CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 they both went a little bit west...they were already on the west side of consensus. Ok thanks. Looks like maybe HVN-GON on there. Still wonder if they nudge east as they get closer, but a nice agreement....you have to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 More vorticity in the base of the first trough versus the day runs of the NAM. Hurricane further NW similar to the runs prior to the blip at 12z. Be interesting to see if the other full runs follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Hey Nick, do you know a site, that can compare previous model tracks...even if it's just adjusting the URL to 18z instead of 00z? I used to know one last year, but I don't know what site it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Some decent shifts west since last night. Hard to believe that this could almost be a lock for is in New England. After all the storms over the years that have gotten our hopes up only to be dashed at the last moment. I think its safe to say this one is NOT a drill! Even if it tracks E of the current guidance, SNE will be crushed. First time ever I actually feel like I may need to prep for a storm (i.e. get goods). Woot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Hey Nick, do you know a site, that can compare previous model tracks...even if it's just adjusting the URL to 18z instead of 00z? I used to know one last year, but I don't know what site it was. doesn't MIT have something? I just look at Colorado State or Allan's Model site. You can look at the previous tracks and compare them...but no side by side or loop type thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 doesn't MIT have something? I just look at Colorado State or Allan's Model site. You can look at the previous tracks and compare them...but no side by side or loop type thing. Yeah I was just looking for something that had all the models and you could just change the URL to say 18 instead of 00z or something like that. I thought it was on this page, but whatever. It's all good. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~acevans/models/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 certainly could be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yeah I was just looking for something that had all the models and you could just change the URL to say 18 instead of 00z or something like that. I thought it was on this page, but whatever. It's all good. http://moe.met.fsu.e...acevans/models/ Maybe there will be something on this page that will help you...http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/greenstein/models.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yeah, nothing can be worse than 4 days without power in mid-December. 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Some decent shifts west since last night. Hard to believe that this could almost be a lock for is in New England. After all the storms over the years that have gotten our hopes up only to be dashed at the last moment. I think its safe to say this one is NOT a drill! Even if it tracks E of the current guidance, SNE will be crushed. First time ever I actually feel like I may need to prep for a storm (i.e. get goods). Woot! Agreed, first time I'm actually apprehensive about being on the receiving end of a storm, double checking things around my house and taking down dead/older trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 7 days. 2 weeks at my aunt/uncles in Princeton, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 2 weeks at my aunt/uncles in Princeton, MA PSNH ftw then, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 2 weeks at my aunt/uncles in Princeton, MA Lucky them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 NOAA buoy data page is a very cool site and will be fun to watch starting friday. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Maybe there will be something on this page that will help you... http://www.atmos.alb...ein/models.html Nice. I'll check it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 weeks and weeks in florida with the awful heat I got the f out of town.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yeah, nothing can be worse than 4 days without power in mid-December. Twelve here. We'll still have to deal with many of the same issues though if anyone has multi-day outages. - No power means gas pumps don't have power. Where will you get more gas for the generator? Our generator takes about 15 gallons for a 24 run. - Nearly our whole town is on well water. No power, no water. I pretty sure that if I had to drink from our lake, I'd want to boil it first. That's going to get old fast. (Luckily the generator runs the stove, well pump, fridge and freezer, etc.) - If you don't have a generator, your food's going to go bad fast. - Cell towers will get overloaded or lose power themselves. Our neighborhood is fighting a cell tower installation; I know that those generators diesel tanks don't hold enough for a multi-day outage. When the tornadoes went through western MA earlier this summer, their cell towers quickly got overloaded in Springfield. If you really think you're going to have a multi-day outage, consider batteries, a generator with plenty of gas, a new filter for it if you're going to be running it that much, chainsaw (gas & oil), make sure you know where your car cell charger is, etc. - monadnocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 NAM yeah yeah not a hurricane model...but significant in that the first trough is out of here pretty quickly and the second one is weaker/further north at least through 48-60...more room for the hurricane. First time I remember that it just gets more menacing as it approaches. My recollection of Gloria is that by about H -72 they knew it was coming and I suspect by Thursday night we will "know" this is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 PSNH ftw then, I guess. lol ....barely though. 12 days here in Auburn NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Those are pretty much right up my fanny. We might as well bend over and let her kick us in the fanny. Seriously though. She looks to be headed right up our fannies. If you haven't watched it, go and watch Matt Noyes's technical discussion it is a good watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 lol ....barely though. 12 days here in Auburn NH The icestorm and feb 2010 windstorm were such rare events though. Not much time to prepare. There's about 5 days to prepare for this one. Is it me or in events that we talk about major outages, it really is never that bad. But then again, I've never been in a 'cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 The icestorm and feb 2010 windstorm were such rare events though. Not much time to prepare. There's about 5 days to prepare for this one. Is it me or in events that we talk about major outages, it really is never that bad. But then again, I've never been in a 'cane. . This will be bad, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Fantasy football draft on sunday FTL Same here. We are considering moving to Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Didn't see it posted ... here's the MIT site: http://wind.mit.edu/~btangy/Home/TCGuid.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 RT @basevelocity We're pleased to announce RadarScope 1.0 for Android. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 The icestorm and feb 2010 windstorm were such rare events though. Not much time to prepare. There's about 5 days to prepare for this one. Is it me or in events that we talk about major outages, it really is never that bad. But then again, I've never been in a 'cane. I think you're right, at least for us north of the MA border and away from the coast. hurricanes are uncommon and therefore fun up here, but the hype has to be put in perspective for NNH. There can be pockets of wind effects, and some folks will lose power but that happens with summer squall lines - the rain impact remains to be seen - intriguing with Irene is the chance for alot of water here due to fore-running rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Same here. We are considering moving to Wednesday In that vein it appears the Sox are considering a day-night doubleheader on Saturday against Oakland thus not having to worry about conditions on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I think you're right, at least for us north of the MA border and away from the coast. hurricanes are uncommon and therefore fun up here, but the hype has to be put in perspective for NNH. There can be pockets of wind effects, and some folks will lose power but that happens with summer squall lines - the rain impact remains to be seen - intriguing with Irene is the chance for alot of water here due to fore-running rains. Yea. Part of me wants Irene east of me for epic rains. Part of me wants Irene to go west of me for epic wind. Pretty good position to be in right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Best part about this storm is that its during the daytime and we won't have to worry about anything sticking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 What the hells the deal with NCEP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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