's about steady state, maybe slight nudge toward strengthening. This really is Irene's last chance though before land, colder water, and dry air affect it.

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The hurricane needs more convection for it to really ramp up again. I'd say it's about steady state, maybe slight nudge toward strengthening. This really is Irene's last chance though before land, colder water, and dry air affect it.

It should be interesting to see what the Euro shows soon.

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The visible satellite looks like Irene "woke up", there's a clearly defined eye now

Also looks like a slight western jog. We have to watch this closely, as any western jogs as it moves north means a better chance of it going inland in NC. Could mean a much weaker storm by the time it gets up here.

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I work with people who lost people to canes this isn't a snowstorm i'm nervous gents be careful what you wish for i hope everyone has all the necesssary items to take care of thenselves and family .Fascinating as it is and understandable their will be tragedy in many states no joy rides with this one unless divine intervention turns her into a fishstorm see ya.

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